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444 N Antler St
B- Composite 68.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

444 N Antler St · Gladwin, MI 48624
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,908 sqft · SingleFamily · 111 Days on market
Built 1949 0.30 ac lot $100/sqft · 48% below area Est $365k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this rare 6 bedroom home in the city of Gladwin. Enter the home with its older style actual wood floors throughout. Kitchen offers granite counter top and updated cabinetry. It's located on a corner lot, fenced yard, 2 car garage. Above ground swimming pool included. Don't miss out on this rare home today!

Key facts

  • Wood floors
  • Fenced yard
  • Granite counter top

Tags

WOOD FLOORSGRANITE COUNTER TOPUPDATED CABINETRYCORNER LOTFENCED YARDABOVE GROUND SWIMMING POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $520 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 7.6% in Gladwin — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#253 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gladwin Community Schools (town): math 28% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #232 of 540 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 288 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Gladwin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gladwin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $190k implies a 296% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,809 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.58%
Cash-on-cash
11.73%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$365,184
List price
$189,900
Delta
-48.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
444 N Antler St 0.00mi 6/2.0 1,908 (0%) 0mo $180,000 $94 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$2,263
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$44,303
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48624

Home prices YoY
-23.4%
Active inventory
288
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,102 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $789/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$520

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,444
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $627 -5% $574 +0% $520 +5% $466 +10% $412
Rent -10% $354 -5% $437 +0% $520 +5% $603 +10% $686
Rate -1.0pp $615 -0.5pp $568 base $520 +0.5pp $471 +1.0pp $421

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    status Pending 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    Check out this rare 6 bedroom home in the city of Gladwin. Enter the home with its older style actual wood floors throughout. Kitchen offers granite counter top and updated cabinetry. It's located on a corner lot, fenced yard, 2 car garage. Above ground swimming pool included. Don't miss out on this rare home today!

  2. 2026-04-28
    status Active 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    Check out this rare 6 bedroom home in the city of Gladwin. Enter the home with its older style actual wood floors throughout. Kitchen offers granite counter top and updated cabinetry. It's located on a corner lot, fenced yard, 2 car garage. Above ground swimming pool included. Don't miss out on this rare home today!

  3. 2026-03-27
    historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    Check out this rare 6 bedroom home in the city of Gladwin. Enter the home with its older style actual wood floors throughout. Kitchen offers granite counter top and updated cabinetry. It's located on a corner lot, fenced yard, 2 car garage. Above ground swimming pool included. Don't miss out on this rare home today!

  4. 2026-01-19
    listed $189,900 Active 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    Check out this rare 6 bedroom home in the city of Gladwin. Enter the home with its older style actual wood floors throughout. Kitchen offers granite counter top and updated cabinetry. It's located on a corner lot, fenced yard, 2 car garage. Above ground swimming pool included. Don't miss out on this rare home today!

  5. 2010-05-03
    soldstatus $48,000
  6. 2010-04-29
    historical
  7. 2009-07-08
    listed $55,900
  8. 2009-07-08
    listed $55,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$789 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,857 · $155/mo
Expected delta
+$1,068/yr (+$89/mo · 135.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,223
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$789
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,018
− Management
−$2,018
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable income
$3,288
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$789
After-tax cash flow
$5,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gladwin Community Schools
NCES district ID
2615990
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$38,917
Composite
32.93/100
National rank
#5595
State rank
#232 of 540 in MI

Livability — Gladwin

Score
72/100
State rank
#253
US rank
#6296

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gladwin, MI
Population (ZIP)
16,269

Population outlook (Gladwin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,440 people
By 2030
22,281 · -4.9%
By 2040
19,867 · -15.2%
By 2050
17,667 · -24.6%
By 2075
12,909 · -44.9%
By 2100
8,629 · -63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gladwin

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-42.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+34.7 2012: R+7.2 2008: D+1.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.67%
Current HPI
238.0744
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+239.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $189,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2010-04-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-07-08 Listed $55,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-07-08 Listed $55,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $789 · -35.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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