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105 S Clay St
B Composite 73.67
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,000

105 S Clay St · Eustis, NE 69028
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1924

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming bungalow is full of character and warmth, offering the perfect blend of comfort and functionality. Step inside to an inviting open floor plan that creates a bright and spacious feel throughout the home. The large kitchen is ideal for cooking and entertaining, featuring abundant cupboard space and plenty of room for storage and organization. Situated on a generously sized lot, this property provides ample outdoor space for relaxing, gardening, or entertaining guests. A large shed offers excellent additional storage or workshop potential. With its unique charm, spacious layout, and practical features, this bungalow is a wonderful place to call home. Note: Basement rooms are non-

Key facts

  • Ample outdoor space
  • Open floor plan
  • Generously sized lot

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANLARGE KITCHENABUNDANT CUPBOARD SPACEGENEROUSLY SIZED LOTAMPLE OUTDOOR SPACELARGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual taxes approximately $1,313.52

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residence
  • Construction: Residential property
  • Exterior features: Zoned R (residential)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One main-level bathroom
  • Interior features: Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#100 in NE, #3,948 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Eustis-Farnam Public Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #175 of 245 in NE (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Frontier County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (9.6% local appreciation)).
  • Frontier County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $117,215 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.76%
Cash-on-cash
12.38%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$294,720
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
407 N Main St 0.37mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,540 (+3%) 8mo $305,000 $120 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
3.51×
Total profit
$83,592
Equity at exit
$103,916
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
7.85×
Total profit
$228,141
Equity at exit
$220,690

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 69028

Home prices YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,393 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $993/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $957
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    listed $119,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$993 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,059 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$1,066/yr (+$89/mo · 107.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,711
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$993
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,337
− Management
−$1,337
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$2,321
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$557
After-tax cash flow
$3,568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eustis-Farnam Public Schools
NCES district ID
3100111
Math proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$53,125
Composite
41.16/100
National rank
#7417
State rank
#175 of 245 in NE

Livability — Eustis

Score
75/100
State rank
#100
US rank
#3948

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eustis, NE
Population (ZIP)
757

Population outlook (Frontier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,384 people
By 2030
2,239 · -6.1%
By 2040
1,943 · -18.5%
By 2050
1,708 · -28.4%
By 2075
1,356 · -43.1%
By 2100
1,153 · -51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Frontier

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.9) · D 13.1% · R 86.0%
2008→2024 swing
-24.1pp toward R · 2008: -48.8pp · 2024: -72.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.9 2020: R+71.9 2016: R+72.1 2012: R+43.9 2008: R+48.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.62%
Current HPI
235.2201
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $119,000 GMNMLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $993 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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