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Jillian B Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 20.51
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +4.3/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$217,755

Jillian B Plan · Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA 30606
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,450 sqft · SingleFamily · 765 Days on market
Poor condition ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Appreciate all the comforts of a home built just for you at just the right size. Come together in the lively center of this home featuring a kitchen open to the dining and living rooms. Then enjoy privacy in the master suite separate from the other 2 bedrooms. Everything you want is here in this perfect gem.

Key facts

  • Master suite privacy
  • Open kitchen layout
  • Listed 765 days

Tags

OPEN KITCHEN LAYOUTMASTER SUITE PRIVACY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $217,755 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $341,903.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $218k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-918 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (4.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (16.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Clarke County (urban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #146 of 174 in GA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cleveland Road Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 284 students, 83% FRL); Burney-Harris-Lyons Middle School (math 19% / reading 23%, grade F, #342 of 470 statewide, top 73%, 728 students, 83% FRL); Clarke Central High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #238 of 424 statewide, top 57%, 1,836 students, 83% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 475 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,172 units permitted in Clarke County in 2024 (876 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clarke County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 765 days — a 12% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $182,855 (16.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 765 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.53%
Cap rate
3.07%
Cash-on-cash
-11.51%
DSCR
0.49
GRM
15.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$341,903
List price
$217,755
Delta
-36.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
396 Park West Blvd 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,420 (-2%) 3mo $345,000 $243 70
349 Park West Blvd 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,420 (-2%) 13mo $331,500 $233 65
425 Classic Rd 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,420 (-2%) 9mo $339,900 $239 64
157 Covington Pl 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+3%) 3mo $395,000 $263 63
357 Park West Blvd 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,420 (-2%) 20mo $354,900 $250 59
160 Cambridge Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,594 (+10%) 8mo $355,000 $223 52
250 Jennings Ct 0.42mi 3/2.5 1,659 (+14%) 4mo $349,000 $210 51
540 Park West Blvd 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,420 (-2%) 18mo $350,000 $246 50
105 Cambridge Dr 0.56mi 3/2.5 1,632 (+13%) 4mo $368,500 $226 48
170 Huntington Ct 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,350 (-7%) 5mo $190,000 $141 48
205 Jennings Ct 0.48mi 3/2.5 1,600 (+10%) 20mo $330,000 $206 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-38.9%
Equity multiple
-0.22×
Total profit
$-116,436
Equity at exit
$50,979
10-year hold
IRR
-70.2%
Equity multiple
-0.95×
Total profit
$-186,860
Equity at exit
$29,562

Cash invested: $95,733 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
7 active · 9 under contract
Months of supply
4.2 mo (24%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$260,858 ($156/sqft)
Median days on market
722 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+50.7% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 30606

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
475
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,829 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,793
Tax est. 1.5%
$427 /mo · $5,129/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$-918

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,991
Max offer price $209,029
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-682 -5% $-800 +0% $-918 +5% $-1,036 +10% $-1,155
Rent -10% $-1,063 -5% $-990 +0% $-918 +5% $-846 +10% $-774
Rate -1.0pp $-746 -0.5pp $-831 base $-918 +0.5pp $-1,007 +1.0pp $-1,097

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$85,476
Closing costs
$10,257
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
240 Cleveland Rd #440 Bogart, GA 2.0 2.5 1152 $1,500 $1.30 6d 1 0.23mi
250 Cleveland Rd Bogart, GA 2.0 2.0–2.5 1342 $1,400 $1.04 116d 2 0.26mi
135 Logmont Trce Athens, GA 2.0 2.5 1332 $1,500 $1.13 6d 1 0.31mi
332 Park West Blvd General, GA 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,200 $1.47 139d 1 0.44mi
332 Park West Blvd Unit NA Bogart, GA 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 116d 1 0.44mi
212 Westpark Dr Unit 212 Athens, GA 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,350 $1.31 6d 1 0.79mi
127 Red Maple DR Athens, GA 3.0 2.5 1672 $1,950 $1.17 6d 1 0.82mi
225 Jennings Mill Pkwy Athens, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1190 $2,100 $1.76 1d 27 0.86mi
150 Westpark Dr Athens, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 952 $1,775 $1.86 6d 13 0.92mi
482 Huntington Rd Athens, GA 2.0 2.5 1475 $1,550 $1.05 6d 1 0.95mi
125 Jennings Mill Pkwy Athens, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1012 $1,787 $1.76 1d 20 1.06mi
2035 Timothy Rd Athens, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1031 $1,859 $1.80 5d 16 1.41mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $217,755 Active 765 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $217,755 Active 764 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $217,755 Active 763 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $217,755 Active 762 DOM
  5. 2026-09-18
    days on market $217,755 Active 760 DOM
  6. 2026-09-17
    days on market $217,755 Active 759 DOM
  7. 2026-09-16
    days on market $217,755 Active 758 DOM
  8. 2026-09-15
    days on market $217,755 Active 757 DOM
  9. 2026-09-14
    days on market $217,755 Active 756 DOM
  10. 2026-09-13
    days on market $217,755 Active 755 DOM
  11. 2026-09-12
    days on market $217,755 Active 754 DOM
  12. 2026-09-11
    days on market $217,755 Active 753 DOM
  13. 2026-09-05
    days on market $217,755 Active 747 DOM
  14. 2026-09-04
    days on market $217,755 Active 746 DOM
  15. 2026-09-03
    days on market $217,755 Active 745 DOM
  16. 2026-08-31
    days on market $217,755 Active 742 DOM
  17. 2026-08-30
    days on market $217,755 Active 741 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $217,755 Active 740 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $217,755 Active 739 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $217,755 Active 738 DOM
  21. 2026-08-25
    days on market $217,755 Active 736 DOM
  22. 2026-08-24
    days on market $217,755 Active 735 DOM
  23. 2026-08-23
    days on market $217,755 Active 734 DOM
  24. 2026-08-22
    days on market $217,755 Active 733 DOM
  25. 2026-08-21
    days on market $217,755 Active 732 DOM
  26. 2026-08-20
    days on market $217,755 Active 731 DOM
  27. 2026-08-19
    days on market $217,755 Active 730 DOM
  28. 2026-08-18
    days on market $217,755 Active 729 DOM
  29. 2026-08-17
    days on market $217,755 Active 728 DOM
  30. 2026-08-16
    days on market $217,755 Active 727 DOM
  31. 2026-08-15
    days on market $217,755 Active 726 DOM
  32. 2026-08-14
    days on market $217,755 Active 725 DOM
  33. 2026-08-13
    days on market $217,755 Active 724 DOM
  34. 2026-08-12
    days on market $217,755 Active 723 DOM
  35. 2026-08-11
    days on market $217,755 Active 722 DOM
  36. 2026-08-10
    days on market $217,755 Active 721 DOM
  37. 2026-08-09
    days on market $217,755 Active 720 DOM
  38. 2026-08-08
    days on market $217,755 Active 719 DOM
  39. 2026-08-07
    days on market $217,755 Active 718 DOM
  40. 2026-08-06
    days on market $217,755 Active 717 DOM
  41. 2026-08-05
    days on market $217,755 Active 716 DOM
  42. 2026-08-04
    days on market $217,755 Active 715 DOM
  43. 2026-08-03
    days on market $217,755 Active 714 DOM
  44. 2026-07-31
    days on market $217,755 Active 711 DOM
  45. 2026-07-30
    days on market $217,755 Active 710 DOM
  46. 2026-07-29
    days on market $217,755 Active 709 DOM
  47. 2026-07-27
    days on market $217,755 Active 707 DOM
  48. 2026-07-25
    days on market $217,755 Active 705 DOM
  49. 2026-07-24
    days on market $217,755 Active 704 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $217,755 Active 703 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,943
− Mortgage interest
−$19,152
− Property taxes
−$5,129
− Insurance
−$1,710
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,755
− Management
−$1,755
− Depreciation
−$9,946
Taxable loss
−$17,504
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,201
After-tax cash flow
$-6,818/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab Est. rehab $72,500–$130,500 screening

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof replacement and exterior updates, to significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Exposed shingles and potential water damage
  • Major exterior siding — Weathered and peeling
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt
  • Major fencing — Old and worn

Value-add opportunities

  • Both repair roof — Fixing the roof is critical for both resale and rental value
  • Both repair exterior siding — Aesthetic improvement and increased curb appeal
  • Both landscaping and fencing — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both paint exterior — Fresh paint improves curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 20/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Cleveland Road Elementary School F GA #878/1,228 Nat'l #33,738/41,679 Middle Burney-Harris-Lyons Middle School F GA #342/470 Nat'l #11,464/14,009 High Clarke Central High School F GA #238/424 Nat'l #14,291/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clarke County
NCES district ID
1301170
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$33,649
Composite
15.51/100
National rank
#9302
State rank
#146 of 174 in GA

Livability — Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA
County
Clarke County · 141,365 people
City population
119,110
Metro
Athens-Clarke County, GA
Population (ZIP)
47,865
Household income
$63,328
Rent vs Own
56.2% rent · 43.8% own
Severe rent burden
14% of renters

Population outlook (Clarke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
141,365 people
By 2030
151,724 · +7.3%
By 2040
168,541 · +19.2%
By 2050
184,855 · +30.8%
By 2075
221,736 · +56.9%
By 2100
253,853 · +79.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, Philippines
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clarke

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.3) · D 68.6% · R 30.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+7.0pp toward D · 2008: 31.3pp · 2024: 38.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.3 2020: D+42.1 2016: D+38.0 2012: D+28.9 2008: D+31.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-3.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $214,706 Zillow
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $208,583 Zillow
  • 2024-09-04 Price Changed $211,863 Zillow
  • 2024-08-19 Listed $222,709 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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