🏗️ New Construction
Jillian B Plan · Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +4.5/30.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- 1% rule +0.5/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$217,755
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Appreciate all the comforts of a home built just for you at just the right size. Come together in the lively center of this home featuring a kitchen open to the dining and living rooms. Then enjoy privacy in the master suite separate from the other 2 bedrooms. Everything you want is here in this perfect gem.
Key facts
- Master suite privacy
- Open kitchen layout
- Listed 718 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $218k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-875 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (0.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (13.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $189k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Clarke County (urban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #146 of 174 in GA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cleveland Road Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 284 students, 83% FRL); Burney-Harris-Lyons Middle School (math 19% / reading 23%, grade F, #342 of 470 statewide, top 73%, 728 students, 83% FRL); Clarke Central High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #238 of 424 statewide, top 57%, 1,836 students, 83% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 401 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,172 units permitted in Clarke County in 2024 (876 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clarke County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 719 days — a 12% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 719 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.55% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.95%
- DSCR
- 0.51
- GRM
- 15.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $342,282
- List price
- $217,755
- Delta
- -36.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 396 Park West Blvd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-2%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $243 | 72 |
| 349 Park West Blvd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-2%) | 12mo | $331,500 | $233 | 66 |
| 425 Classic Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-2%) | 8mo | $339,900 | $239 | 66 |
| 157 Covington Pl | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+3%) | 1mo | $395,000 | $263 | 64 |
| 357 Park West Blvd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-2%) | 18mo | $354,900 | $250 | 60 |
| 160 Cambridge Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,594 (+10%) | 6mo | $355,000 | $223 | 53 |
| 250 Jennings Ct | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 | 1,659 (+14%) | 2mo | $349,000 | $210 | 52 |
| 540 Park West Blvd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-2%) | 17mo | $350,000 | $246 | 52 |
| 105 Cambridge Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 | 1,632 (+13%) | 2mo | $368,500 | $226 | 49 |
| 170 Huntington Ct | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,350 (-7%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $141 | 49 |
| 205 Jennings Ct | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,600 (+10%) | 19mo | $330,000 | $206 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -37.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.19×
- Total profit
- $-113,809
- Equity at exit
- $51,035
- IRR
- -66.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.89×
- Total profit
- $-181,330
- Equity at exit
- $29,594
Cash invested: $95,839 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active · 8 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.0 mo (33%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $255,465 ($154/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 693 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +52.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30606
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 401
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,887 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,795
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$428 /mo · $5,134/yr
- Insurance
- −$143
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$396
- Net cashflow
- $-875
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-638 | -5% $-756 | +0% $-875 | +5% $-993 | +10% $-1,111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,024 | -5% $-949 | +0% $-875 | +5% $-800 | +10% $-726 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-702 | -0.5pp $-788 | base $-875 | +0.5pp $-963 | +1.0pp $-1,054 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $85,571
- Closing costs
- $10,268
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 Cleveland Rd Bogart, GA | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1342 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 70d | 2 | 0.26mi |
| 135 Logmont Trce Athens, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1332 | $1,550 | $1.16 | 93d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 332 Park West Blvd Unit NA Bogart, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 70d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 332 Park West Blvd General, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 93d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 225 Jennings Mill Pkwy Athens, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1225 | $2,170 | $1.77 | 62d | 22 | 0.86mi |
| 150 Westpark Dr Athens, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $1,745 | $1.83 | 62d | 18 | 0.92mi |
| 125 Jennings Mill Pkwy Athens, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $1,582 | $1.70 | 62d | 13 | 1.06mi |
| 2035 Timothy Rd Athens, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1031 | $1,961 | $1.90 | 62d | 14 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $217,755 Active 719 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $217,755 Active 718 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $217,755 Active 717 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $217,755 Active 716 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $217,755 Active 715 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $217,755 Active 714 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $217,755 Active 711 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $217,755 Active 710 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $217,755 Active 709 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $217,755 Active 707 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $217,755 Active 705 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $217,755 Active 704 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $217,755 Active 703 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $217,755 Active 702 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $217,755 Active 701 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $217,755 Active 698 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $217,755 Active 696 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $217,755 Active 695 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $217,755 Active 694 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $217,755 Active 693 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $217,755 Active 692 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $217,755 Active 691 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $217,755 Active 690 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $217,755 Active 689 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $217,755 Active 688 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $217,755 Active 687 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $217,755 Active 686 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $217,755 Active 685 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $217,755 Active 684 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $217,755 Active 683 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $217,755 Active 682 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $217,755 Active 681 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $217,755 Active 680 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $217,755 Active 679 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $217,755 Active 678 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $217,755 Active 677 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $217,755 Active 676 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $217,755 Active 674 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $217,755 Active 672 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $217,755 Active 671 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $217,755 Active 669 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $217,755 Active 668 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $217,755 Active 667 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $217,755 Active 666 DOM
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2026-06-15price $217,755 Active 665 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $214,706 Active 665 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $214,706 Active 663 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $214,706 Active 662 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $214,706 Active 660 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $214,706 Active 659 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,643
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,173
- − Property taxes
- −$5,134
- − Insurance
- −$1,711
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,811
- − Management
- −$1,811
- − Depreciation
- −$9,957
- Taxable loss
- −$16,956
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,069
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,428/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof replacement and exterior updates, to significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Exposed shingles and potential water damage
- Major exterior siding — Weathered and peeling
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt
- Major fencing — Old and worn
Value-add opportunities
- Both repair roof — Fixing the roof is critical for both resale and rental value ↑
- Both repair exterior siding — Aesthetic improvement and increased curb appeal ↑
- Both landscaping and fencing — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint improves curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarke County
- NCES district ID
- 1301170
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,649
- Composite
- 15.51/100
- National rank
- #9302
- State rank
- #146 of 174 in GA
Livability — Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA
- County
- Clarke County · 141,365 people
- City population
- 119,110
- Metro
- Athens-Clarke County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,865
- Household income
- $63,328
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Clarke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 141,365 people
- By 2030
- 151,724 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 168,541 · +19.2%
- By 2050
- 184,855 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 221,736 · +56.9%
- By 2100
- 253,853 · +79.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clarke
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.3) · D 68.6% · R 30.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.0pp toward D · 2008: 31.3pp · 2024: 38.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.3 2020: D+42.1 2016: D+38.0 2012: D+28.9 2008: D+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -454.63%
- Current HPI
- 258.4817
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Athens-Clarke County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-3.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $214,706 Zillow
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $208,583 Zillow
- 2024-09-04 Price Changed $211,863 Zillow
- 2024-08-19 Listed $222,709 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…