14 Stoyer St · Frostburg, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
What a UNIQUE property!! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features arched windows, original hardwood floors, and one-level living. TLC is needed - ideal opportunity for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to restore a one-of-a-kind property. Property is being sold as-is!
Key facts
- Arched windows
- One-level living
- 4,697 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water; Natural gas
- Home design: Detached home; Above-grade finished living area; Assessor-sourced finished area
- Construction: Brick construction; Other foundation type; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Located in city limits (Frostburg)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen open to living area
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Natural gas heating; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Combination kitchen and living area; Attic; Unfinished basement with outside entrance; Main-floor laundry hookups
- Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 4.2% in Frostburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#7 in MD, #287 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
- Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.86%
- DSCR
- 2.24
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $115,690
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -43.82%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158 Center St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,560 (+4%) | 1mo | $177,250 | $114 | 79 |
| 8 Taylor St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,391 (-7%) | 15mo | $70,400 | $51 | 72 |
| 28 Taylor St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,696 (+13%) | 17mo | $100,000 | $59 | 59 |
| 180 E Mechanic St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,604 (+7%) | 9mo | $163,000 | $102 | 59 |
| 115 Main St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,608 (+7%) | 3mo | $139,999 | $87 | 57 |
| 142 Hill St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,603 (+7%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $112 | 56 |
| 84 Hill St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,428 (-5%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $105 | 55 |
| 19305 Upper Consol Rd NW | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,638 (+9%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $128 | 53 |
| 43 Green St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (-14%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $109 | 45 |
| 279 E Main St NE | 0.64mi | 3/3.0 | 1,620 (+8%) | 6mo | $199,900 | $123 | 44 |
| 185 S Water St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-14%) | 10mo | $133,000 | $103 | 39 |
| 135 Hill St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,306 (-13%) | 10mo | $120,500 | $92 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $16,380
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.69×
- Total profit
- $48,929
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21532
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,078 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $737/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $422
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $459 | -5% $441 | +0% $422 | +5% $404 | +10% $386 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $337 | -5% $380 | +0% $422 | +5% $465 | +10% $508 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $455 | -0.5pp $439 | base $422 | +0.5pp $406 | +1.0pp $389 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main St Frostburg, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2 Bob Cat Ct Frostburg, MD | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 45d | 6 | 0.52mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 271-char remark
-
2026-05-16historical Active Under Contract 271-char remark
-
2026-05-11$65,000 Active 271-char remark
-
2019-10-25soldstatus $59,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $737 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $737 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$737
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,035
- − Management
- −$1,035
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,275
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,026
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,044/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allegany County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400030
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,760
- Composite
- 18.95/100
- National rank
- #8854
- State rank
- #18 of 24 in MD
Livability — Frostburg
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #287
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Frostburg, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,123
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,778 people
- By 2030
- 66,766 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 62,784 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 59,179 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 50,732 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 40,837 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.31%
- Current HPI
- 244.5937
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+10.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-16 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $737 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…