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3120 Paradox Cir #204
F Composite 31.92
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +2.9/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$305,000

3120 Paradox Cir #204 · Kissimmee, FL 34746
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,126 sqft · Condo public records · 151 Days on market
Built 2019 Good condition $271/sqft · 9% below area Est $335k · 9% under $878/mo HOA · 34% of rent ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Positioned on the second floor in Terraces at Storey Lake, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo offers a bright, open layout designed for both everyday living and easy entertaining. The kitchen, dining, and living areas flow seamlessly together, all filled with natural light from the double sliding glass doors that lead out to your private balcony. The kitchen stands out with bright white cabinetry topped with crown molding, matching stainless steel appliances, stone countertops, a tile backsplash, and a large center island with wrap-around bar seating—perfect for casual meals or serving guests.

Key facts

  • Large center island
  • Stone countertops
  • Private balcony

Tags

PRIVATE BALCONYBRIGHT WHITE CABINETRYSTONE COUNTERTOPSTILE BACKSPLASHLARGE CENTER ISLANDWALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $305k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (57.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $260k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (57.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 2.4% vs local median 3.6% in Kissimmee — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#181 in FL, #2,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, employment D-.
  • Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Flora Ridge Elementary School (math 34% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,656 of 2,144 statewide, top 78%, 1,043 students, 50% FRL); Kissimmee Middle School (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 1,289 students, 59% FRL); Celebration High School (math 42% / reading 56%, grade D, #193 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 2,769 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 1712 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 40d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,336 (57.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 58% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
2.36%
Cash-on-cash
-14.05%
DSCR
0.37
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$335,440
List price
$305,000
Delta
-9.07%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3180 Paradox Cir #202 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,186 (+5%) 1mo $285,000 $240 88
3150 Paradox Cir #405 0.04mi 2/2.0 1,196 (+6%) 0mo $280,000 $234 87
3180 Paradox Cir #203 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,196 (+6%) 0mo $279,990 $234 87
4731 Clock Tower Dr #105 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,194 (+6%) 0mo $283,250 $237 84
4741 Clock Tower Dr #206 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,297 (+15%) 1mo $263,000 $203 69
3285 Smoke Signal Cir 1.13mi 2/2.0 1,123 (-0%) 1mo $350,000 $312 64
3003 Limbo Ln #103 0.83mi 2/2.0 1,159 (+3%) 0mo $228,000 $197 60
8125 Resort Village Dr #5803 1.15mi 2/2.0 1,060 (-6%) 1mo $125,000 $118 54
2788 Club Cortile Cir Unit A 1.03mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,204 (+7%) 0mo $195,000 $162 48
3148 Pinto Dr 1.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,328 (+18%) 0mo $340,000 $256 35
4900 Sausalito Ln 1.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,380 (+23%) 1mo $367,000 $266 34
5115 Warrior Ln 1.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,398 (+24%) 1mo $335,000 $240 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-48.5%
Equity multiple
-0.41×
Total profit
$-120,126
Equity at exit
$45,476
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-1.50×
Total profit
$-213,584
Equity at exit
$26,371

Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
0 active · 2 under contract

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34746

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Rents YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
1712
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,604 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,599
Tax from tax record
$453 /mo · $5,434/yr
Insurance
$127
HOA
$878
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$547
Net cashflow
$-1,000

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,870
Max offer price $128,336
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-827 -5% $-914 +0% $-1,000 +5% $-1,086 +10% $-1,173
Rent -10% $-1,206 -5% $-1,103 +0% $-1,000 +5% $-897 +10% $-794
Rate -1.0pp $-846 -0.5pp $-922 base $-1,000 +0.5pp $-1,079 +1.0pp $-1,159

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,250
Closing costs
$9,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3120 Paradox Cir #108 Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1329 $2,600 $1.96 119d 1 0.02mi
3120 Paradox Cir Unit 1603843P Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1280 $4,278 $3.34 4d 1 0.02mi
3161 Paradox Cir Kissimmee, FL 3.0 3.0 1329 $2,400 $1.81 28d 1 0.07mi
3151 Paradox Cir Unit 1UNIT 202 Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1181 $2,700 $2.29 119d 1 0.07mi
3111 Paradox Cir Unit 1018148P Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1184 $3,939 $3.33 77d 1 0.07mi
3171 Paradox Cir Unit 1UNIT 103 Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1181 $2,250 $1.91 119d 1 0.10mi
3191 Paradox Cir Unit 205 Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.5 1126 $2,500 $2.22 119d 1 0.11mi
3191 Paradox Cir Unit 1603818P Kissimmee, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1237 $3,947 $3.19 4d 2 0.11mi
4731 Clock Tower Dr Unit 1603793P Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1227 $6,150 $5.01 4d 1 0.13mi
4741 Clock Tower Dr #107 Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1186 $2,800 $2.36 119d 1 0.13mi
4751 Clock Tower Dr Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1196 $2,100 $1.76 28d 1 0.13mi
4721 Clock Tower Dr Unit 1359866P Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1184 $3,280 $2.77 97d 1 0.14mi
3251 Prime Park Cir Kissimmee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1043 $2,058 $1.97 2d 16 0.29mi
4865 Big Pine Loop Kissimmee, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 1023 $2,835 $2.77 2d 304 0.36mi
4865 Big Pine Loop Kissimmee, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 1023 $2,955 $2.89 110d 127 0.36mi
4701 Luminous Loop Kissimmee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 973 $1,912 $1.96 3d 30 0.37mi
4950 Lunar Ln Unit 1/1 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 740 $1,740 $2.35 28d 1 0.54mi
4950 Lunar Ln Kissimmee, FL 3.0 1.0–3.0 981 $2,715 $2.77 4d 39 0.56mi
2966 Sadina St Unit 106 Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.5 885 $1,299 $1.47 28d 1 0.67mi
2954 Sadina St Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.5 885 $1,299 $1.47 28d 2 0.69mi
4787 W Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy Kissimmee, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 943 $1,710 $1.81 7d 8 0.77mi
1115 Spaceport Ct Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1052 $2,000 $1.90 40d 1 0.78mi
1110 Spaceport Ct Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1052 $2,000 $1.90 119d 1 0.79mi
3007 Bonfire Beach Dr #103 Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1159 $1,699 $1.47 7d 1 0.80mi
1124 Spaceport Ct Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1052 $2,000 $1.90 28d 1 0.80mi
1125 Spaceport Ct Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1052 $2,000 $1.90 7d 1 0.80mi
3003 Limbo Ln #203 Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1271 $1,750 $1.38 42d 1 0.83mi
5002 Mangrove Aly #104 Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1066 $1,749 $1.64 106d 1 0.85mi
5002 Mangrove Aly #104 Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1066 $1,749 $1.64 73d 1 0.85mi
5002 Mangrove Aly #102 Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1159 $1,550 $1.34 42d 1 0.85mi
1021 Baseball and Boardwalk Ct Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1052 $2,000 $1.90 28d 1 0.85mi
1009 Baseball and Boardwalk Ct Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1052 $2,000 $1.90 40d 1 0.85mi
1024 Baseball and Boardwalk Ct Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1052 $2,000 $1.90 119d 1 0.86mi
1006 Baseball and Boardwalk Ct Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1052 $2,000 $1.90 40d 1 0.86mi
3016 Bonfire Beach Dr #103 Kissimmee, FL 2.0 2.0 1159 $1,800 $1.55 7d 1 0.87mi
5006 Mangrove Aly #101 Kissimmee, FL 1.0 1.0 834 $1,650 $1.98 62d 1 0.90mi
5008 Mangrove Aly Kissimmee, FL 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 40d 1 0.91mi
5008 Mangrove Aly #201 Kissimmee, FL 1.0 1.0 942 $1,295 $1.37 42d 1 0.91mi
3216 Running Bear Way Kissimmee, FL 3.0 2.0 1410 $2,400 $1.70 77d 1 0.97mi
4350 Osceola Trail Rd Kissimmee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1112 $1,607 $1.44 2d 45 0.98mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Financial info
CDD present
HOA & community
Monthly HOA fee of $878.63HOA includes poolCommunity clubhouse and poolSidewalks in communityAssociation approval not required

Exterior

Parking
Security
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerPublic utilities
Home design
CondominiumOne storyUnit on 2nd floorFaces west
Construction
Concrete and stucco constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt with building/unit number 204
Exterior features
Exterior lightingSidewalk

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherRangeMicrowaveRefrigerator
Bedrooms
2 bedrooms
Flooring
CarpetTile
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Eat-in kitchenKitchen/family room comboLiving room/dining room comboBuilding has elevator
Laundry & utility
WasherDryerLaundry inside

HOA detail $878/mo · $10,536/yr condo

Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-14
    days on market $305,000 Active 151 DOM
  2. 2026-09-13
    days on market $305,000 Active 150 DOM
  3. 2026-09-12
    days on market $305,000 Active 149 DOM
  4. 2026-09-11
    days on market $305,000 Active 148 DOM
  5. 2026-09-05
    days on market $305,000 Active 142 DOM
  6. 2026-09-04
    days on market $305,000 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-09-03
    days on market $305,000 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-08-31
    days on market $305,000 Active 137 DOM
  9. 2026-08-30
    days on market $305,000 Active 136 DOM
  10. 2026-08-29
    days on market $305,000 Active 135 DOM
  11. 2026-08-28
    days on market $305,000 Active 134 DOM
  12. 2026-08-27
    days on market $305,000 Active 133 DOM
  13. 2026-08-26
    days on market $305,000 Active 132 DOM
  14. 2026-08-25
    days on market $305,000 Active 131 DOM
  15. 2026-08-24
    days on market $305,000 Active 130 DOM
  16. 2026-08-22
    days on market $305,000 Active 128 DOM
  17. 2026-08-21
    days on market $305,000 Active 127 DOM
  18. 2026-08-20
    days on market $305,000 Active 126 DOM
  19. 2026-08-19
    days on market $305,000 Active 125 DOM
  20. 2026-08-18
    days on market $305,000 Active 124 DOM
  21. 2026-08-17
    days on market $305,000 Active 123 DOM
  22. 2026-08-16
    days on market $305,000 Active 122 DOM
  23. 2026-08-15
    days on market $305,000 Active 121 DOM
  24. 2026-08-14
    days on market $305,000 Active 120 DOM
  25. 2026-08-13
    days on market $305,000 Active 119 DOM
  26. 2026-08-12
    days on market $305,000 Active 118 DOM
  27. 2026-08-11
    days on market $305,000 Active 117 DOM
  28. 2026-08-10
    days on market $305,000 Active 116 DOM
  29. 2026-08-09
    days on market $305,000 Active 115 DOM
  30. 2026-08-08
    days on market $305,000 Active 114 DOM
  31. 2026-08-06
    days on market $305,000 Active 112 DOM
  32. 2026-08-05
    days on market $305,000 Active 111 DOM
  33. 2026-08-04
    days on market $305,000 Active 110 DOM
  34. 2026-08-03
    days on market $305,000 Active 109 DOM
  35. 2026-07-31
    days on market $305,000 Active 106 DOM
  36. 2026-07-30
    days on market $305,000 Active 105 DOM
  37. 2026-07-30
    days on market $305,000 Active 104 DOM
  38. 2026-07-28
    days on market $305,000 Active 103 DOM
  39. 2026-07-26
    days on market $305,000 Active 101 DOM
  40. 2026-07-24
    days on market $305,000 Active 99 DOM
  41. 2026-07-23
    days on market $305,000 Active 98 DOM
  42. 2026-07-22
    days on market $305,000 Active 97 DOM
  43. 2026-07-21
    days on market $305,000 Active 96 DOM
  44. 2026-07-20
    days on market $305,000 Active 95 DOM
  45. 2026-07-18
    days on market $305,000 Active 93 DOM
  46. 2026-07-18
    days on market $305,000 Active 92 DOM
  47. 2026-07-16
    days on market $305,000 Active 91 DOM
  48. 2026-07-15
    days on market $305,000 Active 90 DOM
  49. 2026-07-14
    days on market $305,000 Active 89 DOM
  50. 2026-07-13
    days on market $305,000 Active 88 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,434 · $453/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,434 · $453/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,251
− Mortgage interest
−$17,085
− Property taxes
−$5,434
− Insurance
−$1,525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,500
− Management
−$2,500
− HOA
−$10,536
− Depreciation
−$8,873
Taxable loss
−$17,202
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,129
After-tax cash flow
$-7,872/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,630–$16,890 screening

This well-maintained and updated condo is ready for move-in with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Reorganizing the living room furniture — Maximizes space and improves flow
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and adds value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 38/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Flora Ridge Elementary School F FL #1,656/2,144 Nat'l #22,441/41,679 Middle Kissimmee Middle School F FL #469/571 Nat'l #9,020/14,009 High Celebration High School D FL #193/667 Nat'l #6,078/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Osceola
NCES district ID
1201470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$45,528
Composite
35.7/100
National rank
#4865
State rank
#60 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 77/100

Livability — Kissimmee

Score
77/100
State rank
#181
US rank
#2841

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Osceola County · 447,624 people
City population
196,187
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
60,595
Household income
$70,998
Rent vs Own
28.4% rent · 71.6% own
Severe rent burden
14% of renters

Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,624 people
By 2030
511,823 · +14.3%
By 2040
642,986 · +43.6%
By 2050
774,552 · +73.0%
By 2075
1,078,144 · +140.9%
By 2100
1,269,660 · +183.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 49% White 29% Two or more races 18% Black 14% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 26% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Estonian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
44% English-only · Spanish 41% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Osceola

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-15.3% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $305,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $315,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-24 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $319,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-06 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-09 Price Changed $339,998 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-28 Rental Removed $4,770 RENTLY
  • 2025-03-01 Price Changed $339,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-06 Listed $340,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-09 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-18 Price Changed $339,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-17 Listed for Rent $4,770 RENTLY
  • 2024-09-09 Price Changed $340,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-29 Rental Removed $4,770 RENTLY
  • 2024-08-17 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-21 Listed for Rent $4,770 RENTLY
  • 2024-05-09 Listed $360,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,434 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…