7121 England St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sold as lot value only.
Key facts
- 7,108 sq ft lot
- Built 1948
- Listed 40 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $660 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 467 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,200/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 2532% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.21%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $191,339
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -26.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7121 England St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (0%) | 1mo | $139,900 | $108 | 99 |
| 4104 Idaho St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+0%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $146 | 76 |
| 6832 Goforth St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,392 (+7%) | 5mo | $98,000 | $70 | 69 |
| 7247 Saint Augustine St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $104 | 61 |
| 7129 Foster St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,107 (-15%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $108 | 60 |
| 3723 Amos St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (+1%) | 10mo | $199,999 | $153 | 58 |
| 3802 Rebecca St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (+4%) | 4mo | $189,000 | $140 | 55 |
| 3846 Lydia St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,164 (-10%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $142 | 50 |
| 6625 Goforth St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,489 (+15%) | 4mo | $142,000 | $95 | 48 |
| 4715 Ward St | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 1,454 (+12%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $158 | 40 |
| 3838 Daphne St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,461 (+13%) | 2mo | $269,000 | $184 | 38 |
| 4910 Ward St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,437 (+11%) | 10mo | $172,500 | $120 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $17,622
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $62,503
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77021
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 467
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$287 /mo · $3,438/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $660
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7032 Conley St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $2,850 | $2.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 7321 Conley St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1869 | $2,025 | $1.08 | 20d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 7321 Conley St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $2,025 | $1.35 | 20d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3846 Seabrook St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1833 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4705 Idaho St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1664 | $2,500 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3732 Seabrook St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1727 | $2,350 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3655 Seabrook St Unit 6 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,000 | $0.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4530 Mayflower St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 6532 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 18d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4942 Bataan Rd Unit 77033 Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6528 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 7358 Guadalcanal Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1768 | $2,195 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7806 Comal St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit ABC Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1375 | $3,500 | $2.55 | 11d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $3,500 | $2.69 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4613 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4601 White Rock St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,500 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8107 Calhoun Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1304 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7710 Darnay Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1635 | $2,095 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8010 Livingston St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,323 | $1.37 | 7d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $991 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 3174 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,129 | $0.98 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2292 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $998 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 510 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,172 | $1.02 | 12d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 3387 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,315 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $966 | $1.02 | 16d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 3047 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,172 | $1.02 | 11d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3360 Alice St Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,347 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4117 Shelby Cir Unit 1230900P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $5,355 | $3.92 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3620 Du Bois St Unit 1302349P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $2,945 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 6737 Peerless St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1732 | $2,649 | $1.53 | 16d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 6735 Peerless St Unit CUNIT A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1732 | $2,649 | $1.53 | 16d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3311 Daphne St Unit 1255369P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1797 | $6,544 | $3.64 | 2d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5813 England St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1473 | $2,195 | $1.49 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3311 Daphne St Unit 3311 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1800 | $7,500 | $4.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 8521 Dosia St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,665 | $1.62 | 12d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4406 Sterling St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $1,999 | $1.09 | 16d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3560 Dixie Dr Apt 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,410 | $1.07 | 7d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 23-char remark
Show marketing remark (23 chars)
Sold as lot value only.
-
2026-05-06status Pending 23-char remark
Show marketing remark (23 chars)
Sold as lot value only.
-
2026-04-02$139,900 Active 23-char remark
Show marketing remark (23 chars)
Sold as lot value only.
-
2017-01-19soldstatus
-
2017-01-18soldstatus Sold 86-char remark
Show marketing remark (86 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bathroom home. Secured with a nice yard. Home is very good condition.
-
2016-12-08soldstatus
-
2016-09-28status Pending 86-char remark
Show marketing remark (86 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bathroom home. Secured with a nice yard. Home is very good condition.
-
2016-09-14$50,000 Active 86-char remark
Show marketing remark (86 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bathroom home. Secured with a nice yard. Home is very good condition.
-
2015-07-08soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,438 · $287/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,438 · $287/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,401
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$3,438
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $6,133
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,472
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,444/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,153
- Household income
- $45,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2532.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% White 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.22%
- Current HPI
- 230.2869
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.17%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+179.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-06 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $139,900 HARMLS
- 2017-01-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-01-18 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2016-12-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-09-28 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-09-14 Listed $50,000 HARMLS
- 2015-07-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,438 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…