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2139 W Totems St
D- Composite 37.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,990

2139 W Totems St · Benson, AZ 85602
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,619 sqft · SingleFamily · 70 Days on market
Built 2026 9,148 sqft lot $154/sqft · 20% below area Est $312k · 20% under $43/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 beds | 2 baths | 2-bay | 1,619 stft

Key facts

  • Open-concept design
  • Primary suite
  • Gourmet kitchen

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT DESIGNGOURMET KITCHENWALK-IN PANTRYDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMPRIMARY SUITEDUAL VANITY SINKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-309 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $205k (17.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (26.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#34 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: commute D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Benson Unified School District (79226) (town): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #98 of 249 in AZ (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 263 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 437 units permitted in Cochise County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cochise County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $185,000 (26.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
4.81%
Cash-on-cash
-5.30%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$312,167
List price
$249,990
Delta
-19.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
904 S Stalactites Cir Lot 144 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,600 (-1%) 11mo $340,000 $213 86
2143 W Totems St Lot 129 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,600 (-1%) 14mo $346,000 $216 85
2108 W Moon Milk St 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,676 (+4%) 11mo $339,000 $202 77
913 S Stalactites Cir Lot 120 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,651 (+2%) 16mo $339,880 $206 74
1030 S Limestone St 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,673 (+3%) 8mo $279,000 $167 71
2028 W Cave Cotton Loop 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,713 (+6%) 14mo $299,000 $175 51
2090 W Cave Cotton Loop 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,810 (+12%) 0mo $204,000 $113 50
1020 S Limestone St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,425 (-12%) 16mo $272,500 $191 50
2040 W Cave Cotton Loop 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,686 (+4%) 15mo $320,000 $190 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.3%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-60,143
Equity at exit
$37,274
10-year hold
IRR
-21.4%
Equity multiple
-0.11×
Total profit
$-77,503
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $69,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85602

Home prices YoY
-23.4%
Active inventory
263
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,850 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$43
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$-309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,241
Max offer price $205,259
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,498
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1617 W Cottonwood Bluffs Dr Benson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1282 $1,850 $1.44 11d 1 1.07mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$43 · $516/yr

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,990 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,990 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,990 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,990 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,990 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,990 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $249,990 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,990 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,990 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,990 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $249,990 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,990 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,990 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    price $249,990 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $254,990 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $254,990 Active 52 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    price $254,990 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Unveil a world of comfort in Kartchner Vistas! The Palmero Plan offers a seamless open-concept design that integrates Living, Dining, and Kitchen areas--perfect for hosting guests or relaxing in comfort. Enjoy energy-efficient Low-E insulated windows throughout. The gourmet Kitchen boasts beautiful cabinetry, quartz countertops, a walk-in pantry, and LG appliances. A dedicated laundry room adds convenience to everyday living. Retreat to the tranquil primary suite featuring dual vanity sinks and a spacious walk-in closet. Three additional bedrooms, a stylish secondary bathroom, and a charming patio complete this exceptional home.

  18. 2026-05-04
    price $254,990 636-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Unveil a world of comfort in Kartchner Vistas! The Palmero Plan offers a seamless open-concept design that integrates Living, Dining, and Kitchen areas--perfect for hosting guests or relaxing in comfort. Enjoy energy-efficient Low-E insulated windows throughout. The gourmet Kitchen boasts beautiful cabinetry, quartz countertops, a walk-in pantry, and LG appliances. A dedicated laundry room adds convenience to everyday living. Retreat to the tranquil primary suite featuring dual vanity sinks and a spacious walk-in closet. Three additional bedrooms, a stylish secondary bathroom, and a charming patio complete this exceptional home.

  19. 2026-04-28
    price $259,990 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    3 beds | 2 baths | 2-bay | 1,619 stft

  20. 2026-04-27
    price $259,990 636-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Unveil a world of comfort in Kartchner Vistas! The Palmero Plan offers a seamless open-concept design that integrates Living, Dining, and Kitchen areas--perfect for hosting guests or relaxing in comfort. Enjoy energy-efficient Low-E insulated windows throughout. The gourmet Kitchen boasts beautiful cabinetry, quartz countertops, a walk-in pantry, and LG appliances. A dedicated laundry room adds convenience to everyday living. Retreat to the tranquil primary suite featuring dual vanity sinks and a spacious walk-in closet. Three additional bedrooms, a stylish secondary bathroom, and a charming patio complete this exceptional home.

  21. 2026-04-24
    price $259,123 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Unveil a world of comfort in Kartchner Vistas! The Palmero Plan offers a seamless open-concept design that integrates Living, Dining, and Kitchen areas--perfect for hosting guests or relaxing in comfort. Enjoy energy-efficient Low-E insulated windows throughout. The gourmet Kitchen boasts beautiful cabinetry, quartz countertops, a walk-in pantry, and LG appliances. A dedicated laundry room adds convenience to everyday living. Retreat to the tranquil primary suite featuring dual vanity sinks and a spacious walk-in closet. Three additional bedrooms, a stylish secondary bathroom, and a charming patio complete this exceptional home.

  22. 2026-04-24
    price $259,123 636-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Unveil a world of comfort in Kartchner Vistas! The Palmero Plan offers a seamless open-concept design that integrates Living, Dining, and Kitchen areas--perfect for hosting guests or relaxing in comfort. Enjoy energy-efficient Low-E insulated windows throughout. The gourmet Kitchen boasts beautiful cabinetry, quartz countertops, a walk-in pantry, and LG appliances. A dedicated laundry room adds convenience to everyday living. Retreat to the tranquil primary suite featuring dual vanity sinks and a spacious walk-in closet. Three additional bedrooms, a stylish secondary bathroom, and a charming patio complete this exceptional home.

  23. 2026-04-14
    price $264,123 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    3 beds | 2 baths | 2-bay | 1,619 stft

  24. 2026-04-13
    price $264,123 636-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Unveil a world of comfort in Kartchner Vistas! The Palmero Plan offers a seamless open-concept design that integrates Living, Dining, and Kitchen areas--perfect for hosting guests or relaxing in comfort. Enjoy energy-efficient Low-E insulated windows throughout. The gourmet Kitchen boasts beautiful cabinetry, quartz countertops, a walk-in pantry, and LG appliances. A dedicated laundry room adds convenience to everyday living. Retreat to the tranquil primary suite featuring dual vanity sinks and a spacious walk-in closet. Three additional bedrooms, a stylish secondary bathroom, and a charming patio complete this exceptional home.

  25. 2026-04-09
    listed $283,990 Active 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    3 beds | 2 baths | 2-bay | 1,619 stft

  26. 2026-04-08
    listed $283,990 Active 636-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Unveil a world of comfort in Kartchner Vistas! The Palmero Plan offers a seamless open-concept design that integrates Living, Dining, and Kitchen areas--perfect for hosting guests or relaxing in comfort. Enjoy energy-efficient Low-E insulated windows throughout. The gourmet Kitchen boasts beautiful cabinetry, quartz countertops, a walk-in pantry, and LG appliances. A dedicated laundry room adds convenience to everyday living. Retreat to the tranquil primary suite featuring dual vanity sinks and a spacious walk-in closet. Three additional bedrooms, a stylish secondary bathroom, and a charming patio complete this exceptional home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,200
− Mortgage interest
−$14,003
− Property taxes
−$3,750
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,776
− Management
−$1,776
− HOA
−$516
− Depreciation
−$7,272
Taxable loss
−$8,144
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,954
After-tax cash flow
$-1,755/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Benson Unified School District (79226)
NCES district ID
0400212
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$40,662
Composite
28.17/100
National rank
#6811
State rank
#98 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Benson

Score
71/100
State rank
#34
US rank
#6661

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Benson, AZ
Population (ZIP)
9,860

Population outlook (Cochise County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
113,402 people
By 2030
106,197 · -6.4%
By 2040
92,166 · -18.7%
By 2050
79,805 · -29.6%
By 2075
56,831 · -49.9%
By 2100
35,103 · -69.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cochise

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -23.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+24.0 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.74%
Current HPI
182.9079
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $254,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $254,990 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $259,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $259,990 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $259,123 Zillow
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $259,123 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $264,123 Zillow
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $264,123 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $283,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $283,990 MLSSAZ

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…