Triplex
None · Danbury, CT
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$979,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
TURN-KEY 3-FAMILY INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY Built in 2005, this property offers strong income potential. The current Annual Income is $71,100. Each unit has 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Natural Gas forced air heating and Central Air Conditioning. Kitchens are equipped with Refrig, Oven/Range, Dishwasher and Microwave. Off Street Parking, Public Utilities and easy access to highway, schools, shopping mall, parks, medical facilities and public transportation.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Public utilities
- 7,405 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property marketed as a multi-family investment (3 units)
- Financial info: No investor-specific income/expense or cash flow details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Space for 7 vehicles total; Driveway parking and off-street parking
- Security: No security features provided
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Electric water heater (40-gallon tank); Natural gas supply for heating
- Home design: Multi-family property (3-family); Multi-Family For Sale
- Construction: Built with frame construction; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Concrete/slab foundation; Exterior color: light grey
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Deck; Gutters; Level and sloping lot characteristics; Paved driveway; Off-street parking and parking lot available
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: 12 total bedrooms (across units)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 6 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Hot air heating using natural gas; Electric hot water with 40-gallon tank
- Interior features: Total of 18 rooms; Has an attic with pull-down stairs; Basement: none
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on lower level; All units have washer/dryer hook-ups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 4-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $980k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $749 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $250/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $927k (5.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $927k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.6% in Danbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in CT, #3,379 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Danbury School District (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #131 of 153 in CT (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Danbury High School (math 19% / reading 41%, grade F, #137 of 194 statewide, top 70%, 3,590 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,266/mo this rent would consume 145% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 3255% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($965k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.28%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $825,690
- List price
- $979,900
- Delta
- 18.68%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dr Aaron B Samuels Blvd | 0.61mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 3,625 (+8%) | 5mo | $885,000 | $244 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-110,304
- Equity at exit
- $146,106
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-31,471
- Equity at exit
- $84,724
Cash invested: $274,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06810
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 26.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,266 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,139
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,024 /mo · $12,287/yr
- Insurance
- −$408
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,946
- Net cashflow
- $749
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 4 | 2 | $9,267 |
| #1 | 4 | 2 | $3,089 |
| #2 | 4 | 2 | $3,089 |
| #3 | 4 | 2 | $3,089 |
| Total (3 units) | $9,266 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $244,975
- Closing costs
- $29,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-01status $979,900 Under Contract 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $979,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04$979,900 Active 463-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $12,287 · $1,024/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $16,628 · $1,386/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,341/yr (+$362/mo · 35.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $111,192
- − Mortgage interest
- −$54,890
- − Property taxes
- −$12,287
- − Insurance
- −$4,900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,895
- − Management
- −$8,895
- − Depreciation
- −$28,506
- Taxable loss
- −$7,181
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,723
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,714/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Danbury School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901020
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,793
- Composite
- 23.93/100
- National rank
- #7784
- State rank
- #131 of 153 in CT
Livability — Danbury
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #3379
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Danbury, CT
- County
- Fairfield County · 765,532 people
- City population
- 87,061
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,833
- Household income
- $76,933
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3255.0
Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 685,031
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 37% White 35% Two or more races 19% Black 12% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Estonian 8% Russian 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 41% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -309.71%
- Current HPI
- 286.5484
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $979,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2023): $12,287 · +19.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…