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138 Edgewood Dr
C- Composite 52.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$195,000

138 Edgewood Dr · Level Plains, AL 36322
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,496 sqft · SingleFamily · 124 Days on market
Built 1979 Fair condition $78/sqft · 31% below area Est $284k · 31% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Built in 1979, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 2,496 square feet of living space filled with character and potential. The main living room features a wood-burning fireplace, while the huge family room includes a cast iron stove with gas logs. The two bonus rooms off the family room could be converted into additional bedroom and/or bathroom space. The kitchen is equipped with a gas range, and the primary bedroom is generously sized. Additional features include an indoor grill and a partial kitchen located in the garage, ideal for entertaining. There is also an underground storm shelter. Sitting on approximately 2 acres, the property is mostly fenced and includes two powered workshops, with one having a bathroom. Conveniently located just minutes from Boll Weevil Circle, approximately 12 minutes to Fort Rucker, and 25 minutes to Dothan. Sold As-Is.

Key facts

  • Cast iron stove
  • Powered workshops
  • Mostly fenced

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIREPLACECAST IRON STOVEINDOOR GRILLUNDERGROUND STORM SHELTERPOWERED WORKSHOPSMOSTLY FENCED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-759/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (4.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (16.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#438 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Daleville City (town): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #97 of 129 in AL (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: A M Windham Elementary School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #392 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 499 students, 70% FRL); Daleville Middle School (math 7% / reading 39%, grade F, #176 of 257 statewide, top 70%, 361 students, 72% FRL); Daleville High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #238 of 305 statewide, top 79%, 294 students, 60% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,575 (16.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.39%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$284,268
List price
$195,000
Delta
-31.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
81 Edgewood Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 2,500 (+0%) 18mo $225,000 $90 82

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$102,198
Equity at exit
$175,671
10-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
6.57×
Total profit
$304,173
Equity at exit
$378,842

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36322

Home prices YoY
31.4%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,626 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax est. 1.5%
$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$341
Net cashflow
$-63

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,706
Max offer price $185,846
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $72 -5% $4 +0% $-63 +5% $-131 +10% $-198
Rent -10% $-192 -5% $-127 +0% $-63 +5% $1 +10% $65
Rate -1.0pp $35 -0.5pp $-14 base $-63 +0.5pp $-114 +1.0pp $-165

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
469 Madison Ave Enterprise, AL 4.0 3.0 2130 $2,500 $1.17 45d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 123 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 122 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $195,000 Active 121 DOM
  5. 2026-04-22
    price $195,000 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Built in 1979, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 2,496 square feet of living space filled with character and potential. The main living room features a wood-burning fireplace, while the huge family room includes a cast iron stove with gas logs. The two bonus rooms off the family room could be converted into additional bedroom and/or bathroom space. The kitchen is equipped with a gas range, and the primary bedroom is generously sized. Additional features include an indoor grill and a partial kitchen located in the garage, ideal for entertaining. There is also an underground storm shelter. Sitting on approximately 2 acres, the property is mostly fenced and includes two powered workshops, with one having a bathroom. Conveniently located just minutes from Boll Weevil Circle, approximately 12 minutes to Fort Rucker, and 25 minutes to Dothan. Sold As-Is.

  6. 2026-03-31
    price $200,000 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Built in 1979, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 2,496 square feet of living space filled with character and potential. The main living room features a wood-burning fireplace, while the huge family room includes a cast iron stove with gas logs. The two bonus rooms off the family room could be converted into additional bedroom and/or bathroom space. The kitchen is equipped with a gas range, and the primary bedroom is generously sized. Additional features include an indoor grill and a partial kitchen located in the garage, ideal for entertaining. There is also an underground storm shelter. Sitting on approximately 2 acres, the property is mostly fenced and includes two powered workshops, with one having a bathroom. Conveniently located just minutes from Boll Weevil Circle, approximately 12 minutes to Fort Rucker, and 25 minutes to Dothan. Sold As-Is.

  7. 2026-01-28
    listed $215,000 Active 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Built in 1979, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 2,496 square feet of living space filled with character and potential. The main living room features a wood-burning fireplace, while the huge family room includes a cast iron stove with gas logs. The two bonus rooms off the family room could be converted into additional bedroom and/or bathroom space. The kitchen is equipped with a gas range, and the primary bedroom is generously sized. Additional features include an indoor grill and a partial kitchen located in the garage, ideal for entertaining. There is also an underground storm shelter. Sitting on approximately 2 acres, the property is mostly fenced and includes two powered workshops, with one having a bathroom. Conveniently located just minutes from Boll Weevil Circle, approximately 12 minutes to Fort Rucker, and 25 minutes to Dothan. Sold As-Is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,509
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$2,925
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,561
− Management
−$1,561
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$4,108
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$986
After-tax cash flow
$227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 1979 home has potential but requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, and improve the landscaping and curb appeal.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — severely dated and worn
  • Major bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
  • Major landscaping — bare yard, no landscaping

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would attract more buyers
  • Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom would attract more buyers
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — improving the yard and curb appeal would attract more buyers and renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · severely dated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · dated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · bare yard, no landscaping Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would attract more buyers
  • Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom would attract more buyers
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — improving the yard and curb appeal would attract more buyers and renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Daleville City
NCES district ID
0101080
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$45,865
Composite
19.89/100
National rank
#8687
State rank
#97 of 129 in AL

Livability — Level Plains

Score
55/100
State rank
#438
US rank
#23383

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Dale County · 7,959 people
Metro
Ozark, AL
Population (ZIP)
7,959
Household income
$47,276
Rent vs Own
38.8% rent · 61.2% own
Severe rent burden
115.0

Population outlook (Dale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,805 people
By 2030
45,176 · -3.5%
By 2040
41,523 · -11.3%
By 2050
37,575 · -19.7%
By 2075
28,931 · -38.2%
By 2100
22,172 · -52.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 23% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · South Korea, China, Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dale

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.5% · R 75.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -52.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.3 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+42.2 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 49.15%
Current HPI
205.6
Rent YoY
Metro
Ozark, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $195,000 WBR
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $200,000 WBR
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $215,000 WBR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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