CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
150 Chapel Rd #55
C Composite 55.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$24,900

150 Chapel Rd #55 · Wells, ME 04090
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 528 sqft · Manufactured · 65 Days on market
Built 2002 Est $46k · 46% under $781/mo HOA · 33% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come enjoy the rest of the fall at Sea Vu South! Have you dreamed of having a seasonal get away minutes from the beaches of Wells & thought it couldn't happen?Come check out the home at Site 55 in Sea Vu South! This Park Model Home offers an open concept eat in kitchen & living room area that is fabulous for entertaining all in one space. The home is very clean & offers blinds throughout the home including the 3 season Florida room, central air conditioning & multiple AC vents. The kitchen has functional cabinet space, large counters & full size appliances. The home offers 2, YES 2 separate bedrooms with a queen bed in the bedroom in the back of the unit and tw

Key facts

  • Open concept kitchen
  • Full size appliances
  • Large counters

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT KITCHEN3 SEASON FLORIDA ROOMCENTRAL AIR CONDITIONINGFUNCTIONAL CABINET SPACELARGE COUNTERSFULL SIZE APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential zoning
  • Financial info: Land lease: Yes
  • HOA & community: Has an association with an annual fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; On-street parking available; 1–4 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public (and seasonal) water; Electric circuit breakers; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Mobile Home; Built in 2002
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Mobile construction
  • Exterior features: Located in-town; Situated in a mobile home park; Near golf course, public beach, shopping, turnpike/interstate, and town; Near railroad; Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on the first level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Wall unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Sunroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $913 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $23k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wells-Ogunquit CSD (rural): math 87% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #32 of 112 in ME (top 29%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 267 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $23,406 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
9.38%
Cap rate
50.27%
Cash-on-cash
157.07%
DSCR
7.99
GRM
0.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$46,464
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
150 Chapel Rd #515 0.00mi 1/1.0 (-1) 548 (+4%) 13mo $50,000 $91 78
150 Chapel Rd #813 0.00mi 2/1.0 512 (-3%) 21mo $45,000 $88 77
150 Chapel Rd #59 0.00mi 1/1.0 (-1) 552 (+4%) 15mo $35,000 $63 75
150 Chapel Rd #11 0.00mi 1/1.0 (-1) 584 (+11%) 15mo $10,000 $17 65
150 Chapel Rd #211 0.00mi 2/1.0 604 (+14%) 14mo $75,000 $124 64
150 Chapel Rd #106 0.00mi 1/1.0 (-1) 588 (+11%) 21mo $25,900 $44 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.83×
Total profit
$54,591
Equity at exit
$3,713
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
18.85×
Total profit
$124,422
Equity at exit
$2,153

Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04090

Home prices YoY
-20.0%
Active inventory
267
Price-to-rent
0.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,335 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$10 /mo · $123/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$781
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$913

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,180
Max offer price $24,900
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $927 -5% $920 +0% $913 +5% $906 +10% $899
Rent -10% $728 -5% $820 +0% $913 +5% $1,005 +10% $1,097
Rate -1.0pp $925 -0.5pp $919 base $913 +0.5pp $906 +1.0pp $900

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,225
Closing costs
$747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$781 · $9,372/yr

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $24,900 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $24,900 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $24,900 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 679-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $24,900 Active 62 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$123 · $10/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$231 · $19/mo
Expected delta
+$108/yr (+$9/mo · 87.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,022
− Mortgage interest
−$1,395
− Property taxes
−$123
− Insurance
−$124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,242
− Management
−$2,242
− HOA
−$9,372
− Depreciation
−$724
Taxable income
$11,800
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,832
After-tax cash flow
$8,119/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wells-Ogunquit CSD
NCES district ID
2313490
Math proficiency
87% ▲ 42.00%
Reading proficiency
90% ▲ 26.00%
Median HH income
$61,341
Composite
75.79/100
National rank
#125
State rank
#32 of 112 in ME

Livability — Wells

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,544

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,961 people
By 2030
212,816 · +1.4%
By 2040
214,360 · +2.1%
By 2050
210,350 · +0.2%
By 2075
201,686 · -3.9%
By 2100
183,392 · -12.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.52%
Current HPI
413.9951
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Relisted MREIS
  • 2025-12-22 Delisted MREIS
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $24,900 MREIS

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $123 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…