🏷️ Likely Rental
3054 Gordonia · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
***Price Reduction*** Great for first-time homeowners or an Investor. Nice 3-bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a large lot in North Shreveport near Southern University and close to downtown Shreveport. This home has had a long-term tenant, but is currently vacant. Call for more information and showing instructions.
Key facts
- Large lot
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1954
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $26k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $842 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $26k).
- Recommended offer: $23k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 45.3% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 262 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $179 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $777 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 465 days — a 12% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 465 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 45.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 139.34%
- DSCR
- 7.20
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $46,684
- List price
- $25,900
- Delta
- -44.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3052 Yorktown Dr | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,057 (+8%) | 3mo | $68,000 | $64 | 79 |
| 3032 Gordonia St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 979 (0%) | 20mo | $210,000 | $215 | 78 |
| 3023 Oak Forest Ln | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 839 (-14%) | 8mo | $15,000 | $18 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.82×
- Total profit
- $49,447
- Equity at exit
- $3,862
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.47×
- Total profit
- $112,171
- Equity at exit
- $2,239
Cash invested: $7,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71107
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Active inventory
- 262
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,281 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$136
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $275/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $842
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,475
- Closing costs
- $777
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4321 Ridgeway St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $800 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,900 Active 465 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $25,900 Active 464 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $25,900 Active 463 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $25,900 Active 462 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $25,900 Active 460 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $25,900 Active 459 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $25,900 Active 457 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,900 Active 456 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $25,900 Active 455 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $25,900 Active 454 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $25,900 Active 451 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $25,900 Active 450 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $25,900 Active 449 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $25,900 Active 448 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,900 Active 447 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $25,900 Active 446 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $25,900 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
***Price Reduction*** Great for first-time homeowners or an Investor. Nice 3-bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a large lot in North Shreveport near Southern University and close to downtown Shreveport. This home has had a long-term tenant, but is currently vacant. Call for more information and showing instructions.
-
2026-04-02price $26,000 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
***Price Reduction*** Great for first-time homeowners or an Investor. Nice 3-bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a large lot in North Shreveport near Southern University and close to downtown Shreveport. This home has had a long-term tenant, but is currently vacant. Call for more information and showing instructions.
-
2025-10-01price $28,000 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
***Price Reduction*** Great for first-time homeowners or an Investor. Nice 3-bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a large lot in North Shreveport near Southern University and close to downtown Shreveport. This home has had a long-term tenant, but is currently vacant. Call for more information and showing instructions.
-
2025-08-21price $29,500 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
***Price Reduction*** Great for first-time homeowners or an Investor. Nice 3-bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a large lot in North Shreveport near Southern University and close to downtown Shreveport. This home has had a long-term tenant, but is currently vacant. Call for more information and showing instructions.
-
2025-03-10$30,000 Active 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
***Price Reduction*** Great for first-time homeowners or an Investor. Nice 3-bedroom, 1 bath home sits on a large lot in North Shreveport near Southern University and close to downtown Shreveport. This home has had a long-term tenant, but is currently vacant. Call for more information and showing instructions.
-
2025-01-16soldstatus Closed 246-char remark
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Great for a first-time homeowner or an Investor. This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has so much potential, it currently has a long-term tenant. It will not last, call us for more information. This property can be sold along with 3009 Gordonia Drive.
-
2025-01-03historical Active Contingent 246-char remark
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Great for a first-time homeowner or an Investor. This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has so much potential, it currently has a long-term tenant. It will not last, call us for more information. This property can be sold along with 3009 Gordonia Drive.
-
2025-01-02$27,500 Active 246-char remark
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Great for a first-time homeowner or an Investor. This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home has so much potential, it currently has a long-term tenant. It will not last, call us for more information. This property can be sold along with 3009 Gordonia Drive.
-
2019-03-01soldstatus $45,000
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2009-08-21soldstatus $72,000
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2004-06-09soldstatus
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1993-03-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $275 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $275 · $23/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,366
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,451
- − Property taxes
- −$275
- − Insurance
- −$130
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,229
- − Management
- −$1,229
- − Depreciation
- −$753
- Taxable income
- $10,299
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,472
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,633/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,734
- Household income
- $48,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1346.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 43% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.11%
- Current HPI
- 117.801
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-64.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $25,900 NTREIS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $26,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $28,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-21 Price Changed $29,500 NTREIS
- 2025-03-10 Listed $30,000 NTREIS
- 2025-01-16 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2025-01-03 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2025-01-02 Listed $27,500 NTREIS
- 2019-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2009-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2004-06-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1993-03-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $275 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…