1028 Pennsylvania 940 · Hazleton, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.6/15.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Possibilities are endless with this single family home for sale located on a high traffic road. First floor master bedroom with master bathroom, first floor laundry room, gas heat, office, large two car garage. Many upgrades, including new floors, windows, electrical, and much more!
Key facts
- New floors
- Large two car garage
- Gas heat
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-228/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (1.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (19.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.5% in Hazleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#930 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Hazle Township Early Learning Center (493 students, 100% FRL); Hazleton Area Hs (math 53% / reading 8%, grade F, #347 of 437 statewide, top 79%, 3,795 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 60% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $130k; list at $245k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.33%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,930
- List price
- $245,000
- Delta
- 6.55%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1041 Laurel St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,365 (-0%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $132 | 88 |
| 880 Church St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,440 (+5%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $167 | 65 |
| 806 Lafayette Ct | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,360 (-1%) | 6mo | $156,000 | $115 | 62 |
| 999 Alter St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,520 (+11%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $125 | 62 |
| 669 Vine St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,358 (-1%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $110 | 57 |
| 1009 Peace St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,288 (-6%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $171 | 55 |
| 1000 Seybert St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,547 (+13%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $175 | 53 |
| 769 Locust St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,246 (-9%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $177 | 46 |
| 784 James St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,511 (+10%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $113 | 43 |
| 1115 Fairlawn Blvd | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,550 (+13%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $161 | 40 |
| 226 8th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,458 (+6%) | 8mo | $147,340 | $101 | 39 |
| 402 30th St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,518 (+11%) | 8mo | $295,000 | $194 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $132,177
- Equity at exit
- $220,715
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.69×
- Total profit
- $390,100
- Equity at exit
- $475,981
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18202
- Home prices YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 272
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,963 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,193/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $-19
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $120 | -5% $50 | +0% $-19 | +5% $-88 | +10% $-158 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-174 | -5% $-97 | +0% $-19 | +5% $59 | +10% $136 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $104 | -0.5pp $43 | base $-19 | +0.5pp $-82 | +1.0pp $-147 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 538 Carson St Hazleton, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,450 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Possibilities are endless with this single family home for sale located on a high traffic road. First floor master bedroom with master bathroom, first floor laundry room, gas heat, office, large two car garage. Many upgrades, including new floors, windows, electrical, and much more!
-
2026-04-26status Active 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Possibilities are endless with this single family home for sale located on a high traffic road. First floor master bedroom with master bathroom, first floor laundry room, gas heat, office, large two car garage. Many upgrades, including new floors, windows, electrical, and much more!
-
2026-04-19status Pending 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Possibilities are endless with this single family home for sale located on a high traffic road. First floor master bedroom with master bathroom, first floor laundry room, gas heat, office, large two car garage. Many upgrades, including new floors, windows, electrical, and much more!
-
2026-04-16$245,000 Active 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Possibilities are endless with this single family home for sale located on a high traffic road. First floor master bedroom with master bathroom, first floor laundry room, gas heat, office, large two car garage. Many upgrades, including new floors, windows, electrical, and much more!
-
2021-10-06$219,900
-
2021-07-21soldstatus $130,000
-
2019-10-10soldstatus $90,000
-
2019-08-15$105,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,193 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,032 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- +$839/yr (+$70/mo · 38.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,554
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$2,193
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,884
- − Management
- −$1,884
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$4,484
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,076
- After-tax cash flow
- $848/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazleton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,247
- Composite
- 20.44/100
- National rank
- #8582
- State rank
- #476 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hazleton
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #930
- US rank
- #10115
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Luzerne County · 118,885 people
- City population
- 13,755
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,755
- Household income
- $55,153
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 369.0
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 9% Black 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 26% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.19%
- Current HPI
- 306.1029
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+133.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-04-26 Relisted — LCAR
- 2026-04-19 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-04-16 Listed $245,000 LCAR
- 2021-10-06 Listed $219,900 LCAR
- 2021-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2019-10-10 Sold (MLS) $90,000 LCAR
- 2019-08-15 Listed $105,000 LCAR
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2026): $2,193 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…