CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
19730 Trinity St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

19730 Trinity St · Detroit, MI 48219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,381 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 339 Days on market
Built 1949 5,663 sqft lot $51/sqft · 39% below area Est $115k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: Section 8 home in attractive neighborhood with basement and garage. Home is currently rented at $900.00.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Basement
  • 5,663 sq ft lot

Tags

BASEMENTGARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $69,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$114,644) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $651 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 339 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 339 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.05%
Cap rate
17.47%
Cash-on-cash
39.93%
DSCR
2.78
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$114,644
List price
$69,900
Delta
-39.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19507 Pierson St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,500 (+9%) 10mo $125,000 $83 72
19211 Pierson St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,272 (-8%) 2mo $69,000 $54 71
20052 Pierson St 0.29mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,389 (+1%) 10mo $88,155 $63 70
19785 Chapel St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+4%) 9mo $142,000 $99 68
19928 Pierson St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,586 (+15%) 2mo $80,000 $50 65
20523 Burt Rd 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,356 (-2%) 8mo $185,000 $136 64
19795 Greydale Ave 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,247 (-10%) 4mo $129,997 $104 60
20274 Greydale Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,472 (+7%) 4mo $159,800 $109 56
18498 Fielding St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,450 (+5%) 5mo $61,000 $42 54
19950 Houghton St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-13%) 8mo $153,000 $128 40
19468 Evergreen Rd 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,550 (+12%) 8mo $139,050 $90 37
20705 Westhampon Ave Ave 0.71mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,539 (+11%) 7mo $220,000 $143 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.9%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$37,756
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
50.3%
Equity multiple
7.18×
Total profit
$120,904
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,436 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$651

Break-even live

Break-even rent $611
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $699 -5% $675 +0% $651 +5% $627 +10% $603
Rent -10% $538 -5% $594 +0% $651 +5% $708 +10% $765
Rate -1.0pp $686 -0.5pp $669 base $651 +0.5pp $633 +1.0pp $615

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19810 Blackstone St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,395 $1.15 44d 1 0.11mi
21422 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,695 $1.70 17d 1 0.25mi
19781 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 5d 1 0.28mi
20079 Patton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,550 $1.35 5d 1 0.38mi
19457 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 0.55mi
19928 Houghton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 880 $1,495 $1.70 11d 1 0.57mi
22238 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 0.62mi
18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 875 $1,364 $1.56 15d 1 0.70mi
20555 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 737 $975 $1.32 44d 2 0.70mi
18556 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 952 $1,250 $1.31 3d 1 0.72mi
19501 Redfern St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 1816 $1,350 $0.74 44d 1 0.75mi
21455 Pickford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 44d 1 0.79mi
21434 Karl St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 44d 1 0.81mi
18461 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 5d 1 0.82mi
22649 Frisbee St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 44d 1 0.88mi
22570 Seven Mile W Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 890 $875 $0.98 44d 1 0.89mi
18205 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 901 $1,078 $1.20 24d 1 0.90mi
17721 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1040 $1,125 $1.08 24d 1 0.90mi
47129 Wedgewood Southfield, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 44d 1 0.91mi
19800 Berg Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 17d 1 0.91mi
20271 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 24d 1 0.95mi
18191 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 917 $1,100 $1.20 24d 1 0.96mi
19176 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 941 $1,300 $1.38 5d 1 0.97mi
21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,400 $1.36 17d 1 0.97mi
17624 Patton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,695 $1.35 44d 1 1.01mi
18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,150 $1.08 17d 1 1.04mi
20284 Melrose St Southfield, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 44d 1 1.05mi
18450 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 44d 1 1.05mi
21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1037 $1,394 $1.34 17d 1 1.06mi
19445 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,550 $1.52 44d 1 1.18mi
18452 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,500 $1.62 17d 1 1.19mi
20011 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 1.19mi
17678 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1528 $1,650 $1.08 17d 1 1.22mi
17678 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1528 $1,650 $1.08 15d 1 1.22mi
17255 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,450 $0.97 12d 1 1.24mi
17355 McIntyre St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 44d 1 1.42mi
17328 McIntyre St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 44d 1 1.43mi
17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 1.47mi
20527 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 2.0 975 $1,528 $1.57 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 339 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 338 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 336 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 334 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 333 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 330 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 329 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 328 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,900 Active 325 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 324 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 322 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 321 DOM
  13. 2026-04-09
    price $69,900 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (130 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: Section 8 home in attractive neighborhood with basement and garage. Home is currently rented at $900.00.

  14. 2026-04-09
    price $69,900 130-char remark
    Show marketing remark (130 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: Section 8 home in attractive neighborhood with basement and garage. Home is currently rented at $900.00.

  15. 2026-04-09
    price $69,900
    Show marketing remark (130 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: Section 8 home in attractive neighborhood with basement and garage. Home is currently rented at $900.00.

  16. 2025-12-27
    price $73,000 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: Section 8 home in attractive neighborhood with basement and garage. Home is currently rented at $900.00.

  17. 2025-12-26
    price $73,000 130-char remark
    Show marketing remark (130 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: Section 8 home in attractive neighborhood with basement and garage. Home is currently rented at $900.00.

  18. 2025-12-26
    price $73,000
    Show marketing remark (130 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: Section 8 home in attractive neighborhood with basement and garage. Home is currently rented at $900.00.

  19. 2025-07-14
    listed $78,000 Active 130-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: Section 8 home in attractive neighborhood with basement and garage. Home is currently rented at $900.00.

  20. 2025-07-14
    listed $78,000 Active 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: Section 8 home in attractive neighborhood with basement and garage. Home is currently rented at $900.00.

  21. 2025-07-14
    listed $78,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: Section 8 home in attractive neighborhood with basement and garage. Home is currently rented at $900.00.

  22. 2023-03-22
    soldstatus $74,000
  23. 2020-07-31
    soldstatus $394,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,229
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,048
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,378
− Management
−$1,378
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$7,125
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,710
After-tax cash flow
$6,104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-82.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $69,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $69,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-27 Price Changed $73,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-26 Price Changed $73,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-26 Price Changed $73,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-07-14 Listed $78,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-14 Listed $78,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-07-14 Listed $78,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
  • 2020-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $394,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+26.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,255 · -38.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…