🏷️ Likely Rental
410 Weatherby Ave · Swedesboro, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 410 Weatherby Ave, located in the highly desirable Kingsway Regional School District! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home presents an excellent opportunity for investors or owner-occupants looking to add their personal touch. The property is being sold strictly in as-is condition, with the buyer responsible for any inspections, certifications, and repairs required for closing. A current tenant occupies the property and is willing to remain and continue renting for the new owner, offering immediate income potential. The existing lease expires in August, providing flexibility for buyers who may wish to occupy the home themselves. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining,
Key facts
- Built 1927
- Listed 16 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Owned as fee simple; Above-grade finished area reported as 1,296 (source: assessor); Living area source: assessor; Year built source: assessor
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Semi-detached home; Frame construction
- Construction: Concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 26.00 x 137.50; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $192k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.7% in Swedesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#417 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Kingsway Regional School District (rural): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #175 of 472 in NJ (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $63k; list at $195k implies a 210% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.46%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $254,016
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 Railroad Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,304 (+1%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $196 | 84 |
| 221 Broad St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,192 (-8%) | 15mo | $259,000 | $217 | 62 |
| 424 Broad St | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 1,236 (-5%) | 22mo | $245,000 | $198 | 61 |
| 310 Helms Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,220 (-6%) | 23mo | $256,000 | $210 | 56 |
| 1244-1250 Kings Hwy Unit C | 0.45mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,313 (+1%) | 17mo | $235,000 | $179 | 56 |
| 19 Franklin St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,356 (+5%) | 18mo | $228,000 | $168 | 54 |
| 314 Helms Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,460 (+13%) | 16mo | $270,000 | $185 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-12,808
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $13,263
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08085
- Home prices YoY
- -24.8%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,174 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$320 /mo · $3,839/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $404 | -5% $349 | +0% $294 | +5% $239 | +10% $183 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $122 | -5% $208 | +0% $294 | +5% $380 | +10% $466 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $392 | -0.5pp $343 | base $294 | +0.5pp $243 | +1.0pp $192 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212 Helms Ave Unit FIRST Swedesboro, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1612 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 2d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1705 Kings Hwy Swedesboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2105 Lexington Mews Swedesboro, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1744 | $2,600 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 507 Lexington Mews Swedesboro, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1758 | $3,000 | $1.71 | 10d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $195,000 Pending 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $195,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$195,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,839 · $320/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,347 · $362/mo
- Expected delta
- +$508/yr (+$42/mo · 13.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,090
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$3,839
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,087
- − Management
- −$2,087
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $505
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$121
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,404/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingsway Regional School District
- NCES district ID
- 3407980
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $108,204
- Composite
- 41.2/100
- National rank
- #3543
- State rank
- #175 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Swedesboro
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #417
- US rank
- #14651
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Swedesboro, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,856
Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 298,895 people
- By 2030
- 299,031 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 294,020 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 284,188 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 260,720 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 229,565 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.28%
- Current HPI
- 295.8354
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+69.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $195,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-07-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-01-20 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2013-12-16 Sold (MLS) $63,000 TREND
- 2013-12-16 Sold (MLS) $63,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-11-15 Pending — TREND
- 2013-11-04 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-05-23 Listed $70,000 TREND
- 2013-05-23 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-01-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-06-20 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,839 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…