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402 39th St
B Composite 74.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

402 39th St · Lubbock, TX 79404
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1950 6,625 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Incredible opportunity to acquire a turn-key, remodeled 6-property rental portfolio offering immediate cash flow and minimal future CapEx. Five homes are fully remodeled and tenant-occupied with updated interiors, solid rental history, and proven performance. One property is recently remodeled and move-in ready for lease-up or owner use. Each home features updated flooring, modern kitchens and baths, fresh paint, and improved mechanicals. Perfect for out-of-state investors, 1031 exchange buyers, or anyone looking for stable, low-maintenance rentals from day one. Portfolio can be purchased only as a package—no individual sales. Financials, rent rolls, and additional details available upon request.

Key facts

  • 6,625 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing broker: The 32:18 Management Group

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Gas water heater (gas); Standard electric (details not provided); Municipal sewer/water (details not provided)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition roof; Built before or in recent records (year not provided)
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling; Attic fan
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Exhaust fan
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($969 rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.71%
Cash-on-cash
15.77%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$27,497
Equity at exit
$34,671
10-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
4.44×
Total profit
$72,169
Equity at exit
$54,180

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79404

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$969 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $781/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$204
Net cashflow
$276

Break-even live

Break-even rent $620
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
330 37th St Unit 2 Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 750 $750 $1.00 14d 1 0.16mi
332 37th St Unit 2 Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 725 $700 $0.97 21d 1 0.16mi
512 39th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 876 $849 $0.97 14d 1 0.18mi
211 36th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 750 $775 $1.03 44d 1 0.19mi
209 36th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 750 $750 $1.00 44d 1 0.19mi
609 38th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 660 $550 $0.83 44d 1 0.23mi
519 42nd St Apt A Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1092 $895 $0.82 14d 1 0.31mi
220 44th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 980 $910 $0.93 14d 1 0.31mi
505 E 37th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 960 $1,125 $1.17 14d 1 0.43mi
519 45th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 14d 1 0.45mi
529 45th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $875 $0.80 14d 1 0.47mi
703 47th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 821 $750 $0.91 21d 1 0.59mi
705 47th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 821 $750 $0.91 21d 1 0.59mi
713 47th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 21d 1 0.61mi
1204 36th St Unit b Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $835 $0.96 14d 1 0.62mi
1107 45th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 728 $850 $1.17 44d 1 0.65mi
1312 40th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 940 $795 $0.85 21d 1 0.71mi
1119 46th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 704 $595 $0.85 21d 1 0.74mi
313 52nd St Lubbock, TX 4.0 1.0 1044 $975 $0.93 21d 1 0.87mi
3104 Avenue N Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 750 $785 $1.05 21d 1 0.89mi
1101 52nd St Apt C Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 721 $850 $1.18 21d 1 0.99mi
1313 25th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 780 $875 $1.12 44d 1 1.09mi
1317 52nd St Unit C Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 755 $650 $0.86 21d 1 1.11mi
1712 42nd St Unit B Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 899 $695 $0.77 21d 1 1.11mi
1608 29th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.5 694 $750 $1.08 14d 1 1.12mi
5512 Avenue G Unit G Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1117 $1,000 $0.90 44d 1 1.12mi
1316 53rd St Apt D Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 755 $695 $0.92 44d 1 1.12mi
1307 53rd St Unit 1307 C Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 755 $695 $0.92 44d 1 1.12mi
1710 45th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 714 $595 $0.83 14d 1 1.13mi
1511 52nd St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 648 $800 $1.23 44d 1 1.17mi
1610 28th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 2.0 1060 $750 $0.71 14d 1 1.17mi
1609 27th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 862 $900 $1.04 44d 1 1.19mi
1717 47th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 830 $775 $0.93 21d 1 1.22mi
1704 E 29th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 832 $775 $0.93 21d 1 1.29mi
2015 Avenue L Unit B Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 980 $960 $0.98 14d 1 1.30mi
1516 E 27th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,195 $1.17 44d 1 1.32mi
2011 35th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 810 $800 $0.99 44d 1 1.32mi
1724 27th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $925 $1.09 44d 1 1.36mi
3113 Teak Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1088 $750 $0.69 44d 1 1.38mi
3113 Teak Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1088 $695 $0.64 21d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $75,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$781 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,372 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$592/yr (+$49/mo · 75.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,629
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$781
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$930
− Management
−$930
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$2,229
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$535
After-tax cash flow
$2,776/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lubbock ISD
NCES district ID
4828500
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$39,820
Composite
31.44/100
National rank
#5984
State rank
#481 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lubbock

Score
80/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#1749

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lubbock, TX
County
Lubbock County · 293,542 people
City population
283,030
Metro
Lubbock, TX
Population (ZIP)
8,529
Household income
$51,630
Rent vs Own
31.0% rent · 69.0% own
Severe rent burden
366.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 55% Black 22% White 20% Two or more races 17% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 46%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 36%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.22%
Current HPI
163.854
Rent YoY
Metro
Lubbock, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $75,000 LARMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Sold (MLS) LARMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Pending LARMLS
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $75,000 LARMLS
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $61,500 LARMLS
  • 2025-06-19 Rental Removed $750 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-04-29 Listed for Rent $750 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-10-07 Rental Removed $800 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-09-15 Listed for Rent $800 BUILDIUM
  • 2011-06-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $781 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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