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200 Davis Mt Rd
B Composite 72.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$110,000

200 Davis Mt Rd · Preston-Potter Hollow, NY 12469
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,414 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1900 0.72 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 200 Davis Mt Rd, a traditional 2-story home nestled in the peaceful countryside of Oak Hill, New York. This single-family residence offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms on 0.72 acres, making it a wonderful opportunity for buyers looking to customize a home to their own taste. With classic charm and solid features already in place, this property is ready for your personal touch. Step inside and imagine cozy mornings in the country kitchen or relaxing in the spacious living room, where original details bring warmth and character. An enclosed porch provides extra space to entertain or enjoy the seasons, while outdoor seating areas invite you to unwind under the stars. The home features a sturdy metal roof, a full basement, and newer windows, providing a strong foundation for your renovation vision. Perfectly situated in Oak Hill, you'll enjoy the tranquility of rural living while being just minutes from popular destinations like Catskill, Windham, and Greenville. Whether you're drawn to skiing and outdoor recreation, charming small-town shops, or dining at local favorites, this location offers the best of both convenience and country life. Ideal for first-time buyers, families, or investors, this diamond in the rough is brimming with potential. Don't miss your chance to create a beautiful retreat in the Catskills. Schedule a showing today and start bringing your vision to life at 200 Davis Mt Rd.

Key facts

  • Country kitchen
  • Metal roof
  • Full basement

Tags

COUNTRY KITCHENSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMENCLOSED PORCHOUTDOOR SEATING AREASMETAL ROOFFULL BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.1% in Preston-Potter Hollow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cairo-Durham Central School District (rural): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #470 of 590 in NY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (7.8% local appreciation)).
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (7.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
10.00%
Cash-on-cash
13.23%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$65,422
Equity at exit
$81,967
10-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
6.64×
Total profit
$173,704
Equity at exit
$161,197

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12469

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,339 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,146/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$339

Break-even live

Break-even rent $909
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2025-09-17
    status Pending 1424-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1424 chars)

    Welcome to 200 Davis Mt Rd, a traditional 2-story home nestled in the peaceful countryside of Oak Hill, New York. This single-family residence offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms on 0.72 acres, making it a wonderful opportunity for buyers looking to customize a home to their own taste. With classic charm and solid features already in place, this property is ready for your personal touch. Step inside and imagine cozy mornings in the country kitchen or relaxing in the spacious living room, where original details bring warmth and character. An enclosed porch provides extra space to entertain or enjoy the seasons, while outdoor seating areas invite you to unwind under the stars. The home features a sturdy metal roof, a full basement, and newer windows, providing a strong foundation for your renovation vision. Perfectly situated in Oak Hill, you'll enjoy the tranquility of rural living while being just minutes from popular destinations like Catskill, Windham, and Greenville. Whether you're drawn to skiing and outdoor recreation, charming small-town shops, or dining at local favorites, this location offers the best of both convenience and country life. Ideal for first-time buyers, families, or investors, this diamond in the rough is brimming with potential. Don't miss your chance to create a beautiful retreat in the Catskills. Schedule a showing today and start bringing your vision to life at 200 Davis Mt Rd.

  2. 2025-09-17
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1424 chars)

    Welcome to 200 Davis Mt Rd, a traditional 2-story home nestled in the peaceful countryside of Oak Hill, New York. This single-family residence offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms on 0.72 acres, making it a wonderful opportunity for buyers looking to customize a home to their own taste. With classic charm and solid features already in place, this property is ready for your personal touch. Step inside and imagine cozy mornings in the country kitchen or relaxing in the spacious living room, where original details bring warmth and character. An enclosed porch provides extra space to entertain or enjoy the seasons, while outdoor seating areas invite you to unwind under the stars. The home features a sturdy metal roof, a full basement, and newer windows, providing a strong foundation for your renovation vision. Perfectly situated in Oak Hill, you'll enjoy the tranquility of rural living while being just minutes from popular destinations like Catskill, Windham, and Greenville. Whether you're drawn to skiing and outdoor recreation, charming small-town shops, or dining at local favorites, this location offers the best of both convenience and country life. Ideal for first-time buyers, families, or investors, this diamond in the rough is brimming with potential. Don't miss your chance to create a beautiful retreat in the Catskills. Schedule a showing today and start bringing your vision to life at 200 Davis Mt Rd.

  3. 2025-09-04
    listed $110,000 Active 1424-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1424 chars)

    Welcome to 200 Davis Mt Rd, a traditional 2-story home nestled in the peaceful countryside of Oak Hill, New York. This single-family residence offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms on 0.72 acres, making it a wonderful opportunity for buyers looking to customize a home to their own taste. With classic charm and solid features already in place, this property is ready for your personal touch. Step inside and imagine cozy mornings in the country kitchen or relaxing in the spacious living room, where original details bring warmth and character. An enclosed porch provides extra space to entertain or enjoy the seasons, while outdoor seating areas invite you to unwind under the stars. The home features a sturdy metal roof, a full basement, and newer windows, providing a strong foundation for your renovation vision. Perfectly situated in Oak Hill, you'll enjoy the tranquility of rural living while being just minutes from popular destinations like Catskill, Windham, and Greenville. Whether you're drawn to skiing and outdoor recreation, charming small-town shops, or dining at local favorites, this location offers the best of both convenience and country life. Ideal for first-time buyers, families, or investors, this diamond in the rough is brimming with potential. Don't miss your chance to create a beautiful retreat in the Catskills. Schedule a showing today and start bringing your vision to life at 200 Davis Mt Rd.

  4. 2025-09-04
    listed $110,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1424 chars)

    Welcome to 200 Davis Mt Rd, a traditional 2-story home nestled in the peaceful countryside of Oak Hill, New York. This single-family residence offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms on 0.72 acres, making it a wonderful opportunity for buyers looking to customize a home to their own taste. With classic charm and solid features already in place, this property is ready for your personal touch. Step inside and imagine cozy mornings in the country kitchen or relaxing in the spacious living room, where original details bring warmth and character. An enclosed porch provides extra space to entertain or enjoy the seasons, while outdoor seating areas invite you to unwind under the stars. The home features a sturdy metal roof, a full basement, and newer windows, providing a strong foundation for your renovation vision. Perfectly situated in Oak Hill, you'll enjoy the tranquility of rural living while being just minutes from popular destinations like Catskill, Windham, and Greenville. Whether you're drawn to skiing and outdoor recreation, charming small-town shops, or dining at local favorites, this location offers the best of both convenience and country life. Ideal for first-time buyers, families, or investors, this diamond in the rough is brimming with potential. Don't miss your chance to create a beautiful retreat in the Catskills. Schedule a showing today and start bringing your vision to life at 200 Davis Mt Rd.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,146 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,502 · $125/mo
Expected delta
+$357/yr (+$30/mo · 31.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥95°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,066
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,146
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,285
− Management
−$1,285
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,438
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$585
After-tax cash flow
$3,489/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cairo-Durham Central School District
NCES district ID
3606160
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$46,192
Composite
37.84/100
National rank
#4330
State rank
#470 of 590 in NY

Livability — Preston-Potter Hollow

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
842
Population (ZIP)
842

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · China, Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.79%
Current HPI
283.477
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-17 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2025-09-17 Pending Global MLS
  • 2025-09-04 Listed $110,000 Global MLS
  • 2025-09-04 Listed $110,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,146 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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