🏷️ Likely Rental
626 W Edgemont Ave · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$15,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer upper and handyman special. Previously a 3/1. It has been framed for 4 bedrooms and the roof in the back of the home has been reframed as well. Possible to make it into a 4/2, but can be made into whatever you desire. Water and electricity are both already turned on. Most of the house has been gutted. Could be a great section 8 or private rental!
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 55 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $896 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
- Recommended offer: $15k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 77.9% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($15k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 77.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 255.90%
- DSCR
- 12.39
- GRM
- 1.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $65,230
- List price
- $15,000
- Delta
- -77.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 626 W Edgemont Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,641 (0%) | 0mo | $10,000 | $6 | 100 |
| 614 Stuart St | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,696 (+3%) | 2mo | $109,000 | $64 | 71 |
| 3227 Agate St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,760 (+7%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $71 | 66 |
| 114 Stuart St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,726 (+5%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $67 | 64 |
| 3607 S Court St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,703 (+4%) | 2mo | $32,500 | $19 | 62 |
| 3920 Oak St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,625 (-1%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $68 | 56 |
| 3200 S Perry St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,564 (-5%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $38 | 56 |
| 901 National St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (-5%) | 15mo | $102,000 | $66 | 53 |
| 204 National St | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,728 (+5%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $81 | 48 |
| 3302 S Perry St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,719 (+5%) | 9mo | $114,900 | $67 | 46 |
| 124 National St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,474 (-10%) | 19mo | $37,850 | $26 | 42 |
| 526 Elm St E | 0.68mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 1,715 (+4%) | 16mo | $60,000 | $35 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.01×
- Total profit
- $54,632
- Equity at exit
- $2,237
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 29.83×
- Total profit
- $121,101
- Equity at exit
- $1,297
Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36105
- Home prices YoY
- -32.6%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 1.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,264 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$79
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $214/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $896
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $904 | -5% $900 | +0% $896 | +5% $891 | +10% $887 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $796 | -5% $846 | +0% $896 | +5% $946 | +10% $995 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $903 | -0.5pp $899 | base $896 | +0.5pp $892 | +1.0pp $888 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,750
- Closing costs
- $450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3577 Whiting Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1269 | $1,150 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3220 Doris Cir Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1139 | $1,100 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3616 Gaston Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1629 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 105 Arlington Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $925 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 139 Mount Vernon Dr Unit A Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $1,000 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3304 Gilmer Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2009 | $1,400 | $0.70 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3544 Southmont Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1774 | $1,300 | $0.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3338 S Hull St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3225 McElvy St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4037 Oak St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4148 Edgar D Nixon Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2655 W Edgemont Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1743 | $875 | $0.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2654 Rutland St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,075 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3235 Norman Bridge Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1873 | $900 | $0.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3386 Lexington Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1950 | $900 | $0.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 370 Collinwood Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3608 Wilmington Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $950 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3515 Norman Bridge Rd Unit A Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3357 Lexington Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,175 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1919 Norman Bridge Ct Unit 1043838P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1539 | $4,108 | $2.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 24 Flood St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,000 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1314 S Court St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,495 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 334 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2223 | $2,395 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 428 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1549 | $1,450 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1301 S Perry St Unit A Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1259 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1728 | $1,300 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3256 Montezuma Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1515 | $1,450 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 519 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $650 | $0.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3369 Montezuma Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1281 | $1,150 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 22 W Cromwell St Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1645 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3543 Berkley Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2067 | $1,575 | $0.76 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3445 Le Bron Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1020 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1711 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 906 E Fairview Ave Unit 902 Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3356 Audubon Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1340 | $950 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 3735 Bridlewood Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1386 | $895 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $15,000 Pending 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $15,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $15,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $15,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $15,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $15,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $15,000 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Fixer upper and handyman special. Previously a 3/1. It has been framed for 4 bedrooms and the roof in the back of the home has been reframed as well. Possible to make it into a 4/2, but can be made into whatever you desire. Water and electricity are both already turned on. Most of the house has been gutted. Could be a great section 8 or private rental!
-
2026-04-23price $19,000 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Fixer upper and handyman special. Previously a 3/1. It has been framed for 4 bedrooms and the roof in the back of the home has been reframed as well. Possible to make it into a 4/2, but can be made into whatever you desire. Water and electricity are both already turned on. Most of the house has been gutted. Could be a great section 8 or private rental!
-
2026-04-10$22,000 Active 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Fixer upper and handyman special. Previously a 3/1. It has been framed for 4 bedrooms and the roof in the back of the home has been reframed as well. Possible to make it into a 4/2, but can be made into whatever you desire. Water and electricity are both already turned on. Most of the house has been gutted. Could be a great section 8 or private rental!
-
2000-10-12$69,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $214 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $214 · $18/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,166
- − Mortgage interest
- −$840
- − Property taxes
- −$214
- − Insurance
- −$75
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,213
- − Management
- −$1,213
- − Depreciation
- −$436
- Taxable income
- $11,173
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,682
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,207
- Household income
- $41,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 679.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.17%
- Current HPI
- 64.4673
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-78.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $15,000 MAAR
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $19,000 MAAR
- 2026-04-10 Listed $22,000 MAAR
- 2000-10-12 Listed $69,900 MAAR
Property tax history
-4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $214 · -37.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…