8816 Shady Pavillion Ct · Connerton, FL 34637

$500,000

5 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,291 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 144 Days on market

Built 2017 6,600 sqft lot Est $701k · 29% under $90/mo HOA · 2% of rent

---

Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +14.8/30.0
• 1% rule +4.9/10.0
• DSCR +4.5/10.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Appreciation +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

STUNNING, MOVE IN READY 3,291 Sq. Ft, two story home, features FIVE bedrooms, ONE BEDROOM ON MAIN FLOOR, THREE FULL BATHROOMS, a FORMAL DINING ROOM, LARGE upper level BONUS ROOM, MAIN FLOOR OFFICE and THREE CAR TANDEM GARAGE. Beautifully located on CONSERVATION, with welcoming FRONT PORCH perfect for visiting with neighbors, extra long driveway, walking distance to the clubhouse, extra parking and all amenities. Kitchen has ALL STAINLESS STEEL appliances, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS and LARGE PANTRY. CERAMIC TILE FLOORS THROUGHOUT main floor living area, foyer kitchen, dining/flex space, office, all bathrooms and laundry room. The Grand Room is open to kitchen for open concept living with sliding back doors to your private backyard that awaits your personalization and backs onto conservation. Master bedroom features, his and her WALK IN CLOSETS and over sized master bathroom with SOAKING TUB, HIS AND HER VANITIES, spacious STAND UP SHOWER and PRIVATE WATER CLOSET. All upper level bedrooms boast large walk in closets. This energy efficient home features 15 SEER high efficiency heating and air conditioning, TANKLESS GAS WATER HEATER and RECLAIMED water with irrigation system. Upon entering the home into the FOYER to the right you will find the lower level bedroom and full bath perfect for guests or live in parents. As you walk into the hallway you will find a spacious Flex space / formal dining room, past the dining room is the open concept living room and to the left is the beautiful kitchen with Java Cabinets , stainless steel appliances. Next to the eat in kitchen to the left is an office with a large built in L shaped counter top perfect for homeschooling or working remotely. GARAGE DOOR, THERMOSTAT AND LIGHTS have the SMART HOME NEST feature. The award winning community of CONNERTON is a master planned community with a balance of Nature preserve & resort style community living. Nature preserve features bike trails, lakes & wetlands while the lifestyle community features a newly renovated splash park, pool, fitness center, beach volleyball, basketball courts and a monthly calendar with fun for all ages. Lap pool coming soon. This is a golf cart friendly community. Take a leisurely bike ride to the Cup of Organic coffee shop, or become a resident member of the Crossvine, a quiet office space perfect for working remotely. Call today to schedule a showing!

Key facts

• Conservation lot
• No rear neighbors
• Inviting front porch

Tags

• CONSERVATION LOT
• NO REAR NEIGHBORS
• OPEN-CONCEPT LIVING SPACE
• MAIN-FLOOR OFFICE
• UPSTAIRS BONUS ROOM
• INVITING FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot approximately 0.15 acres; Living area about 3,291 sq ft (public records); Total building area about 4,306 sq ft
• Financial info: CDD present; Lease restrictions apply
• HOA & community: Has HOA (association name listed); Quarterly HOA fee; Monthly HOA equivalent approximately $90.33; Community pool; Pets allowed

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage; 3 garage spaces
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Broadband/High-speed internet available
• Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Faces west; Located in a planned unit development (MPUD)
• Construction: Block, stucco, and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
• Exterior features: Sliding doors; Paved road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $500k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $495k (1.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $440k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.3% in Connerton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#596 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 285 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $4,947/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($115k/yr) (locally 96% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($440k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $440,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.99% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.63%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.21%
• DSCR: 1.05
• GRM: 8.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $700,983
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
8945 Bella Vita Cir	0.18mi	4/3.5 (-1)	3,378 (+3%)	9mo	$695,000	$206	73
21251 Snowy Orchid Ter	0.49mi	5/4.0	3,336 (+1%)	3mo	$775,000	$232	68
8918 Shady Pavillion Ct	0.10mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,946 (-10%)	5mo	$602,000	$204	67
8413 Swiss Chard Cir	0.39mi	4/3.0 (-1)	3,179 (-3%)	8mo	$765,000	$241	64
21931 Woodshadow Way	0.71mi	4/4.0 (-1)	3,198 (-3%)	0mo	$865,000	$270	53
8742 Handel Loop	0.71mi	5/3.0	3,531 (+7%)	8mo	$685,000	$194	48
9317 Bella Vita Cir	0.33mi	4/3.5 (-1)	2,872 (-13%)	9mo	$524,900	$183	48
8319 Swiss Chard Cir	0.45mi	5/4.0	3,710 (+13%)	8mo	$710,000	$191	47
8836 Handel Loop	0.60mi	5/3.0	2,853 (-13%)	4mo	$487,000	$171	46
22011 Emory Oak Pl	0.73mi	4/4.0 (-1)	3,163 (-4%)	6mo	$860,000	$272	46
8522 Westerland Dr	0.70mi	5/3.5	3,668 (+12%)	2mo	$799,900	$218	45
8332 Swiss Chard Cir	0.47mi	6/4.0 (+1)	3,757 (+14%)	9mo	$800,000	$213	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.71×
• Total profit: $-40,426
• Equity at exit: $107,899

10-year hold

• IRR: 0.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.04×
• Total profit: $6,078
• Equity at exit: $102,729

Cash invested: $140,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34637

• Home prices YoY: -1.2%
• Active inventory: 285
• Price-to-rent: 8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,947 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,622
• Tax from tax record: −$847 /mo · $10,160/yr
• Insurance: −$208
• HOA: −$90
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,039
• Net cashflow: $141

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,768

Max offer price $500,000

Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $125,000
• Closing costs: $15,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
8947 Garden Party Dr Land O Lakes, FL	4.0	3.5	3110	$4,000	$1.29	11d	1	0.77mi
20411 Lace Cascade Rd Land O Lakes, FL	5.0	3.5	4359	$5,400	$1.24	24d	1	0.84mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $90 · $1,080/yr
• Likely covers: watergaspoolgym

Listing history 35 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $500,000 Active 144 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $500,000 Active 143 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $500,000 Active 142 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $500,000 Active 141 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $500,000 Active 139 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $500,000 Active 135 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $500,000 Active 134 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   pricedays on market $500,000 Active 133 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $525,000 Active 130 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $525,000 Active 129 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $525,000 Active 128 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $525,000 Active 127 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $525,000 Active 126 DOM
14. 2026-04-29
    price $525,000
15. 2026-04-07
    price $550,000
16. 2026-03-20
    price $585,000
17. 2026-03-04
    price $594,900
18. 2026-01-24
    listed $599,900 Active
19. 2022-05-16
    soldstatus $620,000
20. 2022-05-10
    soldstatus $620,000 Closed 2402-char remark

    Show marketing remark (2402 chars)

    STUNNING, MOVE IN READY 3,291 Sq. Ft, two story home, features FIVE bedrooms, ONE BEDROOM ON MAIN FLOOR, THREE FULL BATHROOMS, a FORMAL DINING ROOM, LARGE upper level BONUS ROOM, MAIN FLOOR OFFICE and THREE CAR TANDEM GARAGE. Beautifully located on CONSERVATION, with welcoming FRONT PORCH perfect for visiting with neighbors, extra long driveway, walking distance to the clubhouse, extra parking and all amenities. Kitchen has ALL STAINLESS STEEL appliances, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS and LARGE PANTRY. CERAMIC TILE FLOORS THROUGHOUT main floor living area, foyer kitchen, dining/flex space, office, all bathrooms and laundry room. The Grand Room is open to kitchen for open concept living with sliding back doors to your private backyard that awaits your personalization and backs onto conservation. Master bedroom features, his and her WALK IN CLOSETS and over sized master bathroom with SOAKING TUB, HIS AND HER VANITIES, spacious STAND UP SHOWER and PRIVATE WATER CLOSET. All upper level bedrooms boast large walk in closets. This energy efficient home features 15 SEER high efficiency heating and air conditioning, TANKLESS GAS WATER HEATER and RECLAIMED water with irrigation system. Upon entering the home into the FOYER to the right you will find the lower level bedroom and full bath perfect for guests or live in parents. As you walk into the hallway you will find a spacious Flex space / formal dining room, past the dining room is the open concept living room and to the left is the beautiful kitchen with Java Cabinets , stainless steel appliances. Next to the eat in kitchen to the left is an office with a large built in L shaped counter top perfect for homeschooling or working remotely. GARAGE DOOR, THERMOSTAT AND LIGHTS have the SMART HOME NEST feature. The award winning community of CONNERTON is a master planned community with a balance of Nature preserve & resort style community living. Nature preserve features bike trails, lakes & wetlands while the lifestyle community features a newly renovated splash park, pool, fitness center, beach volleyball, basketball courts and a monthly calendar with fun for all ages. Lap pool coming soon. This is a golf cart friendly community. Take a leisurely bike ride to the Cup of Organic coffee shop, or become a resident member of the Crossvine, a quiet office space perfect for working remotely. Call today to schedule a showing!

21. 2022-04-12
    status Pending 2402-char remark

    Show marketing remark (2402 chars)

    STUNNING, MOVE IN READY 3,291 Sq. Ft, two story home, features FIVE bedrooms, ONE BEDROOM ON MAIN FLOOR, THREE FULL BATHROOMS, a FORMAL DINING ROOM, LARGE upper level BONUS ROOM, MAIN FLOOR OFFICE and THREE CAR TANDEM GARAGE. Beautifully located on CONSERVATION, with welcoming FRONT PORCH perfect for visiting with neighbors, extra long driveway, walking distance to the clubhouse, extra parking and all amenities. Kitchen has ALL STAINLESS STEEL appliances, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS and LARGE PANTRY. CERAMIC TILE FLOORS THROUGHOUT main floor living area, foyer kitchen, dining/flex space, office, all bathrooms and laundry room. The Grand Room is open to kitchen for open concept living with sliding back doors to your private backyard that awaits your personalization and backs onto conservation. Master bedroom features, his and her WALK IN CLOSETS and over sized master bathroom with SOAKING TUB, HIS AND HER VANITIES, spacious STAND UP SHOWER and PRIVATE WATER CLOSET. All upper level bedrooms boast large walk in closets. This energy efficient home features 15 SEER high efficiency heating and air conditioning, TANKLESS GAS WATER HEATER and RECLAIMED water with irrigation system. Upon entering the home into the FOYER to the right you will find the lower level bedroom and full bath perfect for guests or live in parents. As you walk into the hallway you will find a spacious Flex space / formal dining room, past the dining room is the open concept living room and to the left is the beautiful kitchen with Java Cabinets , stainless steel appliances. Next to the eat in kitchen to the left is an office with a large built in L shaped counter top perfect for homeschooling or working remotely. GARAGE DOOR, THERMOSTAT AND LIGHTS have the SMART HOME NEST feature. The award winning community of CONNERTON is a master planned community with a balance of Nature preserve & resort style community living. Nature preserve features bike trails, lakes & wetlands while the lifestyle community features a newly renovated splash park, pool, fitness center, beach volleyball, basketball courts and a monthly calendar with fun for all ages. Lap pool coming soon. This is a golf cart friendly community. Take a leisurely bike ride to the Cup of Organic coffee shop, or become a resident member of the Crossvine, a quiet office space perfect for working remotely. Call today to schedule a showing!

22. 2022-04-07
    listed $615,000 Active 2402-char remark

    Show marketing remark (2402 chars)

    STUNNING, MOVE IN READY 3,291 Sq. Ft, two story home, features FIVE bedrooms, ONE BEDROOM ON MAIN FLOOR, THREE FULL BATHROOMS, a FORMAL DINING ROOM, LARGE upper level BONUS ROOM, MAIN FLOOR OFFICE and THREE CAR TANDEM GARAGE. Beautifully located on CONSERVATION, with welcoming FRONT PORCH perfect for visiting with neighbors, extra long driveway, walking distance to the clubhouse, extra parking and all amenities. Kitchen has ALL STAINLESS STEEL appliances, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS and LARGE PANTRY. CERAMIC TILE FLOORS THROUGHOUT main floor living area, foyer kitchen, dining/flex space, office, all bathrooms and laundry room. The Grand Room is open to kitchen for open concept living with sliding back doors to your private backyard that awaits your personalization and backs onto conservation. Master bedroom features, his and her WALK IN CLOSETS and over sized master bathroom with SOAKING TUB, HIS AND HER VANITIES, spacious STAND UP SHOWER and PRIVATE WATER CLOSET. All upper level bedrooms boast large walk in closets. This energy efficient home features 15 SEER high efficiency heating and air conditioning, TANKLESS GAS WATER HEATER and RECLAIMED water with irrigation system. Upon entering the home into the FOYER to the right you will find the lower level bedroom and full bath perfect for guests or live in parents. As you walk into the hallway you will find a spacious Flex space / formal dining room, past the dining room is the open concept living room and to the left is the beautiful kitchen with Java Cabinets , stainless steel appliances. Next to the eat in kitchen to the left is an office with a large built in L shaped counter top perfect for homeschooling or working remotely. GARAGE DOOR, THERMOSTAT AND LIGHTS have the SMART HOME NEST feature. The award winning community of CONNERTON is a master planned community with a balance of Nature preserve & resort style community living. Nature preserve features bike trails, lakes & wetlands while the lifestyle community features a newly renovated splash park, pool, fitness center, beach volleyball, basketball courts and a monthly calendar with fun for all ages. Lap pool coming soon. This is a golf cart friendly community. Take a leisurely bike ride to the Cup of Organic coffee shop, or become a resident member of the Crossvine, a quiet office space perfect for working remotely. Call today to schedule a showing!

23. 2021-03-04
    soldstatus $395,000
24. 2021-03-01
    soldstatus $395,000 Sold 2229-char remark

    Show marketing remark (2229 chars)

    WHY WAIT TO BUILD! CONSERVATION VIEW, MOVE IN READY 3,291 Sq. Ft, TWO story home, features FIVE bedrooms, ONE BEDROOM ON MAIN FLOOR, THREE FULL BATHROOMS, a FLEX ROOM/FORMAL DINING ROOM, LARGE BONUS ROOM, MAIN FLOOR OFFICE and THREE CAR TANDEM GARAGE. Beautifully located on CONSERVATION, with welcoming FRONT PORCH perfect for visiting with neighbors, extra long driveway, walking distance to the clubhouse, extra parking and all amenities. Kitchen has ALL STAINLESS STEEL appliances, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS and LARGE PANTRY. CERAMIC TILE FLOORS THROUGHOUT main floor living area, foyer kitchen, dining/flex space, office, all bathrooms and laundry room. The Grand Room is open to kitchen for open concept living with sliding back doors to your private backyard that awaits your personalization backing onto conservation. Master bedroom features, his and her WALK IN CLOSETS and over sized master bathroom with SOAKING TUB, HIS AND HER VANITIES, spacious STAND UP SHOWER and PRIVATE WATER CLOSET. All upper level bedrooms boast large walk in closets. This energy efficient home features 15 SEER high efficiency heating and air conditioning, TANKLESS GAS WATER HEATER and RECLAIMED water with irrigation system. Upon entering the home into the FOYER to the right you will find the lower level bedroom and full bath perfect for guests or live in parents. As you walk into the hallway you will find a spacious Flex space / formal dining room, past the dining room is the open concept living room and to the left is the beautiful kitchen with Java Cabinets , stainless steel appliances. Next to the eat in kitchen to the left is an office with a large built in L shaped counter top perfect for homeschooling or working remotely. GARAGE DOOR, THERMOSTAT AND LIGHTS have the SMART HOME NEST feature. The award winning community of CONNERTON is a master planned community with a balance of Nature preserve & resort style community living. Nature preserve features bike trails, lakes & wetlands while the lifestyle community features a splash park, pool, fitness center, beach volleyball, basketball courts and a monthly calendar with fun for all ages. This is a golf cart friendly community. Call today to schedule a showing!

25. 2021-01-24
    status Pending 2229-char remark

    Show marketing remark (2229 chars)

    WHY WAIT TO BUILD! CONSERVATION VIEW, MOVE IN READY 3,291 Sq. Ft, TWO story home, features FIVE bedrooms, ONE BEDROOM ON MAIN FLOOR, THREE FULL BATHROOMS, a FLEX ROOM/FORMAL DINING ROOM, LARGE BONUS ROOM, MAIN FLOOR OFFICE and THREE CAR TANDEM GARAGE. Beautifully located on CONSERVATION, with welcoming FRONT PORCH perfect for visiting with neighbors, extra long driveway, walking distance to the clubhouse, extra parking and all amenities. Kitchen has ALL STAINLESS STEEL appliances, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS and LARGE PANTRY. CERAMIC TILE FLOORS THROUGHOUT main floor living area, foyer kitchen, dining/flex space, office, all bathrooms and laundry room. The Grand Room is open to kitchen for open concept living with sliding back doors to your private backyard that awaits your personalization backing onto conservation. Master bedroom features, his and her WALK IN CLOSETS and over sized master bathroom with SOAKING TUB, HIS AND HER VANITIES, spacious STAND UP SHOWER and PRIVATE WATER CLOSET. All upper level bedrooms boast large walk in closets. This energy efficient home features 15 SEER high efficiency heating and air conditioning, TANKLESS GAS WATER HEATER and RECLAIMED water with irrigation system. Upon entering the home into the FOYER to the right you will find the lower level bedroom and full bath perfect for guests or live in parents. As you walk into the hallway you will find a spacious Flex space / formal dining room, past the dining room is the open concept living room and to the left is the beautiful kitchen with Java Cabinets , stainless steel appliances. Next to the eat in kitchen to the left is an office with a large built in L shaped counter top perfect for homeschooling or working remotely. GARAGE DOOR, THERMOSTAT AND LIGHTS have the SMART HOME NEST feature. The award winning community of CONNERTON is a master planned community with a balance of Nature preserve & resort style community living. Nature preserve features bike trails, lakes & wetlands while the lifestyle community features a splash park, pool, fitness center, beach volleyball, basketball courts and a monthly calendar with fun for all ages. This is a golf cart friendly community. Call today to schedule a showing!

26. 2021-01-18
    price $415,000 2229-char remark

    Show marketing remark (2229 chars)

    WHY WAIT TO BUILD! CONSERVATION VIEW, MOVE IN READY 3,291 Sq. Ft, TWO story home, features FIVE bedrooms, ONE BEDROOM ON MAIN FLOOR, THREE FULL BATHROOMS, a FLEX ROOM/FORMAL DINING ROOM, LARGE BONUS ROOM, MAIN FLOOR OFFICE and THREE CAR TANDEM GARAGE. Beautifully located on CONSERVATION, with welcoming FRONT PORCH perfect for visiting with neighbors, extra long driveway, walking distance to the clubhouse, extra parking and all amenities. Kitchen has ALL STAINLESS STEEL appliances, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS and LARGE PANTRY. CERAMIC TILE FLOORS THROUGHOUT main floor living area, foyer kitchen, dining/flex space, office, all bathrooms and laundry room. The Grand Room is open to kitchen for open concept living with sliding back doors to your private backyard that awaits your personalization backing onto conservation. Master bedroom features, his and her WALK IN CLOSETS and over sized master bathroom with SOAKING TUB, HIS AND HER VANITIES, spacious STAND UP SHOWER and PRIVATE WATER CLOSET. All upper level bedrooms boast large walk in closets. This energy efficient home features 15 SEER high efficiency heating and air conditioning, TANKLESS GAS WATER HEATER and RECLAIMED water with irrigation system. Upon entering the home into the FOYER to the right you will find the lower level bedroom and full bath perfect for guests or live in parents. As you walk into the hallway you will find a spacious Flex space / formal dining room, past the dining room is the open concept living room and to the left is the beautiful kitchen with Java Cabinets , stainless steel appliances. Next to the eat in kitchen to the left is an office with a large built in L shaped counter top perfect for homeschooling or working remotely. GARAGE DOOR, THERMOSTAT AND LIGHTS have the SMART HOME NEST feature. The award winning community of CONNERTON is a master planned community with a balance of Nature preserve & resort style community living. Nature preserve features bike trails, lakes & wetlands while the lifestyle community features a splash park, pool, fitness center, beach volleyball, basketball courts and a monthly calendar with fun for all ages. This is a golf cart friendly community. Call today to schedule a showing!

27. 2021-01-17
    listed $395,000 Active 2229-char remark

    Show marketing remark (2229 chars)

    WHY WAIT TO BUILD! CONSERVATION VIEW, MOVE IN READY 3,291 Sq. Ft, TWO story home, features FIVE bedrooms, ONE BEDROOM ON MAIN FLOOR, THREE FULL BATHROOMS, a FLEX ROOM/FORMAL DINING ROOM, LARGE BONUS ROOM, MAIN FLOOR OFFICE and THREE CAR TANDEM GARAGE. Beautifully located on CONSERVATION, with welcoming FRONT PORCH perfect for visiting with neighbors, extra long driveway, walking distance to the clubhouse, extra parking and all amenities. Kitchen has ALL STAINLESS STEEL appliances, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS and LARGE PANTRY. CERAMIC TILE FLOORS THROUGHOUT main floor living area, foyer kitchen, dining/flex space, office, all bathrooms and laundry room. The Grand Room is open to kitchen for open concept living with sliding back doors to your private backyard that awaits your personalization backing onto conservation. Master bedroom features, his and her WALK IN CLOSETS and over sized master bathroom with SOAKING TUB, HIS AND HER VANITIES, spacious STAND UP SHOWER and PRIVATE WATER CLOSET. All upper level bedrooms boast large walk in closets. This energy efficient home features 15 SEER high efficiency heating and air conditioning, TANKLESS GAS WATER HEATER and RECLAIMED water with irrigation system. Upon entering the home into the FOYER to the right you will find the lower level bedroom and full bath perfect for guests or live in parents. As you walk into the hallway you will find a spacious Flex space / formal dining room, past the dining room is the open concept living room and to the left is the beautiful kitchen with Java Cabinets , stainless steel appliances. Next to the eat in kitchen to the left is an office with a large built in L shaped counter top perfect for homeschooling or working remotely. GARAGE DOOR, THERMOSTAT AND LIGHTS have the SMART HOME NEST feature. The award winning community of CONNERTON is a master planned community with a balance of Nature preserve & resort style community living. Nature preserve features bike trails, lakes & wetlands while the lifestyle community features a splash park, pool, fitness center, beach volleyball, basketball courts and a monthly calendar with fun for all ages. This is a golf cart friendly community. Call today to schedule a showing!

28. 2017-12-26
    soldstatus $329,690 Sold
29. 2017-11-10
    status Pending
30. 2017-10-27
    price $329,690
31. 2017-10-06
    price $339,690
32. 2017-07-28
    listed $335,490 Active
33. 2017-06-21
    soldstatus $392,500
34. 2015-01-05
    soldstatus $5,400,000
35. 2010-05-26
    soldstatus $1,579,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $10,160 · $847/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $10,160 · $847/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $59,363
• − Mortgage interest: −$28,008
• − Property taxes: −$10,160
• − Insurance: −$2,500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$4,749
• − Management: −$4,749
• − HOA: −$1,080
• − Depreciation: −$14,545
• Taxable loss: −$6,428
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,543
• After-tax cash flow: $3,235/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pasco
• NCES district ID: 1201530
• Math proficiency: 50% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $45,039
• Composite: 43.14/100
• National rank: #3074
• State rank: #32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Connerton

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #596
• US rank: #11437

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Connerton, FL
• County: Pasco County · 524,098 people
• City population: 11,398
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 13,049
• Household income: $115,214
• Rent vs Own: 8.7% rent · 91.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 96.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 570,045 people
• By 2030: 605,844 · +6.3%
• By 2040: 674,806 · +18.4%
• By 2050: 736,022 · +29.1%
• By 2075: 862,900 · +51.4%
• By 2100: 906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (70%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 70% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Asian 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.54%
• Current HPI: 126.1415
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-66.8% since first listed

22 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-29 Price Changed $525,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-07 Price Changed $550,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-20 Price Changed $585,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-04 Price Changed $594,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-24 Listed $599,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $620,000 Public Records
• 2022-05-10 Sold (MLS) $620,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-04-12 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-04-07 Listed $615,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $395,000 Public Records
• 2021-03-01 Sold (MLS) $395,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-01-24 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-01-18 Price Changed $415,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-01-17 Listed $395,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-12-26 Sold (MLS) $329,690 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-11-10 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-10-27 Price Changed $329,690 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-10-06 Price Changed $339,690 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-07-28 Listed $335,490 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $392,500 Public Records
• 2015-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $5,400,000 Public Records
• 2010-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $1,579,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+18.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $10,160 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.