205 Robwood Rd · Dundalk, MD 21222

$50,000

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured · 18 Days on market

Built 1985

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Clean, quiet community. Close to 695 and 95, key Bridge. Lots of shopping nearby.

Key facts

• Single-level living
• Convenient location
• Off-street parking

Tags

• SINGLE-LEVEL LIVING
• ACCESSIBILITY FEATURES
• OFF-STREET PARKING
• CONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Ownership interest: Ground Rent
• Financial info: Ground rent: $960 per month (annualized in income/expense list)

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway parking; Off-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service for heating, cooling, and hot water
• Home design: Manufactured home; Vinyl siding
• Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Other type of foundation; Above-grade structures present
• Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent exists (paid monthly)

Interior

• Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom on the main level; Total: one full and one half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump with electric backup; Electric heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
• Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement; Level entry to main level; Doors with lever handles; Doors swing in; Accessible 32+ inch wide doorways; Multiple access/egress points (2+ exits)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 31.8% vs local median 6.2% in Dundalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 85/100 on livability (#16 in MD, #510 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Sparrows Point High (math 18% / reading 53%, grade F, #144 of 222 statewide, top 65%, 1,146 students, 44% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $49,250 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.57% ✓
• Cap rate: 31.84%
• Cash-on-cash: 91.23%
• DSCR: 5.06
• GRM: 2.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 88.5%
• Equity multiple: 4.89×
• Total profit: $54,487
• Equity at exit: $7,455

10-year hold

• IRR: 90.9%
• Equity multiple: 9.19×
• Total profit: $114,636
• Equity at exit: $4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 27 Tenant-Leaning
• State Maryland: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 21222

• Rents YoY: -0.1%
• Active inventory: 236
• Price-to-rent: 2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,785 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$62 /mo · $750/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$375
• Net cashflow: $1,064

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437

Max offer price $50,000

Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,500
• Closing costs: $1,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 14 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3427 North Point Rd Dundalk, MD	3.0	1.0	1008	$2,250	$2.23	20d	1	0.67mi
3413 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD	3.0	2.0	1016	$2,000	$1.97	44d	1	0.71mi
4004 St Monica Dr Unit 1 Dundalk, MD	3.0	1.0	1024	$1,895	$1.85	5d	1	0.85mi
4004 Saint Monica Dr Dundalk, MD	3.0	1.0	1024	$1,925	$1.88	5d	1	0.85mi
3221 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD	3.0	1.0	1008	$1,750	$1.74	3d	1	0.87mi
3221 Wallford Dr Unit 3221 Dundalk, MD	3.0	1.0	1008	$1,750	$1.74	5d	1	0.87mi
7860 Saint Claire Ln Dundalk, MD	3.0	2.0	1024	$2,200	$2.15	5d	1	0.92mi
7851 Saint Fabian Ln Dundalk, MD	3.0	1.0	1024	$1,595	$1.56	44d	1	1.01mi
1610 Melbourne Rd Dundalk, MD	1.0–2.0	1.0	664	$1,240	$1.87	12d	1	1.10mi
3000 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD	1.0–2.0	1.0	717	$1,330	$1.85	3d	35	1.11mi
7 Robinson Ave Dundalk, MD	3.0	2.0	1100	$2,600	$2.36	44d	1	1.22mi
909 S Marlyn Ave Essex, MD	2.0–3.0	1.0–1.5	888	$1,375	$1.55	5d	1	1.29mi
311 Wise Ave Dundalk, MD	1.0	1.0	818	$1,045	$1.28	44d	1	1.35mi
11 Seabright Ave Dundalk, MD	3.0	1.0	948	$1,874	$1.98	15d	1	1.41mi

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $50,000 Active 18 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $50,000 Active 16 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $50,000 Active 15 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $50,000 Active 13 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    listed $50,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,417
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,801
• − Property taxes: −$750
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,713
• − Management: −$1,713
• − Depreciation: −$1,455
• Taxable income: $12,735
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,056
• After-tax cash flow: $9,717/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Baltimore County Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2400120
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $66,746
• Composite: 23.17/100
• National rank: #7948
• State rank: #11 of 24 in MD

Livability — Dundalk

• Score: 85/100
• State rank: #16
• US rank: #510

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Dundalk, MD
• County: Baltimore County · 769,527 people
• City population: 59,407
• Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
• Population (ZIP): 59,407
• Household income: $64,141
• Rent vs Own: 35.1% rent · 64.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 2566.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 885,518 people
• By 2030: 909,272 · +2.7%
• By 2040: 951,547 · +7.5%
• By 2050: 990,955 · +11.9%
• By 2075: 1,086,411 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 1,135,078 · +28.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: White 59% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 7% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -251.44%
• Current HPI: 228.4218
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.09%
• Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.97%
• F500 in state: 12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	1	$71B
▸Utilities	1	$25B
▸Hotels	1	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$7B
▸Real Estate	1	$6B
▸Chemicals	1	$2B

Price history

+257.1% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-31 Listed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2023-04-20 Sold (MLS) $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2023-03-10 Listed $69,999 BRIGHT MLS
• 2013-02-13 Delisted — MRIS
• 2013-02-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
• 2012-09-04 Price Changed — MRIS
• 2012-05-24 Listed — MRIS
• 2012-05-24 Listed $14,000 BRIGHT MLS