232 Oak Ln · Silver Springs Shores, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- Cash flow +9.6/30.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully updated 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Home built in 2006-New paint and carpet-Move-in ready and priced to sell. Split Bedroom Plan, Large Open Kitchen with island/breakfast bar, Family room, Formal Living and Dining areas, 2 Car Garage and inside laundry. Minutes to shopping and walking distance to Lake Weir High School.
Key facts
- Large center island
- Spacious great room
- Private backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential single-family; Lot roughly 0.23 acre (approximately 80 x 125); One well and one septic on property; Living area reported as 2,060 sq ft; total building area 2,587 sq ft
- Financial info: Home warranty included
- HOA & community: No HOA association indicated; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Security: Security gate
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Broadband/High-speed internet available; Cable available; Electricity connected; Phone available; Underground utilities; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces west; Residential zoning (R1); Homestead eligible
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Built on slab
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Exterior lighting; Sliding doors; Private mailbox; Cleared, level lot; Paved asphalt road; Public maintained road; Street lights in community
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile; Slab foundation
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Blinds; Double-pane windows; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry/utility
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-169 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (11.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (26.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Emerald Shores Elementary School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 666 students, 74% FRL); Lake Weir Middle School (math 37% / reading 33%, grade F, #416 of 571 statewide, top 74%, 1,207 students, 76% FRL); Lake Weir High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,483 students, 68% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 683 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $139k; list at $250k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.90%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $265,740
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Emerald Loop Pass | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,934 (-6%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $129 | 54 |
| 311 Oak Track Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,806 (-12%) | 9mo | $206,000 | $114 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $55,276
- Equity at exit
- $156,033
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $162,029
- Equity at exit
- $282,045
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34472
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 683
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,832 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,423/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $-169
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-28 | -5% $-98 | +0% $-169 | +5% $-240 | +10% $-310 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-314 | -5% $-241 | +0% $-169 | +5% $-97 | +10% $-24 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-43 | -0.5pp $-105 | base $-169 | +0.5pp $-234 | +1.0pp $-300 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending
-
2026-05-01$249,900 Active
-
2017-07-28soldstatus $139,000
-
2017-07-21soldstatus $139,000 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Beautifully updated 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Home built in 2006-New paint and carpet-Move-in ready and priced to sell. Split Bedroom Plan, Large Open Kitchen with island/breakfast bar, Family room, Formal Living and Dining areas, 2 Car Garage and inside laundry. Minutes to shopping and walking distance to Lake Weir High School.
-
2017-05-18$130,000 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Beautifully updated 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Home built in 2006-New paint and carpet-Move-in ready and priced to sell. Split Bedroom Plan, Large Open Kitchen with island/breakfast bar, Family room, Formal Living and Dining areas, 2 Car Garage and inside laundry. Minutes to shopping and walking distance to Lake Weir High School.
-
2016-08-03historical
-
2016-05-19$129,900
-
2007-04-20$209,900
-
2006-10-31historical
-
2006-10-31historical
-
2006-06-12$239,900
-
2006-06-01$239,900
-
2005-10-04soldstatus $36,500
-
2004-02-29historical
-
2003-11-28$55,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,423 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,423 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,989
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$2,423
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,759
- − Management
- −$1,759
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$6,470
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,553
- After-tax cash flow
- $-475/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Silver Springs Shores
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #527
- US rank
- #9854
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Silver Springs Shores, FL
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 34,665
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,851
- Household income
- $64,208
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 655.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.93%
- Current HPI
- 255.0714
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.17%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+347.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
- 2017-07-21 Sold (MLS) $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-18 Listed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-03 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-19 Listed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-20 Listed $209,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-12 Listed $239,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-01 Listed $239,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
- 2004-02-29 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-11-28 Listed $55,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,423 · +11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…