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232 Oak Ln
D Composite 44.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0

$249,900

232 Oak Ln · Silver Springs Shores, FL 34472
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,060 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2006 10,019 sqft lot Est $266k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully updated 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Home built in 2006-New paint and carpet-Move-in ready and priced to sell. Split Bedroom Plan, Large Open Kitchen with island/breakfast bar, Family room, Formal Living and Dining areas, 2 Car Garage and inside laundry. Minutes to shopping and walking distance to Lake Weir High School.

Key facts

  • Large center island
  • Spacious great room
  • Private backyard

Tags

NEW ROOFPRIVATE BACKYARDFORMAL LIVING AND DINING ROOMSPACIOUS GREAT ROOMLARGE CENTER ISLANDABUNDANT CABINETRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential single-family; Lot roughly 0.23 acre (approximately 80 x 125); One well and one septic on property; Living area reported as 2,060 sq ft; total building area 2,587 sq ft
  • Financial info: Home warranty included
  • HOA & community: No HOA association indicated; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: Security gate
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Broadband/High-speed internet available; Cable available; Electricity connected; Phone available; Underground utilities; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces west; Residential zoning (R1); Homestead eligible
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Built on slab
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Exterior lighting; Sliding doors; Private mailbox; Cleared, level lot; Paved asphalt road; Public maintained road; Street lights in community

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile; Slab foundation
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Blinds; Double-pane windows; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry/utility

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-169 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (11.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (26.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Emerald Shores Elementary School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 666 students, 74% FRL); Lake Weir Middle School (math 37% / reading 33%, grade F, #416 of 571 statewide, top 74%, 1,207 students, 76% FRL); Lake Weir High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,483 students, 68% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 683 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $139k; list at $250k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,238 (26.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.90%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$265,740
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
201 Emerald Loop Pass 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,934 (-6%) 14mo $250,000 $129 54
311 Oak Track Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,806 (-12%) 9mo $206,000 $114 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$55,276
Equity at exit
$156,033
10-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
3.32×
Total profit
$162,029
Equity at exit
$282,045

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34472

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
683
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,832 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$202 /mo · $2,423/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$385
Net cashflow
$-169

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,046
Max offer price $220,051
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-28 -5% $-98 +0% $-169 +5% $-240 +10% $-310
Rent -10% $-314 -5% $-241 +0% $-169 +5% $-97 +10% $-24
Rate -1.0pp $-43 -0.5pp $-105 base $-169 +0.5pp $-234 +1.0pp $-300

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $249,900 Active
  3. 2017-07-28
    soldstatus $139,000
  4. 2017-07-21
    soldstatus $139,000 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Beautifully updated 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Home built in 2006-New paint and carpet-Move-in ready and priced to sell. Split Bedroom Plan, Large Open Kitchen with island/breakfast bar, Family room, Formal Living and Dining areas, 2 Car Garage and inside laundry. Minutes to shopping and walking distance to Lake Weir High School.

  5. 2017-05-18
    listed $130,000 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Beautifully updated 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Home built in 2006-New paint and carpet-Move-in ready and priced to sell. Split Bedroom Plan, Large Open Kitchen with island/breakfast bar, Family room, Formal Living and Dining areas, 2 Car Garage and inside laundry. Minutes to shopping and walking distance to Lake Weir High School.

  6. 2016-08-03
    historical
  7. 2016-05-19
    listed $129,900
  8. 2007-04-20
    listed $209,900
  9. 2006-10-31
    historical
  10. 2006-10-31
    historical
  11. 2006-06-12
    listed $239,900
  12. 2006-06-01
    listed $239,900
  13. 2005-10-04
    soldstatus $36,500
  14. 2004-02-29
    historical
  15. 2003-11-28
    listed $55,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,423 · $202/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,423 · $202/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,989
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$2,423
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,759
− Management
−$1,759
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$6,470
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,553
After-tax cash flow
$-475/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Silver Springs Shores

Score
68/100
State rank
#527
US rank
#9854

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Silver Springs Shores, FL
County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
34,665
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,851
Household income
$64,208
Rent vs Own
19.9% rent · 80.1% own
Severe rent burden
655.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.93%
Current HPI
255.0714
Rent YoY
▲ 0.17%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+347.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
  • 2017-07-21 Sold (MLS) $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-05-18 Listed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-03 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-19 Listed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-20 Listed $209,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-06-12 Listed $239,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-06-01 Listed $239,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
  • 2004-02-29 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-11-28 Listed $55,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,423 · +11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…