13501 Milan Ave · East Cleveland, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Two family with finish third floor, good wiring, good plumbing pipes and valves. Downstairs tenant of 25 years only paying $400.00 per Month. his rent just never changed. He is aware that change is coming. This property is perfect for income. need some repairs.
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Built 1922
- Listed 41 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $863/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 65.5% vs local median 17.4% in East Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#650 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- East Cleveland City School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #652 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,549/mo this rent would consume 106% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 1702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 65.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 211.40%
- DSCR
- 10.41
- GRM
- 1.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $109,368
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1455 E 133rd St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 2,633 (+1%) | 9mo | $40,000 | $15 | 84 |
| 1290 E 134th St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 2,520 (-3%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $42 | 69 |
| 1304 E 134th St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 2,306 (-11%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $46 | 56 |
| 1096 Eddy Rd | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 2,694 (+4%) | 17mo | $60,000 | $22 | 53 |
| 1045 Carlyon Rd | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 2,436 (-6%) | 3mo | $113,000 | $46 | 53 |
| 1623 Elsinore Ave | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 2,220 (-15%) | 1mo | $39,000 | $18 | 51 |
| 1320 E 142nd | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 2,392 (-8%) | 21mo | $50,000 | $21 | 48 |
| 14520 Strathmore Ave | 0.41mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,220 (-15%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $59 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.23×
- Total profit
- $110,013
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 27.73×
- Total profit
- $261,928
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44112
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,549 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,069/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$535
- Net cashflow
- $1,726
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,548 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,274 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,274 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,549 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 571 E 115th St Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2220 | $1,808 | $0.81 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 15801 Hazel Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1908 | $1,550 | $0.81 | 16d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1215 E 113th St Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3502 | $1,800 | $0.51 | 16d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 910 Dresden Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $1,800 | $0.98 | 16d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-02-05status Pending
-
2025-12-26$35,000 Active
-
2020-12-23soldstatus $30,000
-
2020-12-23soldstatus $30,000
-
2020-09-04soldstatus $24,000
-
2011-11-22soldstatus $15,629
-
1997-11-08historical
-
1997-05-08$54,900
-
1994-12-09historical
-
1994-09-08$36,900
-
1992-06-20historical
-
1992-02-19$43,500
-
1991-07-19soldstatus $21,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,069 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,069 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$1,069
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,447
- − Management
- −$2,447
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $21,471
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,153
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,565/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Cleveland City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $22,726
- Composite
- 7.38/100
- National rank
- #9954
- State rank
- #652 of 656 in OH
Livability — East Cleveland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #650
- US rank
- #11510
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Cleveland, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 17,848
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,848
- Household income
- $28,799
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1702.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.61%
- Current HPI
- 67.2162
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.16%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+62.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-05 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2025-12-26 Listed $35,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 2011-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $15,629 Public Records
- 1997-11-08 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1997-05-08 Listed $54,900 MLSNOW
- 1994-12-09 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1994-09-08 Listed $36,900 MLSNOW
- 1992-06-20 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1992-02-19 Listed $43,500 MLSNOW
- 1991-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,069 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…