5797 Corkscrew Ct · Pace, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful cottage style brick home inside Willow Glen subdivision. Central and close to everything Pace has to offer! 3 bedroom & 2 full bathrooms ~ Fully functional kitchen with self cleaning oven, stainless steel appliances, built-in microwave, dishwasher and pantry. Large living room with additional dining area. Master bedroom has spacious walk-in closet and also has its own master suite complete with double vanities. Covered screened area as well as an open patio to enjoy your fully fenced backyard. **Buyer to verify all sizes, dimensions and information.**
Key facts
- Public sewer
- 5,096 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-260/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $266k (1.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (19.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $217k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.4% in Pace — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#475 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: S. S. Dixon Intermediate School (math 73% / reading 67%, grade A-, #345 of 2,144 statewide, top 17%, 920 students, 40% FRL); Thomas L Sims Middle School (math 77% / reading 65%, grade A, #59 of 571 statewide, top 11%, 1,098 students, 34% FRL); Pace High School (math 63% / reading 62%, grade B-, #93 of 667 statewide, top 14%, 2,240 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 674 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.34%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $283,826
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5797 Corkscrew Ct | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,486 (0%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $175 | 99 |
| 5800 Glenby Ct | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,483 (-0%) | 9mo | $258,700 | $174 | 88 |
| 3952 Willow Glen Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (-6%) | 2mo | $259,900 | $187 | 84 |
| 5960 Palermo Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (+2%) | 9mo | $289,900 | $191 | 80 |
| 3966 Willow Glen Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,398 (-6%) | 10mo | $279,000 | $200 | 74 |
| 5793 Corkscrew Ct | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,319 (-11%) | 21mo | $262,000 | $199 | 63 |
| 5939 Jameson Crk | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,628 (+10%) | 9mo | $251,000 | $154 | 57 |
| 5946 Greenfield St | 0.39mi | 3/3.0 | 1,687 (+14%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $193 | 54 |
| 5685 Todd St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,624 (+9%) | 18mo | $472,000 | $291 | 52 |
| 4100 Berry Cir | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,628 (+10%) | 10mo | $300,000 | $184 | 48 |
| 3951 Tuscany Way | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,690 (+14%) | 21mo | $350,000 | $207 | 48 |
| 3691 Gardenview St | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-10%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $164 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-45,791
- Equity at exit
- $40,258
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-44,336
- Equity at exit
- $23,345
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32571
- Home prices YoY
- -17.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 674
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,167 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,266/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$16
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$455
- Net cashflow
- $-22
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $131 | -5% $55 | +0% $-22 | +5% $-98 | +10% $-175 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-193 | -5% $-107 | +0% $-22 | +5% $64 | +10% $149 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $114 | -0.5pp $47 | base $-22 | +0.5pp $-92 | +1.0pp $-163 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3927 Tuscany Way Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,075 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 6169 Autumn Pines Cir Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $1,895 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5849 Danbury Blvd Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1736 | $2,100 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5857 Danbury Blvd Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $2,145 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $16 · $192/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-19historical Contingent
-
2026-03-30price $270,000
-
2026-03-09$285,000 Active
-
2022-06-21soldstatus $265,000 Sold 571-char remark
Show marketing remark (571 chars)
Beautiful cottage style brick home inside Willow Glen subdivision. Central and close to everything Pace has to offer! 3 bedroom & 2 full bathrooms ~ Fully functional kitchen with self cleaning oven, stainless steel appliances, built-in microwave, dishwasher and pantry. Large living room with additional dining area. Master bedroom has spacious walk-in closet and also has its own master suite complete with double vanities. Covered screened area as well as an open patio to enjoy your fully fenced backyard. **Buyer to verify all sizes, dimensions and information.**
-
2022-05-24historical Contingent 571-char remark
Show marketing remark (571 chars)
Beautiful cottage style brick home inside Willow Glen subdivision. Central and close to everything Pace has to offer! 3 bedroom & 2 full bathrooms ~ Fully functional kitchen with self cleaning oven, stainless steel appliances, built-in microwave, dishwasher and pantry. Large living room with additional dining area. Master bedroom has spacious walk-in closet and also has its own master suite complete with double vanities. Covered screened area as well as an open patio to enjoy your fully fenced backyard. **Buyer to verify all sizes, dimensions and information.**
-
2022-05-20$265,000 Active 571-char remark
Show marketing remark (571 chars)
Beautiful cottage style brick home inside Willow Glen subdivision. Central and close to everything Pace has to offer! 3 bedroom & 2 full bathrooms ~ Fully functional kitchen with self cleaning oven, stainless steel appliances, built-in microwave, dishwasher and pantry. Large living room with additional dining area. Master bedroom has spacious walk-in closet and also has its own master suite complete with double vanities. Covered screened area as well as an open patio to enjoy your fully fenced backyard. **Buyer to verify all sizes, dimensions and information.**
-
2016-07-21soldstatus $143,900 1018-char remark
Show marketing remark (1018 chars)
WOW, this brick cottage in Pace has to be seen to believe!!! The layout of this plan is a bit different and that makes the difference. The Dining Area is on the front with wonderful windows around the front diagonal walls, giving it an enlarged bay window effect. The Kitchen features crown molding on cabinets, installed hardware , Stainless appliances and a built-in microwave. The Living and Master feature ceiling fans. Double sinks are featured in the Master Bath with Moen faucets in baths and Kitchen. Closet space is generous in the bedrooms. Smooth ceilings and mini blinds are wonderful features of the home. Colors have been professionally chosen. Maintenance free vinyl trim, vinyl tilt-out windows and dimensional shingles are standard. Photos are from a like home on a different lot. You may see some difference in the configuration of the roof line. The neighborhood features underground utilities, sidewalks and a Tot Lot for the little ones. Come see this beautiful home as we progress.
-
2016-03-02$143,900 1018-char remark
Show marketing remark (1018 chars)
WOW, this brick cottage in Pace has to be seen to believe!!! The layout of this plan is a bit different and that makes the difference. The Dining Area is on the front with wonderful windows around the front diagonal walls, giving it an enlarged bay window effect. The Kitchen features crown molding on cabinets, installed hardware , Stainless appliances and a built-in microwave. The Living and Master feature ceiling fans. Double sinks are featured in the Master Bath with Moen faucets in baths and Kitchen. Closet space is generous in the bedrooms. Smooth ceilings and mini blinds are wonderful features of the home. Colors have been professionally chosen. Maintenance free vinyl trim, vinyl tilt-out windows and dimensional shingles are standard. Photos are from a like home on a different lot. You may see some difference in the configuration of the roof line. The neighborhood features underground utilities, sidewalks and a Tot Lot for the little ones. Come see this beautiful home as we progress.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,266 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,266 · $189/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,998
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$2,266
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,080
- − Management
- −$2,080
- − HOA
- −$192
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable loss
- −$4,948
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,188
- After-tax cash flow
- $927/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Rosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201650
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,161
- Composite
- 53.12/100
- National rank
- #1511
- State rank
- #8 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pace
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #475
- US rank
- #8593
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Santa Rosa County · 194,764 people
- City population
- 42,171
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,171
- Household income
- $87,617
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 301.0
Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,978 people
- By 2030
- 209,782 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 235,293 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 256,408 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 298,074 · +52.1%
- By 2100
- 303,216 · +54.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.39%
- Current HPI
- 290.2953
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.72%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+87.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $270,000 PARMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $285,000 PARMLS
- 2022-06-21 Sold (MLS) $265,000 PARMLS
- 2022-05-24 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2022-05-20 Listed $265,000 PARMLS
- 2016-07-21 Sold (MLS) $143,900 PARMLS
- 2016-03-02 Listed $143,900 PARMLS
Property tax history
+28.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,266 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…