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496 Spindale St
B- Composite 66.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$94,000

496 Spindale St · Spindale, NC 28160
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 892 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 280 Days on market
Built 1920 7,405 sqft lot ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't miss the opportunity to make this charming bungalow your very own. This cozy two-bedroom, one-bathroom home is ready for all your grand ideas—a large living room with an abundance of natural light. The sizable kitchen is spacious enough for an island and features a charming pantry with ample shelving. The yard is level and manageable. The exterior features vinyl siding, a metal roof, and updated windows. Natural gas is available for a wall and floor heater, but there is no air conditioning. Home is within walking distance of downtown shops and restaurants. The outbuilding in the back could be brought up to speed to be used for tons of storage, woodworking, or extra hangout space

Key facts

  • Sizable kitchen
  • Level yard
  • Metal roof

Tags

LARGE LIVING ROOMSIZABLE KITCHENCHARMING PANTRYLEVEL YARDVINYL SIDINGMETAL ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R-43 (specification R6)
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (no main-level garage)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built construction; One story; Crawl space foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Outbuilding on the property; Roads are gravel and paved; publicly maintained

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed for the kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Additional heating noted as 'other' (see remarks); Window cooling units
  • Interior features: One-room main living area; No built-in appliances listed
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry facilities (none listed)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
  • Recommended offer: $83k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#211 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rutherford County Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #98 of 178 in NC (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Spindale Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #908 of 1,410 statewide, top 67%, 341 students, 99% FRL); R-S Central High School (math 62% / reading 42%, grade D+, #292 of 535 statewide, top 56%, 758 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 60% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 193 units permitted in Rutherford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($650 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Rutherford County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 280 days — a 12% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $82,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 280 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.47%
Cash-on-cash
7.79%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.0%
Equity multiple
3.36×
Total profit
$62,081
Equity at exit
$84,683
10-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
7.62×
Total profit
$174,274
Equity at exit
$182,621

Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28160

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
55
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,020 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$493
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,231/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $803
Max offer price $94,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,500
Closing costs
$2,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $94,000 Active 280 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,000 Active 279 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,000 Active 278 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,000 Active 277 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,000 Active 276 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,000 Active 274 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,000 Active 273 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $94,000 Active 271 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,000 Active 270 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,000 Active 269 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,000 Active 268 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,000 Active 263 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,000 Active 262 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,000 Active 261 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $94,000 Active 260 DOM
  16. 2026-03-30
    price $94,000
  17. 2026-02-25
    status Active
  18. 2025-12-12
    historical Active Under Contract
  19. 2025-12-03
    price $99,000
  20. 2025-11-23
    price $109,000
  21. 2025-10-22
    price $119,000
  22. 2025-09-12
    listed $130,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,231 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,231 · $103/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,235
− Mortgage interest
−$5,265
− Property taxes
−$1,231
− Insurance
−$470
− Repairs & maintenance
−$979
− Management
−$979
− Depreciation
−$2,735
Taxable income
$577
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$138
After-tax cash flow
$1,911/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rutherford County Schools
NCES district ID
3704080
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$36,490
Composite
36.11/100
National rank
#4753
State rank
#98 of 178 in NC

Livability — Spindale

Score
67/100
State rank
#211
US rank
#10189

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing B Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Spindale, NC
City population
3,825
Population (ZIP)
3,825

Population outlook (Rutherford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,695 people
By 2030
61,670 · -3.2%
By 2040
57,212 · -10.2%
By 2050
52,763 · -17.2%
By 2075
44,493 · -30.1%
By 2100
38,127 · -40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 5% Slovak 3% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rutherford

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.8% · R 73.6%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: -31.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+45.8 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+31.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.11%
Current HPI
328.8325
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $94,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-25 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-12 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $99,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-23 Price Changed $109,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $119,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $130,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+11.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,231 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…