2109 North Rd · Hinesburg, VT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $480 – $892
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$29,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.
Key facts
- In-unit laundry
- Open-concept layout
- Built 1995
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#54 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 898 units permitted in Chittenden County in 2024 (554 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $900 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Chittenden County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 235 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $30k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 235 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.56%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $143,309
- List price
- $29,999
- Delta
- -79.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Wile St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-8%) | 16mo | $18,000 | $27 | 46 |
| 63 Wile St | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 790 (+8%) | 24mo | $135,900 | $172 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $16,219
- Equity at exit
- $13,489
- IRR
- 34.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.88×
- Total profit
- $40,963
- Equity at exit
- $20,788
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Vermont
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 05461-7111
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,129 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $370/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$498
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $193
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $498 · $5,976/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $29,999 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,999 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $29,999 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $29,999 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,999 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $29,999 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $29,999 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $43,500 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $43,500 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $43,500 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $43,500 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-03-16status Active 630-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.
-
2026-03-03historical Active with Contract 630-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.
-
2026-01-07status Active 630-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.
-
2025-12-19status Pending 630-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.
-
2025-12-07historical 630-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.
-
2025-09-26status Pending 630-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.
-
2025-07-08$43,500 Active 630-char remark
Show marketing remark (630 chars)
Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.
-
2019-09-03soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $370 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $470 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$100/yr (+$8/mo · 27.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,543
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$370
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,083
- − Management
- −$1,083
- − HOA
- −$5,976
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $2,327
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$558
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,756/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Hinesburg
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #54
- US rank
- #12285
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+262.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Relisted — PrimeMLS
- 2026-03-03 Contingent — PrimeMLS
- 2026-01-07 Relisted — PrimeMLS
- 2025-12-19 Pending — PrimeMLS
- 2025-12-07 Delisted — PrimeMLS
- 2025-09-26 Pending — PrimeMLS
- 2025-07-08 Listed $43,500 PrimeMLS
- 2019-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2024): $370 · +23.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…