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2109 North Rd
B+ Composite 75.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$29,999

2109 North Rd · Hinesburg, VT 05461-7111
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · Manufactured public records · 235 Days on market
Built 1995 $41/sqft · 79% below area $498/mo HOA · 44% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.

Key facts

  • In-unit laundry
  • Open-concept layout
  • Built 1995

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTIN-UNIT LAUNDRYGENEROUSLY SIZED SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#54 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 898 units permitted in Chittenden County in 2024 (554 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $900 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chittenden County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 235 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $30k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
Recommended offer $26,399 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 235 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.76%
Cap rate
14.01%
Cash-on-cash
27.56%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$143,309
List price
$29,999
Delta
-79.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
39 Wile St 0.58mi 2/1.0 672 (-8%) 16mo $18,000 $27 46
63 Wile St 0.60mi 2/2.0 790 (+8%) 24mo $135,900 $172 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.0%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$16,219
Equity at exit
$13,489
10-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
5.88×
Total profit
$40,963
Equity at exit
$20,788

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05461-7111

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,129 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $370/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$498
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$193

Break-even live

Break-even rent $884
Max offer price $29,999
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$498 · $5,976/yr

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $29,999 Active 235 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,999 Active 234 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,999 Active 233 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,999 Active 232 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,999 Active 231 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $29,999 Active 229 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $29,999 Active 228 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $43,500 Active 225 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $43,500 Active 224 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $43,500 Active 223 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $43,500 Active 222 DOM
  12. 2026-03-16
    status Active 630-char remark
    Show marketing remark (630 chars)

    Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.

  13. 2026-03-03
    historical Active with Contract 630-char remark
    Show marketing remark (630 chars)

    Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.

  14. 2026-01-07
    status Active 630-char remark
    Show marketing remark (630 chars)

    Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.

  15. 2025-12-19
    status Pending 630-char remark
    Show marketing remark (630 chars)

    Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.

  16. 2025-12-07
    historical 630-char remark
    Show marketing remark (630 chars)

    Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.

  17. 2025-09-26
    status Pending 630-char remark
    Show marketing remark (630 chars)

    Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.

  18. 2025-07-08
    listed $43,500 Active 630-char remark
    Show marketing remark (630 chars)

    Affordable Mobile Home in Hinesburg – Bring Your Vision! Opportunity awaits in this 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in the desirable town of Hinesburg. Offering a spacious open-concept layout with a combined living, kitchen, and dining area, this home is ready for your personal touches and a little TLC to make it shine. Enjoy the convenience of in-unit laundry and a generously sized shed for all your storage needs. Whether you're looking for an affordable primary residence or an investment opportunity, this property has great potential. Come take a look and imagine the possibilities! This property is being sold As-Is.

  19. 2019-09-03
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$370 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$470 · $39/mo
Expected delta
+$100/yr (+$8/mo · 27.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,543
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$370
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,083
− Management
−$1,083
− HOA
−$5,976
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$2,327
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$558
After-tax cash flow
$1,756/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Hinesburg

Score
66/100
State rank
#54
US rank
#12285

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

No demographic data for this ZIP.

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+262.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Relisted PrimeMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Contingent PrimeMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Relisted PrimeMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2025-12-07 Delisted PrimeMLS
  • 2025-09-26 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2025-07-08 Listed $43,500 PrimeMLS
  • 2019-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $370 · +23.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…