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3883 Buchanan St #133
C+ Composite 62.53
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

3883 Buchanan St #133 · Riverside, CA 92503
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 83 Days on market
Built 1975 $132/sqft · 37% above area Est $138k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FULLY REMODELED HOME - CORNER UNIT WITH LOW SPACE RENT! Home has 3 Spacious Bedrooms and 2 Full Bathrooms! Upgraded Kitchen with Modern Countertops and Lots of Storage Space! Open Style Living Room and NEW Flooring Throughout Home! Includes a Separate Den Area - Great for Home Office! Upgraded Bathrooms! Washer and Dryer Room! Enjoy Relaxing Afternoons on the Covered Porch! Convenient Carport Parking for 3 Cars! Community Residents have Access to Sparkling Pool and Clubhouse! Great Location with Close Proximity to 15 and 91 Freeways!

Key facts

  • 3 parking spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1975

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.0% in Riverside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#337 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, commute B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, crime F.
  • Alvord Unified (urban): math 28% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #852 of 1,400 in CA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $178,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
13.14%
Cash-on-cash
24.44%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,465
List price
$189,900
Delta
37.15%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4000 Pierce #138 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,440 (0%) 2mo $191,000 $133 80
3700 Buchanan St #108 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+1%) 3mo $189,900 $130 76
4000 Pierce #282 0.41mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 2mo $139,000 $97 74
3700 Buchanan St #132 0.43mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 2mo $158,000 $110 73
3663 Buchanan #112 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 1mo $169,000 $126 70
3700 Buchanan St #98 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 2mo $120,000 $89 67
3500 Buchanan St #21 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 3mo $87,500 $61 66
4000 Pierce #135 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-7%) 0mo $115,000 $86 65
3700 Buchanan St #105 0.43mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-7%) 1mo $86,000 $64 63
3500 Buchanan #103 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 1mo $139,900 $104 61
3500 Buchanan St #230 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,356 (-6%) 3mo $173,000 $128 56
3500 Buchanan #73 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-7%) 2mo $71,111 $53 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$39,494
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
3.42×
Total profit
$128,574
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92503

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,032 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax est. 1.5%
$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$637
Net cashflow
$1,083

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,661
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,214 -5% $1,148 +0% $1,083 +5% $1,017 +10% $952
Rent -10% $843 -5% $963 +0% $1,083 +5% $1,203 +10% $1,322
Rate -1.0pp $1,178 -0.5pp $1,131 base $1,083 +0.5pp $1,034 +1.0pp $984

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3957 Pierce St Riverside, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 845 $2,795 $3.31 2d 31 0.51mi
371 Dylan Cir Corona, CA 3.0 2.0 1625 $3,500 $2.15 5d 1 0.66mi
11711 Collett Ave Riverside, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1018 $4,383 $4.30 2d 21 0.72mi
4408 Ambs Dr Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 1470 $3,040 $2.07 44d 1 0.78mi
11520 Magnolia Ave Riverside, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 851 $2,634 $3.09 2d 7 0.92mi
2365 Promenade Ave Corona, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 892 $2,557 $2.87 2d 18 0.99mi
3713 Calle Curacso Riverside, CA 3.0 2.5 1300 $3,090 $2.38 44d 1 1.00mi
3713 Calle Curacso Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 1300 $3,090 $2.38 17d 1 1.00mi
2361 Mary Helen St Unit 102 Corona, CA 2.0 1.5 1000 $2,395 $2.40 2d 1 1.18mi
2235 Treehouse Ln Corona, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 886 $2,770 $3.12 2d 17 1.19mi
2341 Mary Helen St Unit 104 Corona, CA 3.0 2.5 1000 $2,550 $2.55 44d 1 1.19mi
11266 Ramway Rd Riverside, CA 4.0 2.0 1595 $3,495 $2.19 19d 1 1.22mi
11207 Magnolia Ave Riverside, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,250 $1.88 24d 1 1.27mi
11377 Brookglen Ct Riverside, CA 3.0 2.5 1532 $3,400 $2.22 24d 1 1.28mi
4259 Redstar Ct Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 1178 $3,000 $2.55 24d 1 1.29mi
4259 Redstar Ct Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 1178 $3,000 $2.55 5d 1 1.29mi
4259 Redstar Ct Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 1178 $3,000 $2.55 15d 1 1.29mi
4259 Redstar Ct Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 1178 $3,000 $2.55 21d 1 1.29mi
2215 Lakeside Pl Corona, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1043 $2,998 $2.87 3d 26 1.30mi
11309 Rasmussen Ct Riverside, CA 3.0 2.5 1535 $3,225 $2.10 18d 1 1.32mi
3900 Fir Tree Dr Riverside, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 789 $2,695 $3.42 2d 6 1.36mi
11331 River Trail Ct Riverside, CA 3.0 2.5 1532 $3,200 $2.09 44d 1 1.37mi
4725 Sierra Vista Ave Riverside, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 785 $2,882 $3.67 3d 10 1.37mi
4655 Sierra Vista Ave Riverside, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1043 $3,318 $3.18 2d 11 1.37mi
2235 Indigo Hills Dr #6 Corona, CA 2.0 2.0 1380 $2,950 $2.14 44d 1 1.37mi
11282 Price Ct Riverside, CA 3.0 2.5 1646 $3,095 $1.88 44d 1 1.39mi
2178 Stoneridge Dr Corona, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 946 $3,090 $3.27 2d 10 1.41mi
11330 Indiana Ave Unit 1 Riverside, CA 4.0 3.0 1300 $885 $0.68 24d 1 1.42mi
13370 Magnolia Ave Corona, CA 3.0 2.0 900 $2,450 $2.72 44d 1 1.45mi
2209 Ascot St Corona, CA 3.0 2.5 1318 $2,995 $2.27 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,900 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 82 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 81 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 80 DOM
  5. 2026-05-02
    price $189,900 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    FULLY REMODELED HOME - CORNER UNIT WITH LOW SPACE RENT! Home has 3 Spacious Bedrooms and 2 Full Bathrooms! Upgraded Kitchen with Modern Countertops and Lots of Storage Space! Open Style Living Room and NEW Flooring Throughout Home! Includes a Separate Den Area - Great for Home Office! Upgraded Bathrooms! Washer and Dryer Room! Enjoy Relaxing Afternoons on the Covered Porch! Convenient Carport Parking for 3 Cars! Community Residents have Access to Sparkling Pool and Clubhouse! Great Location with Close Proximity to 15 and 91 Freeways!

  6. 2026-03-12
    listed $199,000 Active 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    FULLY REMODELED HOME - CORNER UNIT WITH LOW SPACE RENT! Home has 3 Spacious Bedrooms and 2 Full Bathrooms! Upgraded Kitchen with Modern Countertops and Lots of Storage Space! Open Style Living Room and NEW Flooring Throughout Home! Includes a Separate Den Area - Great for Home Office! Upgraded Bathrooms! Washer and Dryer Room! Enjoy Relaxing Afternoons on the Covered Porch! Convenient Carport Parking for 3 Cars! Community Residents have Access to Sparkling Pool and Clubhouse! Great Location with Close Proximity to 15 and 91 Freeways!

  7. 2026-03-12
    historical $199,000 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    FULLY REMODELED HOME - CORNER UNIT WITH LOW SPACE RENT! Home has 3 Spacious Bedrooms and 2 Full Bathrooms! Upgraded Kitchen with Modern Countertops and Lots of Storage Space! Open Style Living Room and NEW Flooring Throughout Home! Includes a Separate Den Area - Great for Home Office! Upgraded Bathrooms! Washer and Dryer Room! Enjoy Relaxing Afternoons on the Covered Porch! Convenient Carport Parking for 3 Cars! Community Residents have Access to Sparkling Pool and Clubhouse! Great Location with Close Proximity to 15 and 91 Freeways!

  8. 2026-02-04
    historical
  9. 2026-01-10
    price $200,000
  10. 2025-12-28
    status Active
  11. 2025-11-20
    price $205,000
  12. 2025-11-05
    price $210,000
  13. 2025-09-23
    listed $215,000 Active
  14. 2025-09-20
    historical
  15. 2024-07-31
    soldstatus $172,000 Closed Sale
  16. 2024-07-25
    status Pending Sale
  17. 2024-04-10
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2024-02-01
    listed $179,900 Active
  19. 2024-01-29
    historical $179,900
  20. 2013-09-27
    soldstatus $19,500 Closed
  21. 2013-09-16
    status Pending
  22. 2013-08-14
    listed $22,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 23 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,382
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$2,848
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,911
− Management
−$2,911
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable income
$10,601
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,544
After-tax cash flow
$10,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alvord Unified
NCES district ID
0602430
Math proficiency
28% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$58,965
Composite
33.81/100
National rank
#10383
State rank
#852 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Riverside

Score
66/100
State rank
#337
US rank
#11613

Category grades

Amenities C Commute B+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Riverside, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
367,890
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
88,395
Household income
$96,268
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
2337.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% White 24% Two or more races 15% Asian 8% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 52%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
44% English-only · Spanish 45% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -414.52%
Current HPI
393.407
Rent YoY
▲ 3.41%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+744.0% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $189,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $199,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Coming Soon $199,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-01-10 Price Changed $200,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-12-28 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $205,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Price Changed $210,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $215,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-09-20 Coming Soon CRMLS
  • 2024-07-31 Sold (MLS) $172,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-07-25 Pending CRMLS
  • 2024-04-10 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2024-02-01 Listed $179,900 CRMLS
  • 2024-01-29 Coming Soon $179,900 CRMLS
  • 2013-09-27 Sold (MLS) $19,500 CRMLS
  • 2013-09-16 Pending CRMLS
  • 2013-08-14 Listed $22,500 CRMLS

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $242 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…