25 Lorimer St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Owner Occupied? Investment? This house is ready for you to add to your portfolio. This 2/3 bedroom house has been totally renovated and is ready for occupancy. New kitchen, new bath, new paint and carpet.
Key facts
- 1,600 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1883
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (no garage)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Block foundation; Existing construction
- Exterior features: Rectangular lot; Near public transit; Lot dimensions approximately 32 x 50
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (4.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $143k (4.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $150k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1883 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1883 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.82%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $75,456
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95 Angle St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,028 (-2%) | 8mo | $76,000 | $74 | 68 |
| 288 Orchard St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 1,110 (+6%) | 2mo | $63,000 | $57 | 61 |
| 242 Martin St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,074 (+2%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $88 | 59 |
| 65 Saratoga Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 902 (-14%) | 2mo | $28,000 | $31 | 57 |
| 658 Smith St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 981 (-6%) | 11mo | $67,500 | $69 | 54 |
| 25 Emerson Park | 0.70mi | 2/1.5 | 996 (-5%) | 4mo | $98,000 | $98 | 54 |
| 418 Jay St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,020 (-3%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $147 | 52 |
| 631 Smith St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,139 (+9%) | 3mo | $82,500 | $72 | 51 |
| 127 Conkey Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,108 (+6%) | 9mo | $37,000 | $33 | 47 |
| 201 Clifford Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 954 (-9%) | 9mo | $55,000 | $58 | 42 |
| 15 Princeton St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,158 (+10%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $65 | 38 |
| 114 Otis St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 903 (-14%) | 8mo | $67,500 | $75 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.69% appreciation · 6.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $44,125
- Equity at exit
- $73,309
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.30×
- Total profit
- $138,378
- Equity at exit
- $117,804
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14608
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,432 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $529/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $239
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Lorimer St Unit 03 UP Rear Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 89 Twin Beeches Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 84 Twin Beeches Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 39 Parkway Apt 1 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 69 Angle St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2 Jay St Unit 2 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $1,045 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 85 Cameron St Unit B Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1138 | $1,650 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 658 Smith St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,500 | $1.53 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 25 Karnes St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1059 | $1,250 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 76 Avenue A Unit Up Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $1,700 | $2.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 28-30 Carthage Dr Unit 28 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1415 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 19 Rainier St Rochester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $850 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 629 Jay St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1193 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 18d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 254 Lexington Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 224 Mill St Unit 4B Rochester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $1,700 | $1.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 224 Mill St Unit 3A Rochester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1277 | $2,025 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 710-712 Jay St Unit 3 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $895 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 265 Driving Park Ave Unit 31 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,250 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 155 State St Rochester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,450 | $1.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1016 Lake Ave Unit 1 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 39 State St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1154 | $3,500 | $3.03 | 3d | 8 | 1.17mi |
| 216 Andrews St Rochester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 11 Maria St Unit 1 DN Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 13 S Fitzhugh St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 890 | $2,098 | $2.36 | 10d | 2 | 1.23mi |
| 80 St Paul St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1024 | $1,935 | $1.89 | 3d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 30 W Broad St Unit 307 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $1,950 | $2.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 30 W Broad St Unit 208 Rochester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $2,090 | $2.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 30 W Broad St Unit 405 Rochester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,665 | $2.28 | 10d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 30 W Broad St Unit 406 Rochester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,740 | $2.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 30 W Broad St Unit 203 Rochester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,790 | $2.56 | 10d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 30 W Broad St Unit 409 Rochester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $1,940 | $2.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 42 S Washington St Unit 401 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 42 S Washington St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 257 Hague St Unit 257 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1097 Dewey Ave Unit B Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 65 W Broad St Unit 705 Rochester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $1,449 | $2.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 65 W Broad St Unit 303 Rochester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,519 | $2.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 65 W Broad St Unit 808 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $1,679 | $2.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 802 Maple St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 55 Exchange Blvd Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $2,695 | $2.83 | 3d | 28 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 320-char remark
-
2026-06-17$149,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $529 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,531 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,002/yr (+$83/mo · 189.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,183
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$529
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,375
- − Management
- −$1,375
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $397
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$95
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,767/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,792
- Household income
- $40,646
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1300.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 25% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.69%
- Current HPI
- 280.2411
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.61%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+906.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-07-18 Rental Removed $1,395 BUILDIUM
- 2025-07-15 Listed for Rent $1,395 BUILDIUM
- 2024-08-13 Rental Removed $1,350 BUILDIUM
- 2024-08-08 Listed for Rent $1,350 BUILDIUM
- 2023-09-22 Sold (MLS) $45,000 UNYREIS
- 2023-08-22 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2023-08-02 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2023-07-31 Listed $44,900 UNYREIS
- 2020-12-08 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2020-12-07 Listed $14,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $529 · +26.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…