150 W 51st St Unit 21-21 · New York, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
$699,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATIONGreat Inestment Opportunity!Low monthly carrying costs, return on investment, currently rentedRenovated apartment, currently rented by corporate tenant. Sold with furnitureOnsite managment/brokerage for investors
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Unbeatable location
- Open kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Condo association with monthly fee of $648.49; HOA covers common area maintenance and hot water
Exterior
- Parking: No carport; No designated parking
- Utilities: Con Edison electric service; Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Water available and connected
- Home design: Condominium
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 3; Entry level: 21
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Open kitchen layout; No basement; No attic
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $699k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-602 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $593k (15.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $597k (14.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $593k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 543 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,966/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($129k/yr) (locally 3795% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($636k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.69%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.61% appreciation · 4.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $76,593
- Equity at exit
- $338,489
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $311,136
- Equity at exit
- $541,294
Cash invested: $195,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10019
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 543
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,966 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,666
- Tax from tax record
- −$710 /mo · $8,518/yr
- Insurance
- −$291
- HOA
- −$648
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,253
- Net cashflow
- $-602
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-206 | -5% $-404 | +0% $-602 | +5% $-800 | +10% $-998 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,073 | -5% $-838 | +0% $-602 | +5% $-366 | +10% $-131 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-250 | -0.5pp $-424 | base $-602 | +0.5pp $-783 | +1.0pp $-967 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $174,750
- Closing costs
- $20,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235 W 48th St #1400 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 687 | $6,270 | $9.12 | 9d | 3 | 0.16mi |
| 250 W 50th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 784 | $5,866 | $7.48 | 9d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 254 W 54th St Unit 1026635P New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $8,040 | $9.34 | 9d | 2 | 0.24mi |
| 311 W 50th St #228 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 669 | $6,470 | $9.67 | 9d | 3 | 0.24mi |
| 18 W 48th St Unit 670 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 631 | $7,730 | $12.25 | 9d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 77 W 55th St Unit 15H New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $4,900 | $6.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 70 W 45th St #1131 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $5,990 | $6.64 | 9d | 2 | 0.32mi |
| 754 9th Ave Unit 1017471P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 538 | $7,284 | $13.54 | 9d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 15 W 55th St #736 New York, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1250 | $8,210 | $6.57 | 1d | 2 | 0.39mi |
| 160 Central Park S New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1550 | $9,250 | $5.97 | 9d | 9 | 0.44mi |
| 160 Central Park S New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1550 | $7,500 | $4.84 | 9d | 10 | 0.44mi |
| 500 W 56th St #116 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 680 | $6,190 | $9.10 | 9d | 3 | 0.61mi |
| 123 E 54th St #1251 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $5,220 | $8.70 | 1d | 2 | 0.63mi |
| 450 W 42nd St #1693 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 690 | $9,040 | $13.10 | 1d | 3 | 0.64mi |
| 550 W 54th St Unit 1243 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 913 | $6,270 | $6.86 | 9d | 3 | 0.66mi |
| 135 E 47th St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $6,350 | $10.94 | 1d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 117 E 57th St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $5,975 | $8.16 | 7d | 2 | 0.69mi |
| 520 W 43rd St #742 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 769 | $5,860 | $7.62 | 9d | 2 | 0.70mi |
| 135 E 47th St Unit 22F New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $7,500 | $10.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 561 10th Ave #2085 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 795 | $6,345 | $7.98 | 9d | 2 | 0.70mi |
| 160 E 48th St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 878 | $6,993 | $7.96 | 5d | 9 | 0.72mi |
| 622 11th Ave Unit 1402 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $7,600 | $10.63 | 9d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 555 10th Ave Unit 1018807P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $9,726 | $14.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 150 E 57th St New York, NY | 5.0 | 1.0–7.5 | 2750 | $10,504 | $3.82 | 3d | 5 | 0.75mi |
| 560 W 43rd St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 769 | $5,265 | $6.84 | 9d | 5 | 0.77mi |
| 220 E 49th St Unit 1021974P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $5,190 | $6.99 | 17d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 605 W 42nd St Unit 1016142P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 720 | $14,542 | $20.18 | 12d | 2 | 0.83mi |
| 235 E 55th St Unit 36B New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $4,800 | $7.38 | 26d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 635 W 42nd St #1990 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $5,680 | $7.57 | 9d | 2 | 0.87mi |
| 360 W 34th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 632 | $6,100 | $9.65 | 9d | 3 | 0.87mi |
| 230 E 44th St #2165 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 568 | $3,150 | $5.54 | 26d | 2 | 0.88mi |
| 41 Park Ave New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 815 | $6,555 | $8.04 | 9d | 3 | 0.88mi |
| 30 Park Ave #1347 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $7,890 | $8.31 | 3d | 3 | 0.89mi |
| 300 E 51st St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $6,365 | $7.27 | 4d | 3 | 0.89mi |
| 138 E 38th St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $4,510 | $6.01 | 26d | 4 | 0.89mi |
| 301 E 47th St #1737 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $5,380 | $8.97 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 151 E 62nd St Unit 1021834P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 398 | $6,812 | $17.12 | 9d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 149 E 62nd St Unit 1021871P New York, NY | — | 1.0 | 398 | $5,344 | $13.43 | 9d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 149 E 62nd St Unit 1021838P New York, NY | — | 1.0 | 398 | $4,518 | $11.35 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 21 W End Ave New York, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $8,995 | $11.99 | 26d | 2 | 0.91mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $648 · $7,776/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $699,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $699,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $699,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $699,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $699,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $699,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $699,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $699,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $699,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $699,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $699,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $699,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $699,000
-
2026-02-25$738,000 Active
-
2016-07-15soldstatus $795,000
-
2013-09-23soldstatus $648,000 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATIONGreat Inestment Opportunity!Low monthly carrying costs, return on investment, currently rentedRenovated apartment, currently rented by corporate tenant. Sold with furnitureOnsite managment/brokerage for investors
-
2013-08-28soldstatus
-
2013-05-14soldstatus $648,000
-
2013-05-02soldstatus
-
2013-02-24$795,000
-
2013-02-21$660,000 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATIONGreat Inestment Opportunity!Low monthly carrying costs, return on investment, currently rentedRenovated apartment, currently rented by corporate tenant. Sold with furnitureOnsite managment/brokerage for investors
-
2013-02-21$648,000
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATIONGreat Inestment Opportunity!Low monthly carrying costs, return on investment, currently rentedRenovated apartment, currently rented by corporate tenant. Sold with furnitureOnsite managment/brokerage for investors
-
1998-09-29soldstatus $195,000
-
1987-06-18soldstatus $182,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,518 · $710/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,166 · $847/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,647/yr (+$137/mo · 19.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $71,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,155
- − Property taxes
- −$8,518
- − Insurance
- −$3,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,727
- − Management
- −$5,727
- − HOA
- −$7,776
- − Depreciation
- −$20,335
- Taxable loss
- −$19,145
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,595
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,628/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,942
- Household income
- $128,559
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3795.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Asian 18% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Scotch-Irish 4%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 5%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.61%
- Current HPI
- 245.1226
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.25%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+284.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Listed $738,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $795,000 Public Records
- 2013-09-23 Sold (MLS) $648,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2013-08-28 Sold (MLS) — RLS at REBNY
- 2013-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $648,000 Public Records
- 2013-05-02 Sold (MLS) — RLS at REBNY
- 2013-02-24 Listed $795,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2013-02-21 Listed $648,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2013-02-21 Listed $660,000 RLS at REBNY
- 1998-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 1987-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $182,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $8,518 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…