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13123 Monica St
C+ Composite 60.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

13123 Monica St · Detroit, MI 48238
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,428 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 323 Days on market
Built 1926 3,920 sqft lot $67/sqft · 23% above area Est $66k · 43% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this excellent colonial home! Walk into a spacious, well-maintained, and ready to move in! It's an amazing 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in a great location. Newer windows and roof! Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this place home! Schedule your visit through showing time.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1926
  • Listed 323 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,376/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 323 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $95k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 323 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
12.22%
Cash-on-cash
21.18%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$66,362
List price
$95,000
Delta
43.15%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13587 Monica St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,484 (+4%) 5mo $130,000 $88 74
12625 Monica St 0.20mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,600 (+12%) 2mo $48,000 $30 62
12303 Cloverlawn St 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,454 (+2%) 4mo $58,500 $40 60
12351 Cherrylawn St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,418 (-1%) 8mo $109,500 $77 57
13955 Ohio St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,448 (+1%) 5mo $37,000 $26 55
11717 Cascade St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,536 (+8%) 2mo $81,000 $53 48
13581 Cloverlawn St 0.51mi 4/2.0 1,240 (-13%) 4mo $143,000 $115 47
4052 W Buena Vista St 0.52mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,242 (-13%) 1mo $160,000 $129 46
13586 Indiana St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,298 (-9%) 2mo $30,000 $23 44
13903 Cloverlawn Ave 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,265 (-11%) 5mo $140,000 $111 44
12066 Monica St 0.51mi 4/2.5 1,632 (+14%) 8mo $35,000 $21 40
3735 W Buena Vista St 0.69mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,213 (-15%) 3mo $164,900 $136 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$18,988
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
3.81×
Total profit
$74,649
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48238

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
346
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,376 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $955/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$469

Break-even live

Break-even rent $782
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $523 -5% $496 +0% $469 +5% $443 +10% $416
Rent -10% $361 -5% $415 +0% $469 +5% $524 +10% $578
Rate -1.0pp $517 -0.5pp $494 base $469 +0.5pp $445 +1.0pp $420

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13620 Tuller St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1064 $1,374 $1.29 13d 1 0.33mi
4336 Buena Vista St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 44d 1 0.34mi
4341 Glendale St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 1832 $1,680 $0.92 5d 1 0.37mi
4287 W Grand St Unit 4289 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,000 $0.80 44d 1 0.43mi
12032 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,423 $1.58 5d 1 0.52mi
12303 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1454 $1,400 $0.96 44d 1 0.56mi
14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 2d 1 0.60mi
14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 18d 1 0.60mi
3824 Tyler St Apt 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,523 $1.69 17d 1 0.61mi
3783 Tyler St Unit Lower Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 0.65mi
3740 Tyler St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 5d 1 0.68mi
13979 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,334 $1.03 21d 1 0.70mi
11704 Broadstreet Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,050 $0.88 44d 1 0.73mi
13620 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,200 $0.96 5d 1 0.80mi
14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 44d 1 0.85mi
3209 W Grand St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,103 $0.71 44d 1 0.93mi
12144 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 15d 1 0.94mi
12650 Griggs St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,375 $0.84 25d 1 0.97mi
14550 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 17d 1 0.98mi
Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1400 $750 $0.54 44d 1 1.00mi
14656 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 1.02mi
3040 Kendall St Detroit, MI 5.0 1.0 1188 $1,386 $1.17 13d 1 1.05mi
3322 Webb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,250 $0.78 17d 1 1.06mi
3322 Webb St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1656 $1,350 $0.82 44d 1 1.07mi
3322 Webb St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1656 $1,350 $0.82 44d 1 1.07mi
13965 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,294 $1.06 18d 1 1.17mi
3266 Calvert Ave Fl 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1279 $1,300 $1.02 25d 1 1.28mi
3031 Lawrence St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1700 $1,600 $0.94 17d 1 1.28mi
3226 Calvert Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 13d 1 1.31mi
3224 Calvert St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,150 $1.00 44d 1 1.31mi
2474 Fullerton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 15d 1 1.38mi
2925 Calvert St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 17d 1 1.44mi
2634 Lawrence St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1388 $1,600 $1.15 2d 1 1.46mi
15345 Parkside St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,300 $1.13 44d 1 1.47mi
2727 Calvert Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1350 $1,200 $0.89 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 323 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 322 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 320 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 318 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 317 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 314 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 313 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 312 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 309 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 308 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 306 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 305 DOM
  13. 2026-04-08
    price $95,000 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Welcome to this excellent colonial home! Walk into a spacious, well-maintained, and ready to move in! It's an amazing 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in a great location. Newer windows and roof! Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this place home! Schedule your visit through showing time.

  14. 2026-04-07
    price $95,000 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Welcome to this excellent colonial home! Walk into a spacious, well-maintained, and ready to move in! It's an amazing 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in a great location. Newer windows and roof! Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this place home! Schedule your visit through showing time.

  15. 2025-09-16
    price $89,000 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Welcome to this excellent colonial home! Walk into a spacious, well-maintained, and ready to move in! It's an amazing 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in a great location. Newer windows and roof! Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this place home! Schedule your visit through showing time.

  16. 2025-09-16
    price $89,000 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Welcome to this excellent colonial home! Walk into a spacious, well-maintained, and ready to move in! It's an amazing 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in a great location. Newer windows and roof! Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this place home! Schedule your visit through showing time.

  17. 2025-09-15
    price $89,900 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Welcome to this excellent colonial home! Walk into a spacious, well-maintained, and ready to move in! It's an amazing 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in a great location. Newer windows and roof! Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this place home! Schedule your visit through showing time.

  18. 2025-09-15
    price $89,900 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Welcome to this excellent colonial home! Walk into a spacious, well-maintained, and ready to move in! It's an amazing 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in a great location. Newer windows and roof! Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this place home! Schedule your visit through showing time.

  19. 2025-07-30
    listed $99,000 Active 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Welcome to this excellent colonial home! Walk into a spacious, well-maintained, and ready to move in! It's an amazing 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in a great location. Newer windows and roof! Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this place home! Schedule your visit through showing time.

  20. 2025-07-30
    listed $99,000 Active 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Welcome to this excellent colonial home! Walk into a spacious, well-maintained, and ready to move in! It's an amazing 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in a great location. Newer windows and roof! Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this place home! Schedule your visit through showing time.

  21. 2017-06-08
    soldstatus $62,000
  22. 2014-12-03
    soldstatus $11,200
  23. 2002-12-24
    historical
  24. 2002-09-24
    listed $80,000
  25. 2002-09-24
    listed $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$955 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,209 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$254/yr (+$21/mo · 26.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,510
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$955
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,321
− Management
−$1,321
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$4,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,045
After-tax cash flow
$4,589/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,731
Household income
$33,315
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.96%
Current HPI
189.6227
Rent YoY
▲ 6.14%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-16 Price Changed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-16 Price Changed $89,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-30 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-30 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2014-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $11,200 Public Records
  • 2002-12-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-09-24 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
  • 2002-09-24 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $955 · -8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…