3010 15th Ave S · Minneapolis, MN 55407

$280,000

6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,678 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 90 Days on market

Built 1900 7,840 sqft lot $105/sqft · 36% below area Est $435k · 36% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.7/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Rare opportunity to acquire a classic up/down duplex in the heart of Minneapolis that has been under the same ownership since 1994. Situated on a double lot with a fenced yard, this property offers both stability and long-term upside potential. This well-laid-out duplex features two spacious units, each offering 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with a total of 2,678 finished square feet. The upper unit showcases hardwood floors and an updated kitchen, while both units offer functional layouts and the highly desirable convenience of in-unit laundry, a major draw for tenants. The property is currently occupied by long-term tenants, providing immediate, reliable income. The main floor rents for $1,500 per month, and the upper unit rents for $1,650 per month. Residents pay their own electricity. Rents have not been increased to match current market levels, as ownership has prioritized tenant stability, presenting a clear opportunity for future value growth. The stucco exterior is complemented by a pitched roof. The windows were recently replaced through the city’s lead abatement program, adding long-term value and peace of mind. The property is heated by a boiler system, with a newer boiler (~ 5 years old) and water heater (~ 6 years old), helping reduce near-term capital expenses. An unfinished attic provides additional storage, and a detached shed offers further convenience for tenants. Located near public transit and just steps from a variety of restaurants, shopping, and neighborhood staples including Mercado Central and Ingebretsen’s, this property offers strong appeal for renters seeking convenience and walkability. Located in a highly walkable area near Powderhorn Park, this duplex offers strong fundamentals, stable tenancy, and meaningful upside, making it a solid addition to any investment portfolio.

Key facts

• Fenced yard
• Double lot
• In-unit laundry

Tags

• DOUBLE LOT
• FENCED YARD
• IN-UNIT LAUNDRY
• HARDWOOD FLOORS
• UPDATED KITCHEN
• STUCCO EXTERIOR

🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $280,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$434,644) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $280k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $672/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $280k).
• Recommended offer: $263k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
• Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,834/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) (locally 1583% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $36k; list at $280k implies a 689% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $263,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.37% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.05%
• Cash-on-cash: 20.57%
• DSCR: 1.92
• GRM: 6.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $434,644
• List price: $280,000
• Delta: -35.58%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 6 within 2.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3329 Park Ave	0.66mi	6/2.0	2,488 (-7%)	16mo	$400,000	$161	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 14.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.58×
• Total profit: $45,224
• Equity at exit: $41,749

10-year hold

• IRR: 23.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.18×
• Total profit: $170,635
• Equity at exit: $24,209

Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 34 Tenant-Leaning
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City Minneapolis: 34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50

Tenant Opportunity to Purchase; renter's protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 55407

• Rents YoY: 4.3%
• Active inventory: 149
• Price-to-rent: 12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,834 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,468
• Tax from tax record: −$100 /mo · $1,196/yr
• Insurance: −$117
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$805
• Net cashflow: $1,344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,132

Max offer price $280,000

Occupancy floor 60%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	3	1	$3,834
Total (2 units)			$3,834

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $70,000
• Closing costs: $8,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $280,000 Active 90 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $280,000 Active 89 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $280,000 Active 88 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $280,000 Active 87 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $280,000 Active 85 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $280,000 Active 81 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $280,000 Active 80 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $280,000 Active 79 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $280,000 Active 76 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $280,000 Active 75 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $280,000 Active 74 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $280,000 Active 73 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $280,000 Active 72 DOM
14. 2026-04-27
    price $280,000 1847-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1847 chars)

    Rare opportunity to acquire a classic up/down duplex in the heart of Minneapolis that has been under the same ownership since 1994. Situated on a double lot with a fenced yard, this property offers both stability and long-term upside potential. This well-laid-out duplex features two spacious units, each offering 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with a total of 2,678 finished square feet. The upper unit showcases hardwood floors and an updated kitchen, while both units offer functional layouts and the highly desirable convenience of in-unit laundry, a major draw for tenants. The property is currently occupied by long-term tenants, providing immediate, reliable income. The main floor rents for $1,500 per month, and the upper unit rents for $1,650 per month. Residents pay their own electricity. Rents have not been increased to match current market levels, as ownership has prioritized tenant stability, presenting a clear opportunity for future value growth. The stucco exterior is complemented by a pitched roof. The windows were recently replaced through the city’s lead abatement program, adding long-term value and peace of mind. The property is heated by a boiler system, with a newer boiler (~ 5 years old) and water heater (~ 6 years old), helping reduce near-term capital expenses. An unfinished attic provides additional storage, and a detached shed offers further convenience for tenants. Located near public transit and just steps from a variety of restaurants, shopping, and neighborhood staples including Mercado Central and Ingebretsen’s, this property offers strong appeal for renters seeking convenience and walkability. Located in a highly walkable area near Powderhorn Park, this duplex offers strong fundamentals, stable tenancy, and meaningful upside, making it a solid addition to any investment portfolio.

15. 2026-03-20
    listed $295,000 Active 1847-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1847 chars)

    Rare opportunity to acquire a classic up/down duplex in the heart of Minneapolis that has been under the same ownership since 1994. Situated on a double lot with a fenced yard, this property offers both stability and long-term upside potential. This well-laid-out duplex features two spacious units, each offering 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with a total of 2,678 finished square feet. The upper unit showcases hardwood floors and an updated kitchen, while both units offer functional layouts and the highly desirable convenience of in-unit laundry, a major draw for tenants. The property is currently occupied by long-term tenants, providing immediate, reliable income. The main floor rents for $1,500 per month, and the upper unit rents for $1,650 per month. Residents pay their own electricity. Rents have not been increased to match current market levels, as ownership has prioritized tenant stability, presenting a clear opportunity for future value growth. The stucco exterior is complemented by a pitched roof. The windows were recently replaced through the city’s lead abatement program, adding long-term value and peace of mind. The property is heated by a boiler system, with a newer boiler (~ 5 years old) and water heater (~ 6 years old), helping reduce near-term capital expenses. An unfinished attic provides additional storage, and a detached shed offers further convenience for tenants. Located near public transit and just steps from a variety of restaurants, shopping, and neighborhood staples including Mercado Central and Ingebretsen’s, this property offers strong appeal for renters seeking convenience and walkability. Located in a highly walkable area near Powderhorn Park, this duplex offers strong fundamentals, stable tenancy, and meaningful upside, making it a solid addition to any investment portfolio.

16. 1987-11-01
    soldstatus $35,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,196 · $100/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,166 · $180/mo
• Expected delta: +$970/yr (+$81/mo · 81.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $46,008
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,684
• − Property taxes: −$1,196
• − Insurance: −$1,400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,681
• − Management: −$3,681
• − Depreciation: −$8,145
• Taxable income: $12,221
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,933
• After-tax cash flow: $13,197/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Minneapolis Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2721240
• Math proficiency: 35% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $50,521
• Composite: 34.92/100
• National rank: #5067
• State rank: #217 of 301 in MN

Livability — Minneapolis

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #110
• US rank: #2525

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Minneapolis, MN
• County: Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
• City population: 417,555
• Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
• Population (ZIP): 37,667
• Household income: $78,464
• Rent vs Own: 41.1% rent · 58.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 1583.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,405,227 people
• By 2030: 1,492,650 · +6.2%
• By 2040: 1,660,157 · +18.1%
• By 2050: 1,823,498 · +29.8%
• By 2075: 2,221,283 · +58.1%
• By 2100: 2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
• Race & ethnicity: White 50% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 18% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 15%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 68% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -211.97%
• Current HPI: 292.0322
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.30%
• Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

+688.7% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-27 Price Changed $280,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-20 Listed $295,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1987-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,196 · -50.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.