4301 Blake Rd SW Trlr 40 · Albuquerque, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home is located in Hacienda del Sol Mobile Home Park. It offers comfortable living space with a functional layout. Perfect for those looking for an affordable and convenient home in a friendly community. Close to local amenities and easy to show. Great opportunity to own in a welcoming park. Schedule your showing today! Investors welcome! Obtainable Loan through 21st Century Mortgage. Must apply to Hacienda Del Sol for lot lease. Call broker with questions.
Key facts
- Built 1977
- Listed 68 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $850 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.7% vs local median 3.7% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
- Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 72.83%
- DSCR
- 4.24
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $230,568
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -78.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 69.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.97×
- Total profit
- $41,601
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 72.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.35×
- Total profit
- $88,864
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 87121
- Home prices YoY
- -19.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 259
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,513 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $850
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4301 Riley Rd SW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 963 | $1,400 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2300 Diamond Mesa Trl SW Albuquerque, NM | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1176 | $2,004 | $1.70 | 3d | 26 | 0.79mi |
| 3800 Flora Vista Ave SW Apt 1 Albuquerque, NM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $995 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1327 Ojo Feliz St SW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,695 | $1.83 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-10-01$55,000 Active 491-char remark
Show marketing remark (491 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home is located in Hacienda del Sol Mobile Home Park. It offers comfortable living space with a functional layout. Perfect for those looking for an affordable and convenient home in a friendly community. Close to local amenities and easy to show. Great opportunity to own in a welcoming park. Schedule your showing today! Investors welcome! Obtainable Loan through 21st Century Mortgage. Must apply to Hacienda Del Sol for lot lease. Call broker with questions.
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $50,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $50,000 491-char remark
Show marketing remark (491 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home is located in Hacienda del Sol Mobile Home Park. It offers comfortable living space with a functional layout. Perfect for those looking for an affordable and convenient home in a friendly community. Close to local amenities and easy to show. Great opportunity to own in a welcoming park. Schedule your showing today! Investors welcome! Obtainable Loan through 21st Century Mortgage. Must apply to Hacienda Del Sol for lot lease. Call broker with questions.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,155
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,452
- − Management
- −$1,452
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $9,995
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,399
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,797/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home in Hacienda del Sol Mobile Home Park is in good condition with no visible damage. It offers a functional layout and is perfect for those looking for an affordable and convenient home in a friendly community. Investors are welcome to consider this property for purchase.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
- Both Updating the interior paint — Fresh paint can make the interior look more modern and appealing to potential buyers or renters.
- Both Upgrading the flooring — Upgrading the flooring can add value and make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading the kitchen appliances can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
- Both Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Upgrading the bathroom fixtures can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
- Both Upgrading the roof — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Updating the interior paint — Fresh paint can make the interior look more modern and appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the flooring — Upgrading the flooring can add value and make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading the kitchen appliances can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Upgrading the bathroom fixtures can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the roof — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albuquerque Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500060
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▲ 30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 45.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,151
- Composite
- 53.29/100
- National rank
- #1487
- State rank
- #3 of 29 in NM
Livability — Albuquerque
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #6219
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bernalillo County · 647,165 people
- City population
- 647,165
- Metro
- Albuquerque, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 75,510
- Household income
- $60,796
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1617.0
Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 704,528 people
- By 2030
- 711,723 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 714,522 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 709,274 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 680,015 · -3.5%
- By 2100
- 619,879 · -12.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 32% White 9% Native American 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 60%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 44% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bernalillo
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.2% · R 38.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.3pp no change · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.0 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.80%
- Current HPI
- 261.8123
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.86%
- Metro
- Albuquerque, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+10.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-10-01 Listed $55,000 Southwest MLS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $50,000 Southwest MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…