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4301 Blake Rd SW Trlr 40
B Composite 72.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

4301 Blake Rd SW Trlr 40 · Albuquerque, NM 87121
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 900 sqft · Manufactured · 69 Days on market
Built 1977 Good condition $56/sqft · 78% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home is located in Hacienda del Sol Mobile Home Park. It offers comfortable living space with a functional layout. Perfect for those looking for an affordable and convenient home in a friendly community. Close to local amenities and easy to show. Great opportunity to own in a welcoming park. Schedule your showing today! Investors welcome! Obtainable Loan through 21st Century Mortgage. Must apply to Hacienda Del Sol for lot lease. Call broker with questions.

Key facts

  • Built 1977
  • Listed 68 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $850 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.7% vs local median 3.7% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
  • Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $47,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.03%
Cap rate
26.68%
Cash-on-cash
72.83%
DSCR
4.24
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$230,568
List price
$50,000
Delta
-78.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
69.1%
Equity multiple
3.97×
Total profit
$41,601
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
72.3%
Equity multiple
7.35×
Total profit
$88,864
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87121

Home prices YoY
-19.4%
Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
259
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,513 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$850

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4301 Riley Rd SW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 963 $1,400 $1.45 3d 1 0.11mi
2300 Diamond Mesa Trl SW Albuquerque, NM 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1176 $2,004 $1.70 3d 26 0.79mi
3800 Flora Vista Ave SW Apt 1 Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 650 $995 $1.53 43d 1 0.81mi
1327 Ojo Feliz St SW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 924 $1,695 $1.83 21d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-10-01
    listed $55,000 Active 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home is located in Hacienda del Sol Mobile Home Park. It offers comfortable living space with a functional layout. Perfect for those looking for an affordable and convenient home in a friendly community. Close to local amenities and easy to show. Great opportunity to own in a welcoming park. Schedule your showing today! Investors welcome! Obtainable Loan through 21st Century Mortgage. Must apply to Hacienda Del Sol for lot lease. Call broker with questions.

  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $50,000 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-05-18
    price $50,000 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home is located in Hacienda del Sol Mobile Home Park. It offers comfortable living space with a functional layout. Perfect for those looking for an affordable and convenient home in a friendly community. Close to local amenities and easy to show. Great opportunity to own in a welcoming park. Schedule your showing today! Investors welcome! Obtainable Loan through 21st Century Mortgage. Must apply to Hacienda Del Sol for lot lease. Call broker with questions.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,155
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,452
− Management
−$1,452
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$9,995
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,399
After-tax cash flow
$7,797/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home in Hacienda del Sol Mobile Home Park is in good condition with no visible damage. It offers a functional layout and is perfect for those looking for an affordable and convenient home in a friendly community. Investors are welcome to consider this property for purchase.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Updating the interior paint — Fresh paint can make the interior look more modern and appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the flooring — Upgrading the flooring can add value and make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading the kitchen appliances can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Upgrading the bathroom fixtures can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the roof — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Updating the interior paint — Fresh paint can make the interior look more modern and appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the flooring — Upgrading the flooring can add value and make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading the kitchen appliances can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Upgrading the bathroom fixtures can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrading the roof — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albuquerque Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500060
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 30.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 45.00%
Median HH income
$48,151
Composite
53.29/100
National rank
#1487
State rank
#3 of 29 in NM

Livability — Albuquerque

Score
72/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#6219

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bernalillo County · 647,165 people
City population
647,165
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
Population (ZIP)
75,510
Household income
$60,796
Rent vs Own
23.1% rent · 76.9% own
Severe rent burden
1617.0

Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
704,528 people
By 2030
711,723 · +1.0%
By 2040
714,522 · +1.4%
By 2050
709,274 · +0.7%
By 2075
680,015 · -3.5%
By 2100
619,879 · -12.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 32% White 9% Native American 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 60%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
53% English-only · Spanish 44% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bernalillo

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.2% · R 38.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-0.3pp no change · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 21.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.0 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.80%
Current HPI
261.8123
Rent YoY
▼ -1.86%
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+10.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-10-01 Listed $55,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $50,000 Southwest MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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