10 Beech Rd · Ridgefield, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$379,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all investors, builders, and contractors. 10 Beech Road presents a prime value-add opportunity on a quiet dead-end road in the desirable Lake Kitchawan community. This 3-bedroom home situated on approximately 0.43 acres is ready for renovation and ideal for cash buyers or purchasers using a rehab loan looking to create value. As a member of the Lake Kitchawan Association, owners enjoy beach access, lake privileges, and water access, including a private sandy beach and lakeside dock for non-motorized boating, kayaking, and paddleboarding. Conveniently located near Ridgefield, major commuter routes, and Metro-North, offering both investment upside and lifestyle appeal. Please note the
Key facts
- Lake privileges
- Lakeside dock
- Beach access
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has an association with an annual fee of $250 that includes water; Community playground
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Carport present
- Utilities: Electric service by NYSEG; Propane available; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single family residence
- Construction: Clapboard exterior
- Exterior features: Deck; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Bedrooms: Includes a first-floor bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Hot air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bath; Original details; Full basement; Full attic; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Basement utility access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $379k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $379k).
- Recommended offer: $356k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.5% in Ridgefield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#38 in CT, #2,615 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Katonah-Lewisboro Union Free School District (suburban): math 75% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #32 of 590 in NY (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 3% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Meadow Pond Elementary School (math 77% / reading 87%, grade A+, #138 of 2,108 statewide, top 8%, 342 students, 8% FRL); John Jay Middle School (math 58% / reading 79%, grade A, #94 of 729 statewide, top 13%, 662 students, 7% FRL); John Jay High School (math 98% / reading 82%, grade A+, #238 of 1,100 statewide, top 23%, 917 students, 9% FRL) — zoned schools at 8% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $106k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($356k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $130k; list at $379k implies a 192% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.19%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $600,600
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130 Lake Kitchawan Dr | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 950 (+3%) | 20mo | $251,000 | $264 | 64 |
| 53 Cross Pond Rd | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (+8%) | 22mo | $650,000 | $650 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $18,311
- Equity at exit
- $56,510
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $118,133
- Equity at exit
- $32,769
Cash invested: $106,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10590
- Home prices YoY
- -30.8%
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,416 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,988
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $810/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$927
- Net cashflow
- $1,254
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $94,750
- Closing costs
- $11,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-13status $379,000 Pending 90 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $379,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $379,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $379,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $379,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $379,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $379,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $379,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $379,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $379,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $379,000
-
2026-03-12$415,000 Active
-
2000-05-11soldstatus $130,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $810 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,461 · $372/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,650/yr (+$304/mo · 450.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,989
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,230
- − Property taxes
- −$810
- − Insurance
- −$1,895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,239
- − Management
- −$4,239
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$11,025
- Taxable income
- $9,298
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,231
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,822/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Katonah-Lewisboro Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3616080
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $140,994
- Composite
- 75.09/100
- National rank
- #142
- State rank
- #32 of 590 in NY
Livability — Ridgefield
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #2615
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 25,110
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,314
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.87%
- Current HPI
- 150.088
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+191.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $379,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Listed $415,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.7%/yrLatest (2025): $810 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…