1816 Tin Boot Ave · Elkhart, IN 46514

$135,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,475 sqft · Manufactured · 10 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition Est $181k · 26% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.1/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +7.1/10.0
• 1% rule +5.8/10.0
• Condition / age +5.0/5.0
• Rent growth +4.3/5.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Schools +1.8/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Make this brand new and beautiful 2026 Clayton home yours today!

Key facts

• Built 2026
• Listed 10 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Living area approximately 1,475
• Financial info: List price $135,000

Exterior

• Utilities: Natural gas; Central air; Electric service (standard)
• Home design: Spec new-construction plan: Clayton Parke Place
• Construction: New construction (2026 spec)

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Central air; Ceiling fans

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
• Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.0% in Elkhart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#224 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
• Elkhart Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #271 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.08% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.22%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.88%
• DSCR: 1.31
• GRM: 7.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $181,425
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
25025 Dunny St	0.30mi	3/2.0	1,568 (+6%)	7mo	$192,500	$123	70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.95×
• Total profit: $-1,906
• Equity at exit: $20,129

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.15×
• Total profit: $43,590
• Equity at exit: $11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 46514

• Rents YoY: 7.0%
• Active inventory: 269
• Price-to-rent: 7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,455 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$708
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
• Insurance: −$56
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$306
• Net cashflow: $217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181

Max offer price $135,000

Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $33,750
• Closing costs: $4,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1875 Osolo Rd Elkhart, IN	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	948	$1,000	$1.05	21d	1	0.66mi
2002 Raintree Dr Elkhart, IN	2.0	1.5	1034	$1,479	$1.43	21d	2	1.00mi
2304 Grant St Elkhart, IN	4.0	2.0	1450	$1,800	$1.24	43d	1	1.39mi

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $135,000 Active 10 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   remarks 64-char remark
9. 2026-06-09
   listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,464
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,562
• − Property taxes: −$2,025
• − Insurance: −$675
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,397
• − Management: −$1,397
• − Depreciation: −$3,927
• Taxable income: $481
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$115
• After-tax cash flow: $2,486/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This 2026 Clayton home is move-in ready with excellent condition and modern updates. It's a great investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase value
• Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves aesthetics and is easier to maintain
• Both Install smart home features — Attracts tech-savvy buyers and renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase value ↑
• Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves aesthetics and is easier to maintain ↑
• Both Install smart home features — Attracts tech-savvy buyers and renters ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Elkhart Community Schools
• NCES district ID: 1803270
• Math proficiency: 18% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 25% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $42,881
• Composite: 18.45/100
• National rank: #8928
• State rank: #271 of 301 in IN

Livability — Elkhart

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #224
• US rank: #9852

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Elkhart, IN
• County: Elkhart County · 107,928 people
• City population: 74,260
• Metro: Elkhart-Goshen, IN
• Population (ZIP): 42,389
• Household income: $65,833
• Rent vs Own: 28.0% rent · 72.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1061.0

Population outlook (Elkhart County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 213,761 people
• By 2030: 218,103 · +2.0%
• By 2040: 225,381 · +5.4%
• By 2050: 229,447 · +7.3%
• By 2075: 232,856 · +8.9%
• By 2100: 214,088 · +0.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 10%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Elkhart

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.1% · R 65.5% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.4 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.5 2008: R+11.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -246.78%
• Current HPI: 225.6
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.03%
• Metro: Elkhart-Goshen, IN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B