CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
407 Alexander St
C+ Composite 62.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

407 Alexander St · McKees Rocks, PA 15136
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,394 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1900 2,400 sqft lot $65/sqft · 91% above area Est $65k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3 Bed, 1 Bath House at the End of a quiet street. This delightful 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom house is at the quiet end of a picturesque street in McKees Rocks, PA. This property offers both comfort and . From the beautiful floors of the kitchen to the refurbished, yet classic living room, this is a cozy home with updated/refurbished features and within very close proximity to downtown Pittsburgh and the Northside. Some of the Key Features: 3 bedrooms, 1bathroom, new kitchen and dinning room floors, refurbished carpet in the living room and quality appliances in the kitchen. Within minutes of Downtown Pittsburgh and the Northside.

Key facts

  • 2,400 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 43 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Public transportation access

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Home design: 2-story frame house
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 24 x 100

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Resale condition

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 10.0% in McKees Rocks — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#143 in PA, #1,154 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, employment F.
  • Sto-Rox SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #532 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $90k implies a 157% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,300 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
12.82%
Cash-on-cash
23.31%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$65,463
List price
$90,000
Delta
37.48%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
853 Railroad St 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,422 (+2%) 8mo $57,000 $40 81
735 Boquet St 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,292 (-7%) 3mo $140,000 $108 75
27 Highland Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,488 (+7%) 5mo $66,000 $44 66
1109 Progress St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,477 (+6%) 3mo $77,000 $52 61
841 Railroad St 0.18mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,226 (-12%) 6mo $141,500 $115 60
19 Shaw Ave 0.56mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,485 (+6%) 6mo $95,000 $64 53
234 Greydon Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,488 (+7%) 8mo $75,000 $50 51
507 Agnes St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,252 (-10%) 1mo $45,000 $36 50
109 Helen St 0.32mi 3/3.0 1,582 (+14%) 5mo $100,000 $63 50
202 Jane St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,280 (-8%) 5mo $90,000 $70 47
67 Rosamond St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,545 (+11%) 0mo $128,000 $83 47
214 Sarah St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,240 (-11%) 7mo $70,000 $56 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.1%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$24,334
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
33.4%
Equity multiple
4.83×
Total profit
$96,542
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15136

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Rents YoY
13.1%
Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,456 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,814/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$306
Net cashflow
$490

Break-even live

Break-even rent $836
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $540 -5% $515 +0% $490 +5% $464 +10% $439
Rent -10% $375 -5% $432 +0% $490 +5% $547 +10% $605
Rate -1.0pp $535 -0.5pp $512 base $490 +0.5pp $466 +1.0pp $442

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
720 Mary St Mc Kees Rocks, PA 4.0 2.0 1800 $1,795 $1.00 8d 1 0.20mi
214 Erwin Pl Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,685 $1.64 45d 1 0.28mi
907 Chartiers Ave Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 25d 1 0.35mi
504 Fair Oaks St Mc Kees Rocks, PA 4.0 1.0 1480 $1,195 $0.81 25d 1 0.39mi
27 Highland Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1488 $1,425 $0.96 25d 1 0.41mi
71 McKinnie Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1176 $1,100 $0.94 25d 1 0.50mi
614 Woodward Ave McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 8d 1 0.57mi
135 Dunn St Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,599 $1.00 21d 1 0.68mi
214 Wright St Unit Na McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 954 $1,175 $1.23 15d 1 0.69mi
705 Russellwood Ave Apt 2nd Floor McKees Rocks, PA 4.0 1.0 1100 $2,195 $2.00 3d 1 0.73mi
705 Russellwood Ave Unit 2ndFL McKees Rocks, PA 4.0 1.0 1100 $2,250 $2.05 3d 1 0.73mi
207 Singer Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 2.0 1728 $1,700 $0.98 45d 1 0.79mi
1124a Dohrman St McKees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,250 $1.09 25d 1 0.79mi
1126 Dohrman St Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 45d 1 0.79mi
915 Woodward Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1224 $1,399 $1.14 45d 1 0.90mi
933 Woodward Ave Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 25d 1 0.94mi
933 Woodward Ave Unit NA McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 21d 1 0.94mi
27 Rudolph St Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,100 $1.01 3d 1 0.98mi
802 13th St Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $920 $0.84 45d 1 1.08mi
33 Greenough Ave Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 45d 1 1.26mi
219 Woodlawn Ave Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 925 $1,075 $1.16 45d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $90,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $90,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $99,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    listed $110,000 Active 505-char remark
  16. 2026-04-23
    historical $1,395
  17. 2026-03-11
    listed $1,395
  18. 2026-03-11
    historical $1,395
  19. 2026-03-10
    price $1,395
  20. 2026-02-13
    listed $1,500
  21. 2024-02-27
    soldstatus $35,000
  22. 2024-02-21
    soldstatus $35,000 Closed 643-char remark
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Charming 3 Bed, 1 Bath House at the End of a quiet street. This delightful 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom house is at the quiet end of a picturesque street in McKees Rocks, PA. This property offers both comfort and . From the beautiful floors of the kitchen to the refurbished, yet classic living room, this is a cozy home with updated/refurbished features and within very close proximity to downtown Pittsburgh and the Northside. Some of the Key Features: 3 bedrooms, 1bathroom, new kitchen and dinning room floors, refurbished carpet in the living room and quality appliances in the kitchen. Within minutes of Downtown Pittsburgh and the Northside.

  23. 2024-01-07
    status Pending 643-char remark
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Charming 3 Bed, 1 Bath House at the End of a quiet street. This delightful 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom house is at the quiet end of a picturesque street in McKees Rocks, PA. This property offers both comfort and . From the beautiful floors of the kitchen to the refurbished, yet classic living room, this is a cozy home with updated/refurbished features and within very close proximity to downtown Pittsburgh and the Northside. Some of the Key Features: 3 bedrooms, 1bathroom, new kitchen and dinning room floors, refurbished carpet in the living room and quality appliances in the kitchen. Within minutes of Downtown Pittsburgh and the Northside.

  24. 2023-12-29
    listed $40,000 Active 643-char remark
    Show marketing remark (643 chars)

    Charming 3 Bed, 1 Bath House at the End of a quiet street. This delightful 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom house is at the quiet end of a picturesque street in McKees Rocks, PA. This property offers both comfort and . From the beautiful floors of the kitchen to the refurbished, yet classic living room, this is a cozy home with updated/refurbished features and within very close proximity to downtown Pittsburgh and the Northside. Some of the Key Features: 3 bedrooms, 1bathroom, new kitchen and dinning room floors, refurbished carpet in the living room and quality appliances in the kitchen. Within minutes of Downtown Pittsburgh and the Northside.

  25. 2021-08-19
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Located in McKees Rocks on a dead end street, minutes from Downtown, Sheraden, Stowe Township, Kennedy Township, and close to the McKees Rocks Bridge, Brighton Heights, and Bellevue. Low maintenance yard! Spacious rooms with large windows! A great house for an owner occupant or an addition to a rental portfolio.

  26. 2021-08-13
    price $35,000
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Located in McKees Rocks on a dead end street, minutes from Downtown, Sheraden, Stowe Township, Kennedy Township, and close to the McKees Rocks Bridge, Brighton Heights, and Bellevue. Low maintenance yard! Spacious rooms with large windows! A great house for an owner occupant or an addition to a rental portfolio.

  27. 2021-07-06
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Located in McKees Rocks on a dead end street, minutes from Downtown, Sheraden, Stowe Township, Kennedy Township, and close to the McKees Rocks Bridge, Brighton Heights, and Bellevue. Low maintenance yard! Spacious rooms with large windows! A great house for an owner occupant or an addition to a rental portfolio.

  28. 2021-06-28
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Located in McKees Rocks on a dead end street, minutes from Downtown, Sheraden, Stowe Township, Kennedy Township, and close to the McKees Rocks Bridge, Brighton Heights, and Bellevue. Low maintenance yard! Spacious rooms with large windows! A great house for an owner occupant or an addition to a rental portfolio.

  29. 2021-06-23
    price $39,000
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Located in McKees Rocks on a dead end street, minutes from Downtown, Sheraden, Stowe Township, Kennedy Township, and close to the McKees Rocks Bridge, Brighton Heights, and Bellevue. Low maintenance yard! Spacious rooms with large windows! A great house for an owner occupant or an addition to a rental portfolio.

  30. 2021-06-11
    listed $43,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Located in McKees Rocks on a dead end street, minutes from Downtown, Sheraden, Stowe Township, Kennedy Township, and close to the McKees Rocks Bridge, Brighton Heights, and Bellevue. Low maintenance yard! Spacious rooms with large windows! A great house for an owner occupant or an addition to a rental portfolio.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,814 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,814 · $151/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,471
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,814
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,398
− Management
−$1,398
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$4,752
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,140
After-tax cash flow
$4,734/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sto-Rox SD
NCES district ID
4222830
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$30,268
Composite
8.51/100
National rank
#9904
State rank
#532 of 539 in PA

Livability — McKees Rocks

Score
82/100
State rank
#143
US rank
#1154

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McKees Rocks, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
22,623
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
22,623
Household income
$69,099
Rent vs Own
35.5% rent · 64.5% own
Severe rent burden
768.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Subsaharan African 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.07%
Current HPI
244.6934
Rent YoY
▲ 13.12%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+109.3% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $90,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $99,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $110,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Rental Removed $1,395 WPMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed for Rent $1,395 WPMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Rental Removed $1,395 SHOWMOJO
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $1,395 SHOWMOJO
  • 2026-02-13 Listed for Rent $1,500 SHOWMOJO
  • 2024-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2024-02-21 Sold (MLS) $35,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-01-07 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2023-12-29 Listed $40,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2021-08-19 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2021-08-13 Price Changed $35,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2021-07-06 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2021-06-28 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2021-06-23 Price Changed $39,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2021-06-11 Listed $43,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,814 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…