CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
81 Kingston Pl 🏷️ Likely Rental
A Composite 89.42
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$130,000

81 Kingston Pl · Buffalo, NY 14210
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · MultiFamily · 11 Days on market
Built 1930 Fair condition 3,267 sqft lot Est $185k · 30% under ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Investor special! Late last year a tree fell and landed on the neighbor's house. A couple of branches damaged 81 Kingston Pl. Cash or rehab loan only. Buy cheap, fix and flip or rent out both units. Welcome to 81 Kingston Place, Buffalo NY. This is a tenant occupied, cash flowing 2/2 double in South Buffalo. Each unit features 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, full kitchen, and plenty of natural light. When you first enter the lower unit you are welcomed into the sun room area. Off the sun room is the living room, followed by the dining room, 2 bedrooms, kitchen and the bathroom. The upper unit features 2 bedrooms, living room, eat in kitchen, and full bathroom. Lower is tenant occupied. Upper is vac

Key facts

  • 3,267 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 11 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two separate electric meters and two separate gas meters; Two total units in the property
  • Financial info: Owner pays electricity, trash collection and water; Operating expenses may include electric, insurance, professional management, trash and water/sewer; Two rental units with current rents of $950 and $1,000 (leases through 5/14/2026 and 12/31/2026 respectively)

Exterior

  • Parking: No driveway
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story building; Vinyl siding; Existing condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance list provided
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (each unit has 2 bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (each unit has 1 full bathroom)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air; Wall furnace
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Varied flooring including carpet, hardwood and vinyl
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $130,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$185,328) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $130k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $938 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,325/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 959% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
14.95%
Cash-on-cash
30.93%
DSCR
2.38
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,328
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
79 Eaglewood Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,267 (-2%) 5mo $181,000 $143 66
6 Wildwood Pl 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,392 (+7%) 18mo $161,000 $116 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.0%
Equity multiple
4.93×
Total profit
$142,888
Equity at exit
$117,114
10-year hold
IRR
46.8%
Equity multiple
12.11×
Total profit
$404,292
Equity at exit
$252,561

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14210

Home prices YoY
13.8%
Rents YoY
12.7%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,325 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$488
Net cashflow
$938

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 55%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,325

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
298 Cumberland Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.5 1208 $2,200 $1.82 2d 1 0.30mi
34 Hayden St Unit Back Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 44d 1 0.30mi
23 Indian Orchard Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 44d 1 0.31mi
1927 Seneca St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,250 $1.05 24d 1 0.38mi
1899 Seneca St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1134 $1,075 $0.95 14d 1 0.44mi
76 Hammerschmidt Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,275 $1.06 2d 1 0.52mi
102 Wildwood Pl Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 16d 1 0.63mi
89 Macamley St #2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,100 $0.86 10d 1 0.88mi
74 Woodside Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,510 $1.21 2d 1 1.01mi
700 Hopkins St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,225 $1.11 14d 1 1.21mi
47 Lester St Unit Main Floor Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 44d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on marketlisting id $130,000 Active 1 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 141 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 140 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 139 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 138 DOM
  15. 2026-04-24
    price $140,000
  16. 2026-01-13
    listed $156,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 61% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,900
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,950
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,232
− Management
−$2,232
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$9,772
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,345
After-tax cash flow
$8,915/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires significant repairs and maintenance, including painting the exterior and interior, and landscaping. The home is in fair condition, but with some wear and tear visible. The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and potential leaks. The siding is peeling and in need of repainting. The landscaping is overgrown and requires trimming and maintenance. The home is currently tenant occupied and cash flowing, making it a good investment opportunity for an investor.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and potential leaks.
  • Major siding — The siding is peeling and in need of repainting.
  • Major landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and requires trimming and maintenance.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both painting the exterior and interior — Painting the exterior and interior can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and interior condition, making it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both landscaping — Landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value by making it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and potential leaks. Major $15,000–50,000
siding · The siding is peeling and in need of repainting. Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · The landscaping is overgrown and requires trimming and maintenance. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both painting the exterior and interior — Painting the exterior and interior can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and interior condition, making it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both landscaping — Landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value by making it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
15,563
Household income
$54,197
Rent vs Own
53.9% rent · 46.1% own
Severe rent burden
959.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.34%
Current HPI
431.7951
Rent YoY
▲ 12.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $140,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $156,000 WNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…