🏷️ Likely Rental
81 Kingston Pl · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.61%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Investor special! Late last year a tree fell and landed on the neighbor's house. A couple of branches damaged 81 Kingston Pl. Cash or rehab loan only. Buy cheap, fix and flip or rent out both units. Welcome to 81 Kingston Place, Buffalo NY. This is a tenant occupied, cash flowing 2/2 double in South Buffalo. Each unit features 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, full kitchen, and plenty of natural light. When you first enter the lower unit you are welcomed into the sun room area. Off the sun room is the living room, followed by the dining room, 2 bedrooms, kitchen and the bathroom. The upper unit features 2 bedrooms, living room, eat in kitchen, and full bathroom. Lower is tenant occupied. Upper is vac
Key facts
- 3,267 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 11 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two separate electric meters and two separate gas meters; Two total units in the property
- Financial info: Owner pays electricity, trash collection and water; Operating expenses may include electric, insurance, professional management, trash and water/sewer; Two rental units with current rents of $950 and $1,000 (leases through 5/14/2026 and 12/31/2026 respectively)
Exterior
- Parking: No driveway
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story building; Vinyl siding; Existing condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance list provided
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (each unit has 2 bedrooms)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (each unit has 1 full bathroom)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air; Wall furnace
- Interior features: Partial basement; Varied flooring including carpet, hardwood and vinyl
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $130k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $938 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,325/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 959% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.93%
- DSCR
- 2.38
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,328
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79 Eaglewood Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,267 (-2%) | 5mo | $181,000 | $143 | 66 |
| 6 Wildwood Pl | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,392 (+7%) | 18mo | $161,000 | $116 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.93×
- Total profit
- $142,888
- Equity at exit
- $117,114
- IRR
- 46.8%
- Equity multiple
- 12.11×
- Total profit
- $404,292
- Equity at exit
- $252,561
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14210
- Home prices YoY
- 13.8%
- Rents YoY
- 12.7%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,325 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$488
- Net cashflow
- $938
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2 | $2,324 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $1,162 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $1,162 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,325 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 298 Cumberland Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1208 | $2,200 | $1.82 | 2d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 34 Hayden St Unit Back Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 23 Indian Orchard Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1927 Seneca St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1899 Seneca St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,075 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 76 Hammerschmidt Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,275 | $1.06 | 2d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 102 Wildwood Pl Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 89 Macamley St #2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,100 | $0.86 | 10d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 74 Woodside Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,510 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 700 Hopkins St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,225 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 47 Lester St Unit Main Floor Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $130,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $140,000
-
2026-01-13$156,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 61% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,232
- − Management
- −$2,232
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $9,772
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,345
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,915/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This property requires significant repairs and maintenance, including painting the exterior and interior, and landscaping. The home is in fair condition, but with some wear and tear visible. The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and potential leaks. The siding is peeling and in need of repainting. The landscaping is overgrown and requires trimming and maintenance. The home is currently tenant occupied and cash flowing, making it a good investment opportunity for an investor.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and potential leaks.
- Major siding — The siding is peeling and in need of repainting.
- Major landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and requires trimming and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting the exterior and interior — Painting the exterior and interior can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and interior condition, making it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
- Both landscaping — Landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value by making it more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and potential leaks. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| siding · The siding is peeling and in need of repainting. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · The landscaping is overgrown and requires trimming and maintenance. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both painting the exterior and interior — Painting the exterior and interior can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and interior condition, making it more attractive to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both landscaping — Landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value by making it more attractive to potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,563
- Household income
- $54,197
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 959.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.34%
- Current HPI
- 431.7951
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-10.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $140,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $156,000 WNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…