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B+ Composite 77.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$61,000

1217 North St · Fayetteville, NC 28301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 894 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1950 0.36 ac lot Est $106k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INITIAL OFFER ACCEPTED! THE 10 DAY UPSET PERIOD ENDS 01/02/25. MINIMUM BID OF $64,050, WITH DEPOSIT OF $3,202.50. SEE ATTACHED REPORT OF SALE! Investor Special! Located at 1217 North Street in Fayetteville, NC, this property features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a spacious living room, and an eat-in kitchen, all situated on a large lot. While it does need some work, it offers incredible potential for investors or those looking to renovate. Its prime location near downtown Fayetteville puts you close to shops, entertainment, and more. This a fantastic opportunity you won't want to miss! Please be aware this sale is subject to NCGS Chapter 1 Article 29A and the procedures for private partition

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • 0.36 acre lot

Tags

LARGE LOTEAT-IN KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $61k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $523 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $61k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Luther Nick Jeralds Middle (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #436 of 475 statewide, top 93%, 616 students, 100% FRL); Terry Sanford High (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #306 of 535 statewide, top 57%, 1,224 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 55% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $422 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,340 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
16.58%
Cash-on-cash
36.75%
DSCR
2.64
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$106,386
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
151 Kensington Cir 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 857 (-4%) 5mo $57,500 $67 66
1207 Hillsboro St 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 830 (-7%) 2mo $150,000 $181 63
310 Brookwood Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 970 (+8%) 7mo $50,100 $52 61
822 E Orange St 0.51mi 3/1.0 863 (-4%) 13mo $35,000 $41 60
818 E Orange St 0.53mi 3/1.0 921 (+3%) 19mo $58,000 $63 54
140 Kensington Cir 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-10%) 10mo $131,500 $164 51
1101 Fontana St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,014 (+13%) 1mo $85,000 $84 47
276 N Windsor Dr 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 775 (-13%) 6mo $92,000 $119 45
218 Langdon St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,012 (+13%) 6mo $134,000 $132 40
1704 North St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,008 (+13%) 18mo $150,000 $149 34
1211 West Dr 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 810 (-9%) 20mo $55,000 $68 34
806 E Orange St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,015 (+14%) 22mo $137,000 $135 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.2%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$24,055
Equity at exit
$9,095
10-year hold
IRR
40.4%
Equity multiple
4.89×
Total profit
$66,437
Equity at exit
$5,274

Cash invested: $17,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28301

Home prices YoY
-12.5%
Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,212 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$320
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,070/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$523

Break-even live

Break-even rent $550
Max offer price $61,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,250
Closing costs
$1,830
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
113 Mullins Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,025 $1.02 23d 1 0.25mi
122 Kensington Cir Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 856 $1,250 $1.46 23d 1 0.31mi
302 Brookwood Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 979 $1,250 $1.28 13d 1 0.39mi
1606 Gibson St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1014 $1,000 $0.99 23d 1 0.42mi
282 Windsor Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 855 $1,000 $1.17 23d 1 0.49mi
1608 Fayette Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $875 $0.97 23d 1 0.50mi
1608 Fayette Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $875 $0.97 13d 1 0.50mi
100 Sycamore Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $875 $1.09 23d 1 0.54mi
112 Quincy St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,320 $1.22 13d 1 0.56mi
307 Hawthorne Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 886 $1,125 $1.27 13d 1 0.59mi
1847 Blake St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 13d 1 0.60mi
1847 Blake St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 23d 1 0.60mi
398 Bainbridge Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 13d 1 0.69mi
398 Bainbridge Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 23d 1 0.69mi
2015 Blake St Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 23d 1 0.88mi
110 Facility Dr #2015 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 23d 1 0.89mi
2061 Osceola Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 928 $1,300 $1.40 23d 1 0.95mi
216 Brainerd Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 818 $1,150 $1.41 23d 1 1.29mi
1704 Newark Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 23d 1 1.37mi
806 Lakeland St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 23d 1 1.39mi
450 Hay St Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 799 $1,745 $2.18 13d 3 1.40mi
2737 Kentberry Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0–3.0 2.0 1209 $1,400 $1.16 13d 5 1.45mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2025-02-19
    status Pending
  2. 2024-12-19
    listed $61,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,070 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,070 · $89/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,544
− Mortgage interest
−$3,417
− Property taxes
−$1,070
− Insurance
−$305
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,164
− Management
−$1,164
− Depreciation
−$1,775
Taxable income
$5,651
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,356
After-tax cash flow
$4,920/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
226,118
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
16,798
Household income
$39,198
Rent vs Own
64.7% rent · 35.3% own
Severe rent burden
1389.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% White 19% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.92%
Current HPI
265.98
Rent YoY
▲ 3.49%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-02-19 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2024-12-19 Listed $61,000 LPRMLS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,070 · -9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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