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181 Caravan Cir
B- Composite 69.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

181 Caravan Cir · North Fort Myers, FL 33903
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 826 sqft · Manufactured public records · 92 Days on market
Built 1991 2,134 sqft lot Est $97k · at est. $264/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Just Reduced !!!!! Located in * * Fountain View RV Resort * * , a well-established 55+ deeded community where residents own the land, this furnished 1991 manufactured home offers approximately 826 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. The residence features 1 bedroom and 1.5 bathrooms and is offered turnkey, including interior furnishings, sleeper sofa, and outdoor patio furniture. The home has been carefully maintained and thoughtfully updated. Improvements include a new A/C system (Oct 2025), updated shower and plumbing (2021), updated carpeting, and a new premium mattress. The property shows pride of ownership with routine exterior power washing to include the roof and scheduled pest c

Key facts

  • In-residence laundry
  • New a/c system
  • 55 deeded community

Tags

FOUNTAIN VIEW RV RESORT55 DEEDED COMMUNITYFURNISHED MANUFACTURED HOMENEW A/C SYSTEMUPDATED SHOWER AND PLUMBINGIN-RESIDENCE LAUNDRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Part of a 330-unit community; Located in a senior community; Zoning: RV-3
  • Financial info: Rental/pet policy: pets allowed conditionally (call), maximum 1 pet up to 20 lbs
  • HOA & community: HOA with monthly fee; Monthly association fee includes management, cable TV, grounds maintenance, recreation facilities, reserve fund, road maintenance, sewer, street lights, trash, and water; Community amenities: clubhouse, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, basketball court, pickleball, bocce court, shuffleboard court, sport court, laundry, management

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Manufactured home with aluminum siding; Single-story; Entry level: 1; Faces northeast; Resale property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Manufactured construction; Roof over
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Rectangular lot; Private paved road frontage; Private-maintained road; Southwest exposure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer
  • Bedrooms: No room type details provided
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Furnished; Built-in features; Eat-in kitchen; Family/dining room; Living/dining room; Vaulted ceilings; Cable TV; Window treatments; Shutters; Window coverings; Single-hung windows; Shower only with separate shower
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $95k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
10.40%
Cash-on-cash
14.68%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$96,642
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
195 Ramble Dr 0.03mi 2/1.5 792 (-4%) 0mo $90,000 $114 89
86 Lofty Ln 0.14mi 1/1.5 (-1) 813 (-2%) 16mo $95,000 $117 70
42 La Fonda Ln 0.20mi 2/1.5 768 (-7%) 19mo $99,500 $130 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,207
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$11,826
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33903

Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
472
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,448 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $205/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$264
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$325

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,037
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10011 Merion Ct North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.5 750 $1,100 $1.47 10d 1 0.30mi
3940 Villa Del Mar CIR Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1051 $2,116 $2.01 1d 21 1.38mi
3953 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1044 $1,462 $1.40 14d 9 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$264 · $3,168/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 78 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 77 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 75 DOM
  12. 2026-05-06
    status Active
  13. 2026-04-03
    status Pending
  14. 2026-03-17
    price $95,000
  15. 2026-02-11
    listed $99,800 Active
  16. 2004-04-16
    soldstatus $58,500
  17. 1988-04-15
    soldstatus $16,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$205 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$788 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$583/yr (+$49/mo · 284.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,381
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$205
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,391
− Management
−$1,391
− HOA
−$3,168
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$2,667
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$640
After-tax cash flow
$3,265/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,655
Household income
$56,993
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
468.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.26%
Current HPI
256.773
Rent YoY
▼ -1.94%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+479.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $95,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $99,800 FORTMLS
  • 2004-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
  • 1988-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $16,400 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $205 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…