181 Caravan Cir · North Fort Myers, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Just Reduced !!!!! Located in * * Fountain View RV Resort * * , a well-established 55+ deeded community where residents own the land, this furnished 1991 manufactured home offers approximately 826 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. The residence features 1 bedroom and 1.5 bathrooms and is offered turnkey, including interior furnishings, sleeper sofa, and outdoor patio furniture. The home has been carefully maintained and thoughtfully updated. Improvements include a new A/C system (Oct 2025), updated shower and plumbing (2021), updated carpeting, and a new premium mattress. The property shows pride of ownership with routine exterior power washing to include the roof and scheduled pest c
Key facts
- In-residence laundry
- New a/c system
- 55 deeded community
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Part of a 330-unit community; Located in a senior community; Zoning: RV-3
- Financial info: Rental/pet policy: pets allowed conditionally (call), maximum 1 pet up to 20 lbs
- HOA & community: HOA with monthly fee; Monthly association fee includes management, cable TV, grounds maintenance, recreation facilities, reserve fund, road maintenance, sewer, street lights, trash, and water; Community amenities: clubhouse, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, basketball court, pickleball, bocce court, shuffleboard court, sport court, laundry, management
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Manufactured home with aluminum siding; Single-story; Entry level: 1; Faces northeast; Resale property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Manufactured construction; Roof over
- Exterior features: Community pool; Rectangular lot; Private paved road frontage; Private-maintained road; Southwest exposure
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Bedrooms: No room type details provided
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Furnished; Built-in features; Eat-in kitchen; Family/dining room; Living/dining room; Vaulted ceilings; Cable TV; Window treatments; Shutters; Window coverings; Single-hung windows; Shower only with separate shower
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $95k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.68%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $96,642
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195 Ramble Dr | 0.03mi | 2/1.5 | 792 (-4%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $114 | 89 |
| 86 Lofty Ln | 0.14mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 813 (-2%) | 16mo | $95,000 | $117 | 70 |
| 42 La Fonda Ln | 0.20mi | 2/1.5 | 768 (-7%) | 19mo | $99,500 | $130 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,207
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $11,826
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33903
- Rents YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 472
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,448 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $205/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$264
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $325
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10011 Merion Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 10d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3940 Villa Del Mar CIR Cape Coral, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1051 | $2,116 | $2.01 | 1d | 21 | 1.38mi |
| 3953 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1044 | $1,462 | $1.40 | 14d | 9 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $264 · $3,168/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Active
-
2026-04-03status Pending
-
2026-03-17price $95,000
-
2026-02-11$99,800 Active
-
2004-04-16soldstatus $58,500
-
1988-04-15soldstatus $16,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $205 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $788 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$583/yr (+$49/mo · 284.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,381
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$205
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,391
- − Management
- −$1,391
- − HOA
- −$3,168
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $2,667
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$640
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,265/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Fort Myers
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #269
- US rank
- #4409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Fort Myers, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 57,035
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,655
- Household income
- $56,993
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 468.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -172.26%
- Current HPI
- 256.773
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.94%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+479.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2026-04-03 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $95,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-02-11 Listed $99,800 FORTMLS
- 2004-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
- 1988-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $16,400 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $205 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…