400 Loch Lomond Rd · Rush, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well maintained home situated on approximately 0.37 acres ( & Acirc; & plusmn; 16,117 sq ft). This property offers a spacious layout with 4 bedrooms and a full bathroom that includes convenient laundry. The home features a spacious multi car garage with both front and side entry, providing easy access and added flexibility. The garage is equipped with 240V electric service and a water spigot, making it well-suited for a workshop, hobby space, or additional utility use. A separate shed offers extra storage. A covered side porch provides a practical and private entrance from the driveway, while a welcoming covered front porch offers a great space for sitting and enjoying the outdoors
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Separate shed
- Multi car garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (9.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Philipsburg-Osceola Area SD (town): math 42% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #258 of 539 in PA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Philipsburg El Sch (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #444 of 1,518 statewide, top 32%, 406 students, 59% FRL); Philipsburg-Osceola Area Ms (math 27% / reading 43%, grade F, #322 of 512 statewide, top 64%, 379 students, 57% FRL); Philipsburg-Osceola Area Hs (math 67%, 520 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $9k; list at $175k implies a 1844% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.39%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $104,089
- Equity at exit
- $157,654
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.11×
- Total profit
- $299,518
- Equity at exit
- $339,987
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16866
- Home prices YoY
- 12.0%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,580 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,434/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $138
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $237 | -5% $188 | +0% $138 | +5% $89 | +10% $39 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $14 | -5% $76 | +0% $138 | +5% $201 | +10% $263 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $227 | -0.5pp $183 | base $138 | +0.5pp $93 | +1.0pp $47 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-17status $175,000 Under Contract 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $175,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $175,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$175,000 Active 1273-char remark
-
1963-03-29soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,434 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,100 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- +$665/yr (+$55/mo · 46.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,966
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,434
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,517
- − Management
- −$1,517
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$1,272
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$305
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,966/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Philipsburg-Osceola Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219020
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,645
- Composite
- 39.37/100
- National rank
- #3977
- State rank
- #258 of 539 in PA
Livability — Rush
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Philipsburg, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,924
Population outlook (Centre County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 177,113 people
- By 2030
- 185,138 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 196,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 205,070 · +15.8%
- By 2075
- 217,575 · +22.8%
- By 2100
- 230,649 · +30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Polish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Centre
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.8 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+1.9 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 30.47%
- Current HPI
- 284.148
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+1844.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Pending — FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $175,000 FSBO.com
- 1963-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,434 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…