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400 Loch Lomond Rd
C Composite 56.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$175,000

400 Loch Lomond Rd · Rush, PA 16866
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,288 sqft · Other public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1955

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well maintained home situated on approximately 0.37 acres ( & Acirc; & plusmn; 16,117 sq ft). This property offers a spacious layout with 4 bedrooms and a full bathroom that includes convenient laundry. The home features a spacious multi car garage with both front and side entry, providing easy access and added flexibility. The garage is equipped with 240V electric service and a water spigot, making it well-suited for a workshop, hobby space, or additional utility use. A separate shed offers extra storage. A covered side porch provides a practical and private entrance from the driveway, while a welcoming covered front porch offers a great space for sitting and enjoying the outdoors

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Separate shed
  • Multi car garage

Tags

MULTI CAR GARAGE240V ELECTRIC SERVICEWATER SPIGOTSEPARATE SHEDCOVERED SIDE PORCHCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (9.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Philipsburg-Osceola Area SD (town): math 42% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #258 of 539 in PA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Philipsburg El Sch (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #444 of 1,518 statewide, top 32%, 406 students, 59% FRL); Philipsburg-Osceola Area Ms (math 27% / reading 43%, grade F, #322 of 512 statewide, top 64%, 379 students, 57% FRL); Philipsburg-Osceola Area Hs (math 67%, 520 students, 38% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $9k; list at $175k implies a 1844% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $158,048 (9.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.24%
Cash-on-cash
3.39%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$104,089
Equity at exit
$157,654
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
7.11×
Total profit
$299,518
Equity at exit
$339,987

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16866

Home prices YoY
12.0%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,580 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,434/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,405
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $237 -5% $188 +0% $138 +5% $89 +10% $39
Rent -10% $14 -5% $76 +0% $138 +5% $201 +10% $263
Rate -1.0pp $227 -0.5pp $183 base $138 +0.5pp $93 +1.0pp $47

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $175,000 Under Contract 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $175,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $175,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-12
    listed $175,000 Active 1273-char remark
  15. 1963-03-29
    soldstatus $9,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,434 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,100 · $175/mo
Expected delta
+$665/yr (+$55/mo · 46.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,966
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,434
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,517
− Management
−$1,517
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$1,272
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$305
After-tax cash flow
$1,966/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Philipsburg-Osceola Area SD
NCES district ID
4219020
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$40,645
Composite
39.37/100
National rank
#3977
State rank
#258 of 539 in PA

Livability — Rush

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
North Philipsburg, PA
Population (ZIP)
8,924

Population outlook (Centre County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
177,113 people
By 2030
185,138 · +4.5%
By 2040
196,009 · +10.7%
By 2050
205,070 · +15.8%
By 2075
217,575 · +22.8%
By 2100
230,649 · +30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Polish 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Centre

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-9.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 2.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.8 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+1.9 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 30.47%
Current HPI
284.148
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1844.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Pending FSBO.com
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $175,000 FSBO.com
  • 1963-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,434 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…