4103 4th St · Greenville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Starter or Forever Home or Rental Property. Your choice. This home features 2 bedroom and 2 baths. There are two living areas and one could be easily converted into a bedroom. The garage has been converted into a storage room. There is a closed in patio sunroom. The lot is oversized and is treed.
Key facts
- Oversized lot
- Treed lot
- 9,496 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.218 acres
- Financial info: Sale terms: Cash and Conventional
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking space (1); Driveway
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Property attached (yes)
- Construction: Composition roof; Built in 1955
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Easements for utilities
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; Primary bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Two living areas; No fireplaces; Other interior features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($878/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (3.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.1% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in TX, #2,719 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Greenville ISD (town): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #743 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Lamar El (math 28% / reading 33%, grade F, #2,464 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 554 students, 59% FRL); Greenville Middle (math 17% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,341 of 1,662 statewide, top 82%, 727 students, 76% FRL); Greenville H S (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,632 statewide, top 75%, 1,480 students, 66% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 395 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.09%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $190,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4404 3rd St | 0.17mi | 2/1.5 | 1,306 (+3%) | 6mo | $147,500 | $113 | 76 |
| 802 Division St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,338 (+6%) | 3mo | $232,000 | $173 | 73 |
| 1221 Cleveland St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,287 (+2%) | 12mo | $153,000 | $119 | 71 |
| 700 Cleveland St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,236 (-2%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $182 | 68 |
| 1102 Hemphill St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,234 (-3%) | 1mo | $139,000 | $113 | 67 |
| 4026 Dixon Cir | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,374 (+8%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $98 | 61 |
| 925 Jones St | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,408 (+11%) | 2mo | $219,900 | $156 | 58 |
| 3913 Gordon St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-3%) | 7mo | $219,900 | $178 | 48 |
| 3912 Gordon St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,330 (+5%) | 5mo | $199,900 | $150 | 45 |
| 1421 Morse St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,355 (+7%) | 12mo | $239,000 | $176 | 44 |
| 1118 Jones St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,454 (+15%) | 12mo | $215,000 | $148 | 40 |
| 2303 Walworth St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,406 (+11%) | 7mo | $79,900 | $57 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-23,002
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-27,156
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75401
- Home prices YoY
- -20.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 395
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,455 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$227 /mo · $2,729/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $73
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $158 | -5% $116 | +0% $73 | +5% $31 | +10% $-12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-42 | -5% $16 | +0% $73 | +5% $131 | +10% $188 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $149 | -0.5pp $111 | base $73 | +0.5pp $34 | +1.0pp $-5 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1110 Jones St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,414 | $1.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1107 Hemphill St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,190 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1228 Jones St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1421 Jones St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 12.0 | 1618 | $1,750 | $1.08 | 26d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1421 Jones St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1617 | $1,750 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1214 Interstate Highway 30 Greenville, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,185 | $1.32 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1412 Hemphill St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $500 | $0.42 | 26d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1808 Oneal St Unit B Greenville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3415 Henderson St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3112 Travis St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4102 Gordon St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 26d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4102 Gordon St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 9d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4102 Gordon St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4105 Stuart St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $1,675 | $1.08 | 18d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2010 Morse St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4205 Stuart St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,790 | $1.46 | 9d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1910 Joe Ramsey Blvd E Greenville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 694 | $1,203 | $1.73 | 0d | 6 | 0.79mi |
| 4214 Johnson St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 26d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2704 Jones St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,550 | $1.22 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4320 Wesley St Unit 13 Greenville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $975 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3110 Saint John St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,500 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3110 Saint John St Unit A Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,425 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3110 Saint John St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 46d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3110 Saint John St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 26d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3110 Saint John St Unit A Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,500 | $1.18 | 46d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 50021 Del Ra Dr Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1452 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 26d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3002 Stanford St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2113 Henry St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 19d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2113 Henry St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 26d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2203 Henry St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,250 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1901 Bourland St Unit A Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,399 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2006 Church St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $1,600 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2107 Church St Unit A Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1069 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 26d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2107 Church St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1069 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2005 Bourland St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1038 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3214 King St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,250 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2005 Bourland St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1038 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3305 Mineola St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3305 Mineola St Unit A Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3108 Stanford St Apt A Greenville, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $1,185 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$150,000 Active
-
2026-04-23historical
-
2025-02-26$150,000 Active
-
2025-02-25historical
-
2025-01-14price $150,000
-
2024-11-01price $185,000
-
2024-09-12price $195,000
-
2024-08-23$225,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,729 · $227/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,745 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- +$16/yr (+$1/mo · 0.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,729
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,397
- − Management
- −$1,397
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,575
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$378
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,256/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4821720
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,374
- Composite
- 19.56/100
- National rank
- #8759
- State rank
- #743 of 826 in TX
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #2719
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenville, TX
- County
- Hunt County · 71,969 people
- City population
- 42,767
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,669
- Household income
- $59,908
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 638.0
Population outlook (Hunt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,090 people
- By 2030
- 100,452 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 106,544 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 111,218 · +14.6%
- By 2075
- 121,695 · +25.3%
- By 2100
- 123,683 · +27.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 13% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 24%
Political lean MEDSL · Hunt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.5) · D 21.9% · R 77.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.6pp · 2024: -55.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.5 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.45%
- Current HPI
- 339.0287
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.62%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-33.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $150,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-23 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-02-26 Listed $150,000 NTREIS
- 2025-02-25 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-01-14 Price Changed $150,000 NTREIS
- 2024-11-01 Price Changed $185,000 NTREIS
- 2024-09-12 Price Changed $195,000 NTREIS
- 2024-08-23 Listed $225,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,729 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…