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3723 Pinoak St
D Composite 43.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$23,000

3723 Pinoak St · Brandon, MI 48348
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 160 Days on market
Built 1985 4,356 sqft lot $895/mo HOA · 61% of rent ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your new home! No propery taxes! Seller open to land contract with considerable down payment! Enjoy sunny afternoons basking on your expansive deck, or check out Sashabaw Meadows many amenities! Schedule your showing today before tax season brings everyone out! * HOA fee reflects base lot rent. 12.95 trash fee, 5.5 admin fee, and 3 school tax are additional. *

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1985
  • Listed 160 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed with breed restrictions; contact for details
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $895

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: No security features specified
  • Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built area above grade: 1,000
  • Exterior features: Deck; Paved road access; Irregular-shaped lot (~0.1 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance list provided
  • Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: No flooring information provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Wall-mounted cooling unit
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: No washer/dryer specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $23k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $23k).
  • Recommended offer: $20k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Brandon School District In The Counties Of Oakland And Lapee (town): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #152 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $159 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $690 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 61% of rent.
Recommended offer $20,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.39%
Cap rate
11.90%
Cash-on-cash
20.02%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
1.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$12,000
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3628 Birch St 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+6%) 4mo $13,000 $12 80

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$3,689
Equity at exit
$3,429
10-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$14,350
Equity at exit
$1,989

Cash invested: $6,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48348

Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
1.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,470 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$121
Tax est. 1.5%
$29 /mo · $345/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$895
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$107

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,334
Max offer price $23,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,750
Closing costs
$690
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3628 Birch St Unit 837 Village of Clarkston, MI 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,379 $1.31 1d 1 0.09mi
3618 Juniper St Unit 795 Village of Clarkston, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,399 $1.32 1d 1 0.12mi
3684 Willow Ct Unit 747 Village of Clarkston, MI 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,329 $1.09 1d 1 0.19mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$895 · $10,740/yr
Likely covers
trash

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $23,000 Active 160 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $23,000 Active 159 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $23,000 Active 158 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $23,000 Active 157 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $23,000 Active 155 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $23,000 Active 151 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $23,000 Active 150 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $23,000 Active 149 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $23,000 Active 146 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $23,000 Active 145 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $23,000 Active 144 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $23,000 Active 143 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $23,000 Active 142 DOM
  14. 2026-01-09
    listed $23,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Welcome to your new home! No propery taxes! Seller open to land contract with considerable down payment! Enjoy sunny afternoons basking on your expansive deck, or check out Sashabaw Meadows many amenities! Schedule your showing today before tax season brings everyone out! * HOA fee reflects base lot rent. 12.95 trash fee, 5.5 admin fee, and 3 school tax are additional. *

  15. 2026-01-09
    listed $23,000 Active 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Welcome to your new home! No propery taxes! Seller open to land contract with considerable down payment! Enjoy sunny afternoons basking on your expansive deck, or check out Sashabaw Meadows many amenities! Schedule your showing today before tax season brings everyone out! * HOA fee reflects base lot rent. 12.95 trash fee, 5.5 admin fee, and 3 school tax are additional. *

  16. 2025-11-24
    historical
  17. 2025-11-24
    historical
  18. 2025-05-23
    listed $25,000 Active
  19. 2025-05-23
    listed $25,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,642
− Mortgage interest
−$1,288
− Property taxes
−$345
− Insurance
−$115
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,411
− Management
−$1,411
− HOA
−$10,740
− Depreciation
−$669
Taxable income
$1,661
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$399
After-tax cash flow
$891/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brandon School District In The Counties Of Oakland And Lapee
NCES district ID
2606570
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$73,593
Composite
37.94/100
National rank
#4306
State rank
#152 of 540 in MI

Livability — Brandon

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,574
Household income
$129,410
Rent vs Own
8.1% rent · 91.9% own
Severe rent burden
212.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -275.65%
Current HPI
196.4302
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $23,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $23,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-23 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-23 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…