923 Main St · Stockton, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Hardwood floors
- 8,950 sq ft lot
- Built 1906
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story residential home; Zoned NC.1 / R-1
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Disposal; 8 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $674 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#121 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Stockton (rural): math 10% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #275 of 280 in KS (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Rooks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $50k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.74%
- DSCR
- 3.57
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.7% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.25×
- Total profit
- $59,473
- Equity at exit
- $33,676
- IRR
- 63.1%
- Equity multiple
- 11.07×
- Total profit
- $140,912
- Equity at exit
- $63,108
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67669
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,290 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $674
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $50,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $50,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $50,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $50,000
-
2026-03-24price $55,000
-
2025-12-17$60,000 Active
-
2006-09-01soldstatus $20,000
-
2002-01-01soldstatus $15,000
-
1994-09-01soldstatus $17,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,482
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,239
- − Management
- −$1,239
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $7,749
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,860
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,224/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stockton
- NCES district ID
- 2012060
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,672
- Composite
- 18.17/100
- National rank
- #14072
- State rank
- #275 of 280 in KS
Livability — Stockton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #6357
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stockton, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,815
Population outlook (Rooks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,196 people
- By 2030
- 5,218 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 5,216 · +0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,171 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 5,171 · -0.5%
- By 2100
- 4,713 · -9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rooks
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.2) · D 13.8% · R 85.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.4pp toward R · 2008: -61.8pp · 2024: -71.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.2 2020: R+73.7 2016: R+72.6 2012: R+67.1 2008: R+61.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.70%
- Current HPI
- 181.7133
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+185.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $50,000 Hays MLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $55,000 Hays MLS
- 2025-12-17 Listed $60,000 Hays MLS
- 2006-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2002-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 1994-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…