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97 Madison Ave
C Composite 59.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$399,000

97 Madison Ave · Vincentown, NJ 08060
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1860 Est $525k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Built in 1860 and officially recognized for its restoration by Mount Holly Historical, this distinctive home offers a rare chance to own a true piece of history—set on an exceptional 103x305 (. 72 acre) lot that is nearly impossible to replicate in today’s market. Inside, you’ll find 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, anchored by an over-sized eat-in kitchen—a standout space featuring a wood-burning stove that creates warmth, character, and a natural gathering place. There is a 5th bedroom which is accessible from the back staircase that leads to and from the kitchen. This room was used as a "Maid" quarters when the home was initially built. Original windows and

Key facts

  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1860
  • Listed 59 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Four total garage and parking spaces; Driveway with four spaces; Asphalt driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Utilities include above-ground services and other utilities
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Average condition; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Foundation of block and brick/mortar; Above-grade structures; Below-grade structures; Year built per assessor
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 103' frontage; Not tidal waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the upper level; One bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Wood-burning stove; Radiator heat; Natural gas heating fuel; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Additional stairway; Carpeted areas; Eat-in kitchen; Wood-burning stove; Attic; Unfinished basement with interior access and a combination layout
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $514 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $399k).
  • Recommended offer: $387k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.5% in Vincentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Rancocas Valley Regional High School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #236 of 472 in NJ (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Rancocas Valley Regional High School (math 29% / reading 49%, grade F, #197 of 399 statewide, top 51%, 1,981 students, 25% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,481/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($109k/yr) (locally 562% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 47% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $387,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
7.84%
Cash-on-cash
5.52%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$525,280
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
220 Washington St 0.23mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,600 (-3%) 18mo $510,000 $196 62
118 Mill St 0.70mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,741 (+2%) 3mo $390,000 $142 54
29 Grant St 0.60mi 5/2.0 2,968 (+11%) 3mo $460,000 $155 52
248 Randall Ave 0.50mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,576 (-4%) 17mo $520,000 $202 49
37 Union St 0.72mi 6/2.5 (+1) 2,774 (+4%) 12mo $570,000 $205 44
14 Church St 0.44mi 6/1.5 (+1) 2,897 (+8%) 22mo $564,525 $195 41
38 Broad St 0.74mi 6/2.5 (+1) 2,826 (+5%) 17mo $565,000 $200 35
245 Harrison Ave 0.57mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,400 (-10%) 21mo $470,000 $196 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.6%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-38,718
Equity at exit
$59,492
10-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-18,520
Equity at exit
$34,498

Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08060

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,481 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,092
Tax from tax record
$768 /mo · $9,215/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$941
Net cashflow
$514

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,831
Max offer price $399,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,750
Closing costs
$11,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
151 Rambling Rd Lumberton, NJ 4.0 2.5 3000 $5,495 $1.83 17d 1 0.80mi
610 Ogden Dr Westampton, NJ 4.0 2.0 2370 $4,200 $1.77 22d 1 1.02mi
501 Bloomfield Dr Westampton, NJ 4.0 2.0 1975 $4,950 $2.51 1d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $399,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $399,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $399,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $399,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $399,000 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $399,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $399,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $399,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $399,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $399,000 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $399,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,000 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-04-20
    listed $399,000 Active
  16. 2026-04-02
    historical $399,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$9,215 · $768/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,575 · $798/mo
Expected delta
+$360/yr (+$30/mo · 3.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 47% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$53,777
− Mortgage interest
−$22,350
− Property taxes
−$9,215
− Insurance
−$1,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,302
− Management
−$4,302
− Depreciation
−$11,607
Taxable income
$5
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1
After-tax cash flow
$6,163/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rancocas Valley Regional High School District
NCES district ID
3413620
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$58,992
Composite
34.45/100
National rank
#5195
State rank
#236 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Vincentown

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Burlington County · 323,710 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
25,835
Household income
$109,292
Rent vs Own
26.0% rent · 74.0% own
Severe rent burden
562.0

Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
453,425 people
By 2030
452,359 · -0.2%
By 2040
445,033 · -1.9%
By 2050
431,760 · -4.8%
By 2075
406,277 · -10.4%
By 2100
364,732 · -19.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 25% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burlington

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.50%
Current HPI
296.564
Rent YoY
▲ 1.42%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $399,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Coming Soon $399,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,215 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…