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4409 Guerlain Way
B+ Composite 77.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$82,000

4409 Guerlain Way · Brent, FL 32505
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,129 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 105 Days on market
Built 1958 Fair condition 8,276 sqft lot Garage $73/sqft · 49% below area Est $161k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

THIS AFFORDABLE 3-BEDROOM, 1-BATH HOME IS FULL OF POTENTIAL AND READY FOR YOUR PERSONAL TOUCH. WITH SOLID BONES AND PLENTY OF OPPORTUNITY, IT'S THE PERFECT CANVAS FOR BUYERS LOOKING TO CREATE THEIR DREAM SPACE. THE HOME FEATURES A SPACIOUS 10X20 SCREENED-IN PATIO - IDEAL FOR RELAXING OR ENTERTAINING YEAR-ROUND. STEP OUTSIDE TO ENJOY A FULLY FENCED BACKYARD, OFFERING PRIVACY AND ROOM FOR PETS, GARDENING, OR OUTDOOR GATHERINGS, ALONG WITH A CHAIN-LINK FENCED FRONT YARD FOR ADDED FUNCTIONALITY. WHILE THE HOME DOES NEED WORK INCLUDING SHEETROCK REPLACEMENT, IT PRESENTS A FANTASTIC CHANCE TO BUILD EQUITY AND CUSTOMIZE TO YOUR LIKING.

Key facts

  • Screened-in patio
  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

SCREENED-IN PATIOFULLY FENCED BACKYARDCHAIN-LINK FENCED FRONT YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $82k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $82k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 6.5% in Brent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#484 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Montclair Elementary School (math 42% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,684 of 2,144 statewide, top 79%, 379 students, 91% FRL); Bellview Middle School (math 17% / reading 23%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 992 students, 76% FRL); Pensacola High School (math 29% / reading 50%, grade F, #304 of 667 statewide, top 47%, 1,229 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 58% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,620 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
15.50%
Cash-on-cash
32.86%
DSCR
2.46
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,762
List price
$82,000
Delta
-48.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4402 Deauville Way 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,212 (+7%) 2mo $103,000 $85 76
4413 Ellysee Way 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,012 (-10%) 4mo $90,000 $89 75
1124 Medford Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,117 (-1%) 0mo $179,999 $161 73
4509 Cherbourg Way 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,040 (-8%) 4mo $159,000 $153 68
1016 Fremont Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,150 (+2%) 4mo $175,000 $152 66
833 W Michigan Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+2%) 0mo $135,000 $117 60
1101 Desmonde Dr 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,026 (-9%) 1mo $85,000 $83 56
5505 Fairview Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,066 (-6%) 3mo $160,000 $150 52
4531 Versailles Dr 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,023 (-9%) 2mo $151,000 $148 52
911 Medford Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,279 (+13%) 4mo $206,000 $161 43
1111 Revere Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,275 (+13%) 1mo $99,000 $78 42
702 Loire Way 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,297 (+15%) 4mo $100,000 $77 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.2%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$29,817
Equity at exit
$12,226
10-year hold
IRR
38.6%
Equity multiple
4.94×
Total profit
$90,567
Equity at exit
$7,090

Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
33 active · 25 under contract
Months of supply
5.2 mo (19%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$129,000 ($110/sqft)
Median days on market
121 d
This list price
39% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+29.6% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 32505

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,535 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$430
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,434/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$629

Break-even live

Break-even rent $739
Max offer price $82,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $675 -5% $652 +0% $629 +5% $606 +10% $582
Rent -10% $508 -5% $568 +0% $629 +5% $689 +10% $750
Rate -1.0pp $670 -0.5pp $650 base $629 +0.5pp $608 +1.0pp $586

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,500
Closing costs
$2,460
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4509 Ellysee Way Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1212 $1,325 $1.09 15d 1 0.23mi
918 Montclair Rd Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1012 $1,500 $1.48 63d 1 0.43mi
4547 Marseille Dr Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,650 $1.33 15d 1 0.44mi
902 Lucerne Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,600 $1.25 72d 1 0.64mi
2301 W Michigan Ave #21 Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.5 1164 $1,325 $1.14 72d 1 0.73mi
2301 W Michigan Ave #17 Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.5 1164 $1,700 $1.46 15d 1 0.75mi
2303 W Michigan Ave Unit A6 Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 1014 $1,300 $1.28 72d 1 0.77mi
5409 E Shore Dr Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 15d 1 0.78mi
5180 Burlington Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,650 $1.39 72d 1 0.81mi
5602 W Shore Dr Unit B Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 920 $1,250 $1.36 72d 1 0.85mi
707 New York Dr Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 1266 $1,149 $0.91 15d 1 0.95mi
925 Twinbrook Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1105 $1,750 $1.58 72d 1 0.99mi
3417 W Fisher St Unit C Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1106 $1,350 $1.22 72d 1 1.00mi
835 S Madison Dr Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,600 $1.58 15d 1 1.00mi
2300 W Michigan Ave #12 Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,300 $1.24 72d 1 1.03mi
2300 W Michigan Ave Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 1031 $1,238 $1.20 15d 3 1.05mi
2 Nevada Cir Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 968 $1,225 $1.27 15d 1 1.06mi
2355 W Michigan Ave Pensacola, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1150 $1,735 $1.51 15d 12 1.08mi
221 Edison Dr Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,598 $1.07 72d 1 1.08mi
206 Edison Dr Pensacola, FL 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 15d 1 1.15mi
3418 W Yonge St Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.5 1140 $1,325 $1.16 15d 1 1.16mi
3216 Two Sisters Way Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1117 $1,700 $1.52 72d 1 1.16mi
89 Garfield Dr Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 1273 $1,195 $0.94 15d 1 1.27mi
5877 Tryton Cir Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.0 1419 $1,825 $1.29 72d 1 1.43mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Located on a county-maintained roadLot features include central access
HOA & community
No homeowners association

Exterior

Parking
Total of 2 parking spaces1-car attached garageCarport (1 space)Covered parking and front entrance access
Security
Smoke detector(s)
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerElectric with circuit breakers and copper wiringCable available
Home design
Single-story homeResale propertyNot attached to other propertiesComposition roof
Construction
Frame constructionSlab foundationBuilt as a one-level residence
Exterior features
Covered patio/porchBack yard chain-link fenceYard building (outbuilding)

Interior

Kitchen
Laminate countersPantry
Bedrooms
Master bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12' x 13')Second bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12' x 12')Third bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12' x 11')
Flooring
VinylCarpet
Bathrooms
1 full bathroom1 half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Central air conditioningCentral heatingHeating assist from fireplace
Interior features
Double-pane windowsSmoke detector(s)Fireplace
Laundry & utility
Inside laundry with washer/dryer hookupsElectric water heater

Listing history 48 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $82,000 Active 105 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $82,000 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $82,000 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $82,000 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $82,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $82,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $82,000 Active 97 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $82,000 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $82,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $82,000 Active 93 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $82,000 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $82,000 Active 89 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $82,000 Active 88 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $82,000 Active 87 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $82,000 Active 84 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on market $82,000 Active 82 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $82,000 Active 81 DOM
  18. 2026-07-14
    days on market $82,000 Active 80 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $82,000 Active 79 DOM
  20. 2026-07-12
    days on market $82,000 Active 78 DOM
  21. 2026-07-11
    days on market $82,000 Active 77 DOM
  22. 2026-07-10
    days on market $82,000 Active 76 DOM
  23. 2026-07-09
    days on market $82,000 Active 75 DOM
  24. 2026-07-08
    days on market $82,000 Active 74 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $82,000 Active 73 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $82,000 Active 72 DOM
  27. 2026-07-05
    days on market $82,000 Active 71 DOM
  28. 2026-07-04
    days on market $82,000 Active 70 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $82,000 Active 69 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $82,000 Active 68 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $82,000 Active 67 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $82,000 Active 66 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $82,000 Active 65 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $82,000 Active 64 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $82,000 Active 63 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $82,000 Active 62 DOM
  37. 2026-06-25
    days on market $82,000 Active 60 DOM
  38. 2026-06-23
    days on market $82,000 Active 58 DOM
  39. 2026-06-21
    days on market $82,000 Active 57 DOM
  40. 2026-06-18
    days on market $82,000 Active 54 DOM
  41. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on market $82,000 Active 53 DOM
  42. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $82,000 Pending 52 DOM
  43. 2026-06-03
    days on market $82,000 Active 50 DOM
  44. 2026-06-02
    days on market $82,000 Active 49 DOM
  45. 2026-06-01
    days on market $82,000 Active 48 DOM
  46. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,000 Active 47 DOM
  47. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,000 Active 46 DOM
  48. 2026-04-14
    listed $82,000 Active 739-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,434 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,434 · $120/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,418
− Mortgage interest
−$4,593
− Property taxes
−$1,434
− Insurance
−$410
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,473
− Management
−$1,473
− Depreciation
−$2,385
Taxable income
$6,648
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,596
After-tax cash flow
$5,950/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $28,225–$50,805 screening

This home requires extensive repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and increase its value. The roof, exterior, interior walls, HVAC system, and landscaping all need significant attention to make the home move-in ready.

Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof) — Significant damage to the roof structure is visible.
  • Major Windows (windows) — Windows appear to be broken or missing, indicating severe damage.
  • Major Electrical (electrical) — The interior is in disarray, suggesting significant electrical issues.
  • Major Plumbing (plumbing) — The interior is in disarray, indicating potential plumbing issues.
  • Major Exterior (exterior) — The exterior is in disarray, with visible damage and debris.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof repair — The roof appears to be in poor condition and may require major repairs.
  • Major exterior painting — The exterior paint is peeling and needs to be repainted.
  • Major HVAC system replacement — The HVAC system appears to be in poor condition and may require replacement.
  • Major interior wall repairs — The interior walls and paint show signs of wear and tear and need to be repaired.
  • Major landscaping and curb appeal — The landscaping and curb appeal are poor and need to be improved to increase the home's value.
  • Major foundation and structure repairs — The foundation and structure appear to be in poor condition and may require repairs to ensure the home's stability and safety.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale roof repair — A new roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale exterior painting — Repainting the exterior will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
  • Resale HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its resale value.
  • Resale interior wall repairs — Repairing the interior walls and paint will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale landscaping and curb appeal — Improving the landscaping and curb appeal will increase the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
  • Resale foundation and structure repairs — Repairing the foundation and structure will ensure the home's stability and safety, increasing its resale value.
  • Rental HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its rental value.
  • Rental interior wall repairs — Repairing the interior walls and paint will improve the home's appearance and increase its rental value.
  • Rental landscaping and curb appeal — Improving the landscaping and curb appeal will increase the home's curb appeal and increase its rental value.
  • Rental foundation and structure repairs — Repairing the foundation and structure will ensure the home's stability and safety, increasing its rental value.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 32/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Montclair Elementary School F FL #1,684/2,144 Nat'l #22,764/41,679 Middle Bellview Middle School F FL #558/571 Nat'l #11,652/14,009 High Pensacola High School F FL #304/667 Nat'l #8,293/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL
C Composite livability gradescore 69/100

Livability — Brent

Score
69/100
State rank
#484
US rank
#8921

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brent, FL
County
Escambia County · 334,637 people
City population
27,543
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,877
Household income
$44,783
Rent vs Own
47.7% rent · 52.3% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Pending PARMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $82,000 PARMLS

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,434 · +18.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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