440 2nd St · California, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Three one bed room apts. Off street parking Have always been rented currently two are rented. Walk to Cal U. two blocks.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- 2,848 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Assessed value and tax information available but excluded from this summary
- Financial info: Gross annual income reported: $19,080; Individual unit actual rent reported: $530 per unit
- HOA & community: Public transportation access
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking (3 total spaces)
- Security: No security features provided
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public sewer available; Public water available
- Home design: Multi-unit property with 3 units
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Off-street parking for 3 vehicles; Zoned C2 (commercial/residential)
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Three separate 1-bedroom units (each unit has 1 bedroom)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (three full bathrooms total)
- Heating & cooling: No heating or cooling details provided
- Interior features: Basement present
- Laundry & utility: No laundry or utility appliance details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,648 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
- California Area SD (rural): math 31% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #295 of 539 in PA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $155 of equity ($795 loan paydown + $-640 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $87k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.00%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $143,847
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 324 Wood St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,557 (+7%) | 4mo | $52,000 | $33 | 76 |
| 227 1st St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (-2%) | 14mo | $104,000 | $73 | 75 |
| 627 Ash St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (-3%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $99 | 68 |
| 801 Spear St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (-8%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $100 | 64 |
| 719 Park St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,372 (-6%) | 15mo | $138,000 | $101 | 59 |
| 467 Newell Rd | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-8%) | 20mo | $62,000 | $46 | 51 |
| 416 Ash St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (-14%) | 14mo | $158,000 | $126 | 48 |
| 947 Park St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,386 (-5%) | 21mo | $175,000 | $126 | 48 |
| 761 Dawson St | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,328 (-9%) | 12mo | $100,000 | $75 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $3,974
- Equity at exit
- $30,229
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $28,688
- Equity at exit
- $33,900
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15419
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,274 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$194 /mo · $2,330/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $161
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $226 | -5% $194 | +0% $161 | +5% $129 | +10% $96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $60 | -5% $111 | +0% $161 | +5% $211 | +10% $262 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $219 | -0.5pp $190 | base $161 | +0.5pp $131 | +1.0pp $101 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 456 Second St Unit 1 California, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 300 Strawberry Way California, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $775 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 214 3rd St California, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,650 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 115 1st St Unit 1 California, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $950 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 72 Second St Unit 6 California, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 319 5th St California, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $1,395 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 54 Temperance Way Unit 7 California, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,095 | $0.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.29mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 431-char remark
-
2026-06-18$115,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,330 · $194/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,330 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,285
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$2,330
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,223
- − Management
- −$1,223
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $147
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$35
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,898/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- California Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204710
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,621
- Composite
- 37.22/100
- National rank
- #4466
- State rank
- #295 of 539 in PA
Livability — California
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1648
- US rank
- #22817
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- California, PA
- City population
- 5,469
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,527
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.56%
- Current HPI
- 160.7366
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+125.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $115,000 West Penn MLS
- 2020-09-17 Listed $89,900 West Penn MLS
- 2020-09-16 Coming Soon $89,900 West Penn MLS
- 2009-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 2009-07-31 Sold (MLS) $87,000 West Penn MLS
- 2009-07-31 Price Changed $92,500 West Penn MLS
- 2009-04-09 Listed $87,000 West Penn MLS
- 2006-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2006-12-15 Sold (MLS) $72,000 West Penn MLS
- 2006-10-02 Listed $79,900 West Penn MLS
- 2006-09-20 Sold (MLS) $74,500 West Penn MLS
- 2006-05-04 Listed $79,000 West Penn MLS
- 2002-11-14 Sold (MLS) $51,000 West Penn MLS
- 2002-06-28 Listed $51,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2026): $2,330 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…