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4985 Woodmark Dr
D Composite 40.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,000

4985 Woodmark Dr · North Syracuse, NY 13088
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,638 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1979 0.47 ac lot $164/sqft · at area comps Est $275k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this split-level home offering space, functionality and great outdoor living! This home is located in the town of Clay and North Syracuse School District; featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Step inside to find a smaller front living room, perfect for a cozy sitting area, along with an oversized living space featuring a stone wood burning fireplace - ideal for relaxing. This additional living area also included a convenient half bathroom, making it perfect for guests, along with sliding glass doors that lead directly to the back deck for easy outdoor access. The renovated kitchen showcases beautiful cabinetry and stainless steel appliances with a formal dining area. The upper

Key facts

  • Finished space
  • Sliding glass doors
  • Renovated kitchen

Tags

STONE WOOD BURNING FIREPLACESLIDING GLASS DOORSRENOVATED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESPRIVATE OPEN DECKFINISHED SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story home; Existing/resale property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Open porch; Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms include living spaces, office, recreation, family room, bonus room and other room types
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Home office; Bonus/other rooms; See remarks
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $269k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-995/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (5.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (7.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $250k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#379 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • North Syracuse Central School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #402 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $250,000 (7.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
5.92%
Cash-on-cash
-1.32%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$275,248
List price
$269,000
Delta
-2.27%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4953 Stillwood Ln 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,520 (-7%) 1mo $300,000 $197 81
7617 Fitzpatrick Dr 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,708 (+4%) 7mo $265,000 $155 77
4970 Woodmark Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,468 (-10%) 7mo $225,000 $153 69
4987 Dahlia Cir 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,520 (-7%) 5mo $250,000 $164 69
4910 Dahlia Cir 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,470 (-10%) 6mo $298,000 $203 68
4913 Look Kinney Cir 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,540 (-6%) 6mo $388,000 $252 67
4741 New Hope S 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-5%) 1mo $320,000 $205 66
4957 Look Kinney Cir 0.40mi 3/3.0 1,736 (+6%) 0mo $367,000 $211 65
7728 Tirrell Hill Cir 0.24mi 3/2.5 1,860 (+14%) 2mo $380,000 $204 61
4943 Look Kinney Cir 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,840 (+12%) 6mo $301,200 $164 59
4763 Stonehurst Rd 0.53mi 3/2.5 1,528 (-7%) 7mo $281,000 $184 54
4783 Haverton Ln 0.44mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,850 (+13%) 5mo $289,000 $156 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.4%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-48,713
Equity at exit
$40,109
10-year hold
IRR
-10.6%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-48,572
Equity at exit
$23,258

Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13088

Active inventory
68
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,411
Tax from tax record
$535 /mo · $6,422/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$-83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,605
Max offer price $254,346
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $69 -5% $-7 +0% $-83 +5% $-159 +10% $-235
Rent -10% $-280 -5% $-182 +0% $-83 +5% $16 +10% $115
Rate -1.0pp $53 -0.5pp $-15 base $-83 +0.5pp $-153 +1.0pp $-224

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,250
Closing costs
$8,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7648 Autumnal Ln Liverpool, NY 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,500 $2.27 14d 1 0.35mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 1470-char remark
  2. 2026-05-04
    listed $269,000 Active 1470-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,422 · $535/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,422 · $535/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,000
− Mortgage interest
−$15,068
− Property taxes
−$6,422
− Insurance
−$1,345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,400
− Management
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$7,825
Taxable loss
−$5,461
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,311
After-tax cash flow
$315/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Syracuse Central School District
NCES district ID
3621210
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$62,904
Composite
41.93/100
National rank
#3356
State rank
#402 of 590 in NY

Livability — North Syracuse

Score
72/100
State rank
#379
US rank
#6513

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
20,185
Population (ZIP)
21,875

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -185.59%
Current HPI
334.0109
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $269,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,422 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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