126 Holly St · Akron, NY 14001

$39,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 910 sqft · Manufactured · 31 Days on market

Built 1977 Poor condition $44/sqft · 45% below area Est $72k · 45% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +6.5/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +1.0/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to own a property in Akron’s premier 55+ manufactured home community, Quarry Hill! 126 Holly Street is an exceptional singlewide with 3 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, living room with fireplace, kitchen with lots of storage and dining area, and laundry room. All appliances are included. Roomy attached garage. Large covered patio area. Home was completely remodeled in 2020 including all new paint inside and out, new skirting, new water lines, new hot water tank, new entry door and some windows. Rubber membrane installed over new metal roof in 2021. Forced air heating and cooling, both replaced in 2025. Quarry Hill includes a community clubhouse w/ kitchen, planned commun

Key facts

• Completely remodeled
• New hot water tank
• Garage

Tags

• LIVING ROOM WITH FIREPLACE
• KITCHEN WITH LOTS OF STORAGE
• LARGE COVERED PATIO AREA
• COMPLETELY REMODELED
• NEW HOT WATER TANK
• POND WITH WALKING TRAIL

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Monthly land lease: $694

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage; Garage with garage door opener; 1 garage space
• Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric
• Home design: Single-wide mobile home; Schult/Homestead model; One story; Existing/resale condition; City street frontage
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Membrane, metal, and rubber roofing
• Exterior features: Awning(s); Concrete driveway; Patio

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
• Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Varies
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; Main level primary; One fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main level laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $529 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
• Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 22.2% vs local median 2.4% in Akron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#297 in NY, #4,809 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, schools A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Clarence Central School District (suburban): math 70% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #94 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $38,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
3. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.55% ✓
• Cap rate: 22.22%
• Cash-on-cash: 56.87%
• DSCR: 3.53
• GRM: 3.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $72,000
• List price: $39,900
• Delta: -44.58%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 3 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
136 Quarry Hill Ests	0.04mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,000 (+10%)	1mo	$72,000	$72	72
181 Quarry Hl	0.09mi	2/1.0 (-1)	980 (+8%)	11mo	$38,900	$40	69
110 Quarry Hl	0.04mi	2/1.5 (-1)	980 (+8%)	14mo	$12,500	$13	67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 55.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.44×
• Total profit: $27,270
• Equity at exit: $5,949

10-year hold

• IRR: 60.4%
• Equity multiple: 7.02×
• Total profit: $67,230
• Equity at exit: $3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14001

• Home prices YoY: -7.1%
• Active inventory: 85
• Price-to-rent: 3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,019 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$209
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$50 /mo · $598/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$214
• Net cashflow: $529

Break-even live

Break-even rent $349

Max offer price $39,900

Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $9,975
• Closing costs: $1,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-04-25
   listed $39,900 Active 916-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,231
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,235
• − Property taxes: −$598
• − Insurance: −$200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$978
• − Management: −$978
• − Depreciation: −$1,161
• Taxable income: $6,080
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,459
• After-tax cash flow: $4,894/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This manufactured home requires extensive repairs and updates across all systems and areas, significantly impacting its value. Immediate action is needed to address the poor condition and improve its resale and rental potential.

Repairs flagged

• Major Kitchen appliances — No photos of kitchen
• Major Bathroom fixtures — No photos of bathrooms
• Major Roof — No photos of roof
• Major Exterior siding — No photos of exterior
• Major Flooring — No photos of flooring
• Major Interior walls/paint — No photos of interior walls/paint
• Major Windows — No photos of windows
• Major Foundation/structure — No photos of foundation/structure
• Major HVAC/mechanicals — No photos of HVAC/mechanicals
• Major Landscaping — No photos of landscaping/curb appeal

Value-add opportunities

• Resale New kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve functionality and aesthetics
• Resale New bathrooms with updated fixtures — Modern bathrooms enhance comfort and appeal
• Resale New roof and siding — Aesthetic and structural improvements
• Resale New flooring and interior paint — Fresh look and improved comfort
• Resale New windows — Improved energy efficiency and aesthetics
• Both New HVAC system — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency
• Resale Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
Kitchen appliances · No photos of kitchen	Major	$15,000–50,000
Bathroom fixtures · No photos of bathrooms	Major	$15,000–50,000
Roof · No photos of roof	Major	$15,000–50,000
Exterior siding · No photos of exterior	Major	$15,000–50,000
Flooring · No photos of flooring	Major	$15,000–50,000
Interior walls/paint · No photos of interior walls/paint	Major	$15,000–50,000
Windows · No photos of windows	Major	$15,000–50,000
Foundation/structure · No photos of foundation/structure	Major	$15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · No photos of HVAC/mechanicals	Major	$15,000–50,000
Landscaping · No photos of landscaping/curb appeal	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 10 items		$150,000–500,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale New kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
• Resale New bathrooms with updated fixtures — Modern bathrooms enhance comfort and appeal ↑
• Resale New roof and siding — Aesthetic and structural improvements ↑
• Resale New flooring and interior paint — Fresh look and improved comfort ↑
• Resale New windows — Improved energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
• Both New HVAC system — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency ↑
• Resale Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Clarence Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3607590
• Math proficiency: 70% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 76% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $81,568
• Composite: 64.85/100
• National rank: #514
• State rank: #94 of 590 in NY

Livability — Akron

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #297
• US rank: #4809

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 9,122

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 933,037 people
• By 2030: 935,181 · +0.2%
• By 2040: 928,531 · -0.5%
• By 2050: 905,725 · -2.9%
• By 2075: 834,037 · -10.6%
• By 2100: 708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 21% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -24.68%
• Current HPI: 322.1897
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Pending — WNYREIS
• 2026-04-25 Listed $39,900 WNYREIS