14738 Dante Ave · Dolton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Split level with great possibilities, 3 bedrooms on second level and open floor plan on main level . "This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 11/07/2013
Key facts
- Second bathroom
- Huge family room
- Large living room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession negotiable
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan / public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Split-level design; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick and cedar exterior; Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 123; Less than 0.25 acre lot; School bus service, commuter train access, and nearby interstate access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (12 x 16)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (master and two additional bedrooms on second level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full basement; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level (14 x 10)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,343/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $155k implies a 716% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.7% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.02%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $125,788
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14738 Blackstone Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (-5%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $147 | 89 |
| 14642 Dorchester Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,013 (-5%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $168 | 85 |
| 14731 Kimbark Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (-5%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $113 | 83 |
| 14610 Blackstone Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (-5%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $147 | 82 |
| 14842 Shepard Dr | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,141 (+7%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $118 | 77 |
| 1138 E 151st St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,056 (-1%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $199 | 71 |
| 14341 University Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,035 (-3%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $97 | 66 |
| 15043 Meadow Ln | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,151 (+8%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $113 | 66 |
| 317 Madison Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+8%) | 3mo | $67,200 | $58 | 65 |
| 14222 S Woodlawn Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,089 (+2%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $83 | 60 |
| 370 Clyde Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 973 (-9%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $108 | 55 |
| 14315 Dobson Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+13%) | 1mo | $194,888 | $162 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $10,644
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $96,540
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60419
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,343 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$611 /mo · $7,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$492
- Net cashflow
- $362
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $887 | -5% $406 | +0% $362 | +5% $319 | +10% $275 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $177 | -5% $270 | +0% $362 | +5% $455 | +10% $548 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $441 | -0.5pp $402 | base $362 | +0.5pp $322 | +1.0pp $281 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 10d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 19d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 6d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 409 Madison Ave Unit 2 Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,795 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 19d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 405 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $2,300 | $2.36 | 1d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1860 State St Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 18d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1487 | $2,146 | $1.44 | 8d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 660 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 250 Yates Ave Unit 1616 Dolton 1E Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,465 | $1.67 | 8d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 20d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 12d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1601 Downs Dr Unit 3S Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,400 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,430 | $2.48 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 659 Paxton Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $2,461 | $1.96 | 10d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,650 | $2.06 | 8d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,650 | $2.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 14518 S Hoxie Ave Chicago, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $2,450 | $2.17 | 1d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 14501 Torrence Ave Unit 3A Burnham, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 10d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 14501 S Torrence Ave Chicago, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $1,250 | $1.69 | 13d | 2 | 1.24mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 8d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2605 E Martha Pl Chicago, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1353 | $1,860 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 671 Saginaw Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,276 | $1.82 | 10d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 11d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $155,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-03-04price $155,000
-
2026-01-28$160,000 Active
-
2014-02-27soldstatus $19,000 Closed Sale 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Split level with great possibilities, 3 bedrooms on second level and open floor plan on main level . "This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 11/07/2013
-
2014-02-06status Pending 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Split level with great possibilities, 3 bedrooms on second level and open floor plan on main level . "This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 11/07/2013
-
2014-01-23price $23,900 Price Change 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Split level with great possibilities, 3 bedrooms on second level and open floor plan on main level . "This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 11/07/2013
-
2014-01-01price $24,900 Price Change 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Split level with great possibilities, 3 bedrooms on second level and open floor plan on main level . "This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 11/07/2013
-
2013-11-26price $29,900 Price Change 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Split level with great possibilities, 3 bedrooms on second level and open floor plan on main level . "This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 11/07/2013
-
2013-10-25$34,900 New 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Split level with great possibilities, 3 bedrooms on second level and open floor plan on main level . "This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 11/07/2013
-
2007-09-01historical
-
2007-05-09
-
2007-01-20historical
-
2006-07-20
-
1995-10-19soldstatus $74,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,335 · $611/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,335 · $611/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,118
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$7,335
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,249
- − Management
- −$2,249
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $2,318
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$556
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,793/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dolton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dolton, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 20,825
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,825
- Household income
- $57,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 193.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+109.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $155,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-28 Listed $160,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-27 Sold (MLS) $19,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-06 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-01-23 Price Changed $23,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-01-01 Price Changed $24,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-11-26 Price Changed $29,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-25 Listed $34,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-09-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-09 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-20 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-07-20 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2023): $7,335 · -9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…