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644 E High St
B- Composite 67.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$88,000

644 E High St · Grants, NM 87020
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,932 sqft · Other · 57 Days on market
Built 1958 0.34 ac lot $46/sqft · 61% below area ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,932 square feet of living space on a sizable 0.33-acre lot—an excellent opportunity for buyers seeking value and potential. Key features include a wood-burning fireplace, distinctive viga accents, and an open flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas. The breakfast bar adds functional appeal. The large lot provides opportunities for expansion, landscaping improvements, or added amenities, while the detached single-car garage increases versatility.

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Open flow
  • Breakfast bar

Tags

WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEVIGA ACCENTSOPEN FLOWBREAKFAST BARLARGE LOTDETACHED SINGLE-CAR GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $88k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#115 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, employment D.
  • Grants-Cibola County Schools (town): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #74 of 95 in NM (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cibola County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $85,360 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
13.28%
Cash-on-cash
24.94%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$225,063
List price
$88,000
Delta
-60.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$18,381
Equity at exit
$13,121
10-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
3.36×
Total profit
$58,096
Equity at exit
$7,609

Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87020

Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,418 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$461
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,320/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$512

Break-even live

Break-even rent $770
Max offer price $88,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,000
Closing costs
$2,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $88,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $88,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $88,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    price $95,000 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,932 square feet of living space on a sizable 0.33-acre lot—an excellent opportunity for buyers seeking value and potential. Key features include a wood-burning fireplace, distinctive viga accents, and an open flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas. The breakfast bar adds functional appeal. The large lot provides opportunities for expansion, landscaping improvements, or added amenities, while the detached single-car garage increases versatility.

  15. 2026-04-22
    listed $99,000 Active 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,932 square feet of living space on a sizable 0.33-acre lot—an excellent opportunity for buyers seeking value and potential. Key features include a wood-burning fireplace, distinctive viga accents, and an open flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas. The breakfast bar adds functional appeal. The large lot provides opportunities for expansion, landscaping improvements, or added amenities, while the detached single-car garage increases versatility.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,320 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,320 · $110/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,018
− Mortgage interest
−$4,929
− Property taxes
−$1,320
− Insurance
−$440
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,361
− Management
−$1,361
− Depreciation
−$2,560
Taxable income
$5,045
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,211
After-tax cash flow
$4,935/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grants-Cibola County Schools
NCES district ID
3501170
Math proficiency
14%
Reading proficiency
22%
Median HH income
$35,996
Composite
18.23/100
National rank
#14064
State rank
#74 of 95 in NM

Livability — Grants

Score
60/100
State rank
#115
US rank
#19558

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Grants, NM
Population (ZIP)
11,874

Population outlook (Cibola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,324 people
By 2030
25,594 · -2.8%
By 2040
24,117 · -8.4%
By 2050
22,568 · -14.3%
By 2075
18,653 · -29.1%
By 2100
12,719 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% White 27% Two or more races 19% Native American 13% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 24% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cibola

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.6% · R 48.0% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.6pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+23.8 2008: D+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.40%
Current HPI
167.6417
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-4.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $95,000 NMMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $99,000 NMMLS

Property tax history

+61.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,320 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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