Duplex
40 Wakefield Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great location! This well-maintained multifamily property offers a spacious layout, making it ideal for investors, first-time homebuyers, etc. The double features separate utilities and includes two units, each with three generously sized bedrooms, a comfortable living and dining area, a well-sized kitchen, and a full bathroom with high ceilings. Some newer windows and beautiful natural woodwork add to the home’s charm. The property has a newer roof (approximately 7–10 years old) and updated electrical circuit breakers. A full attic provides the opportunity for additional usable space if finished. Additional highlights include a two-car garage, forced-air heating. Please give 24 - 48 hours notice for showings.
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Newer windows
- Full attic
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $911 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $455/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,340/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1820% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.62%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $339,898
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -26.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172 Rodney Ave | 0.14mi | 6/2.5 | 2,430 (+4%) | 7mo | $222,499 | $92 | 79 |
| 258 Leroy Ave | 0.14mi | 6/2.0 | 2,200 (-6%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $100 | 78 |
| 168 Rodney Ave | 0.14mi | 6/2.0 | 2,199 (-6%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $80 | 77 |
| 2002 Fillmore Ave | 0.45mi | 6/2.0 | 2,390 (+2%) | 4mo | $206,500 | $86 | 72 |
| 2006 Fillmore Ave | 0.45mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,390 (+2%) | 3mo | $84,800 | $35 | 69 |
| 92 Wakefield Ave | 0.09mi | 6/2.0 | 2,046 (-13%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $93 | 68 |
| 2032 Fillmore Ave | 0.40mi | 6/2.0 | 2,226 (-5%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $67 | 65 |
| 73 Monticello Pl | 0.69mi | 6/2.0 | 2,424 (+3%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $66 | 59 |
| 84 Monticello Pl | 0.66mi | 6/2.0 | 2,591 (+10%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $56 | 52 |
| 356 Woodward Ave | 0.65mi | 6/2.0 | 2,544 (+8%) | 9mo | $390,000 | $153 | 48 |
| 1 Palos Pl | 0.66mi | 6/2.0 | 2,541 (+8%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $91 | 45 |
| 114 Manhattan Ave | 0.47mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,052 (-12%) | 16mo | $158,000 | $77 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $27,264
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $140,855
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14214
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,340 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$701
- Net cashflow
- $911
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $3,340 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,670 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,670 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,340 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 Minnesota Ave Buffalo, NY | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2551 | $4,900 | $1.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 15 Hughes Ave Buffalo, NY | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 24 Custer St Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $3,000 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2193 | $3,750 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 133 Merrimac St Buffalo, NY | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2327 | $4,450 | $1.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 196 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2560 | $2,000 | $0.78 | 1d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $250,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-17$250,000 Active 731-char remark
Show marketing remark (731 chars)
Great location! This well-maintained multifamily property offers a spacious layout, making it ideal for investors, first-time homebuyers, etc. The double features separate utilities and includes two units, each with three generously sized bedrooms, a comfortable living and dining area, a well-sized kitchen, and a full bathroom with high ceilings. Some newer windows and beautiful natural woodwork add to the home’s charm. The property has a newer roof (approximately 7–10 years old) and updated electrical circuit breakers. A full attic provides the opportunity for additional usable space if finished. Additional highlights include a two-car garage, forced-air heating. Please give 24 - 48 hours notice for showings.
-
2025-09-30historical
-
2025-08-18$240,000 Active
-
2025-03-28soldstatus $240,000 Closed
-
2025-03-27soldstatus $240,000
-
2025-01-07status Pending
-
2024-11-26$249,900 Active
-
2022-05-12soldstatus $92,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,080
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$3,750
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,206
- − Management
- −$3,206
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable income
- $7,391
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,774
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,157/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,314
- Household income
- $58,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1820.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 31% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -282.52%
- Current HPI
- 373.377
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.81%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+170.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $250,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-08-18 Listed $240,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-03-28 Sold (MLS) $240,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2025-01-07 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2024-11-26 Listed $249,900 WNYREIS
- 2022-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.0%/yrLatest (2025): $319 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…