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40 Wakefield Ave Duplex
B+ Composite 76.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

40 Wakefield Ave · Buffalo, NY 14214
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,344 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1925 3,450 sqft lot $107/sqft · 26% below area Est $340k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great location! This well-maintained multifamily property offers a spacious layout, making it ideal for investors, first-time homebuyers, etc. The double features separate utilities and includes two units, each with three generously sized bedrooms, a comfortable living and dining area, a well-sized kitchen, and a full bathroom with high ceilings. Some newer windows and beautiful natural woodwork add to the home’s charm. The property has a newer roof (approximately 7–10 years old) and updated electrical circuit breakers. A full attic provides the opportunity for additional usable space if finished. Additional highlights include a two-car garage, forced-air heating. Please give 24 - 48 hours notice for showings.

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Newer windows
  • Full attic

Tags

NEWER WINDOWSNEWER ROOFFULL ATTIC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $911 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $455/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,340/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1820% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $235,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.67%
Cash-on-cash
15.62%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$339,898
List price
$250,000
Delta
-26.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
172 Rodney Ave 0.14mi 6/2.5 2,430 (+4%) 7mo $222,499 $92 79
258 Leroy Ave 0.14mi 6/2.0 2,200 (-6%) 6mo $220,000 $100 78
168 Rodney Ave 0.14mi 6/2.0 2,199 (-6%) 7mo $175,000 $80 77
2002 Fillmore Ave 0.45mi 6/2.0 2,390 (+2%) 4mo $206,500 $86 72
2006 Fillmore Ave 0.45mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,390 (+2%) 3mo $84,800 $35 69
92 Wakefield Ave 0.09mi 6/2.0 2,046 (-13%) 8mo $190,000 $93 68
2032 Fillmore Ave 0.40mi 6/2.0 2,226 (-5%) 10mo $150,000 $67 65
73 Monticello Pl 0.69mi 6/2.0 2,424 (+3%) 3mo $160,000 $66 59
84 Monticello Pl 0.66mi 6/2.0 2,591 (+10%) 0mo $145,000 $56 52
356 Woodward Ave 0.65mi 6/2.0 2,544 (+8%) 9mo $390,000 $153 48
1 Palos Pl 0.66mi 6/2.0 2,541 (+8%) 12mo $230,000 $91 45
114 Manhattan Ave 0.47mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,052 (-12%) 16mo $158,000 $77 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$27,264
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$140,855
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14214

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,340 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$701
Net cashflow
$911

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,187
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 68%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,340

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
145 Minnesota Ave Buffalo, NY 7.0 2.0 2551 $4,900 $1.92 14d 1 1.07mi
15 Hughes Ave Buffalo, NY 7.0 2.0 1650 $3,000 $1.82 43d 1 1.07mi
24 Custer St Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2500 $3,000 $1.20 14d 1 1.15mi
85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2193 $3,750 $1.71 14d 1 1.17mi
175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2000 $2,500 $1.25 14d 1 1.18mi
133 Merrimac St Buffalo, NY 7.0 2.0 2327 $4,450 $1.91 14d 1 1.38mi
196 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 2560 $2,000 $0.78 1d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $250,000 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-04-17
    listed $250,000 Active 731-char remark
    Show marketing remark (731 chars)

    Great location! This well-maintained multifamily property offers a spacious layout, making it ideal for investors, first-time homebuyers, etc. The double features separate utilities and includes two units, each with three generously sized bedrooms, a comfortable living and dining area, a well-sized kitchen, and a full bathroom with high ceilings. Some newer windows and beautiful natural woodwork add to the home’s charm. The property has a newer roof (approximately 7–10 years old) and updated electrical circuit breakers. A full attic provides the opportunity for additional usable space if finished. Additional highlights include a two-car garage, forced-air heating. Please give 24 - 48 hours notice for showings.

  16. 2025-09-30
    historical
  17. 2025-08-18
    listed $240,000 Active
  18. 2025-03-28
    soldstatus $240,000 Closed
  19. 2025-03-27
    soldstatus $240,000
  20. 2025-01-07
    status Pending
  21. 2024-11-26
    listed $249,900 Active
  22. 2022-05-12
    soldstatus $92,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,080
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,750
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,206
− Management
−$3,206
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$7,391
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,774
After-tax cash flow
$9,157/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
21,314
Household income
$58,228
Rent vs Own
57.7% rent · 42.3% own
Severe rent burden
1820.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 31% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -282.52%
Current HPI
373.377
Rent YoY
▲ 5.81%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+170.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $250,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $240,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-03-28 Sold (MLS) $240,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
  • 2025-01-07 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2024-11-26 Listed $249,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $319 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…