1302 Sunset Dr Unit 1328-B · Robinson, PA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.6
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Lot 40 at 1328 Hidden Valley Dr, a beautifully designed manufactured home by Cavco. This Beacon model features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,323 sq. ft. of living space across a smart 28x50 layout. Enjoy the spacious open floor plan that blends kitchen, dining, and living areas for a seamless flow. With bright interiors, quality finishes, and a comfortable design, this home is built to suit both everyday living and special gatherings. Nestled in the friendly Hidden Valley community, this manufactured home offers the perfect combination of style, efficiency, and neighborhood charm.
Key facts
- 1,323 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2025
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($863 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.3% in Robinson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,651 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Fort Cherry SD (rural): math 34% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #213 of 539 in PA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Fort Cherry El Ctr (math 41% / reading 63%, grade C-, #586 of 1,518 statewide, top 42%, 455 students, 46% FRL); Fort Cherry Jshs (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #196 of 437 statewide, top 47%, 450 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 265 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 265 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.93%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,500
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -16.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1320 Hidden Valley Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-7%) | 14mo | $27,000 | $22 | 75 |
| 1340 Hilltop Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,493 (+13%) | 4mo | $95,500 | $64 | 70 |
| 1304 Hidden Valley Rd | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-27%) | 16mo | $55,900 | $58 | 53 |
| 1302 Hidden Valley Rd | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-27%) | 16mo | $50,400 | $53 | 53 |
| 1170 Robinson Hwy | 1.93mi | 3/2.0 | 1,355 (+2%) | 52mo | $243,000 | $179 | 41 |
| 316 Eaton Ave | 2.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,482 (+12%) | 16mo | $275,000 | $186 | 32 |
| 1053 Valleyview Rd | 0.76mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-9%) | 53mo | $525,000 | $438 | 24 |
| 138 Bulger Candor Rd | 1.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,539 (+16%) | 18mo | $50,500 | $33 | 21 |
| 942 Grant St | 2.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,635 (+24%) | 22mo | $170,000 | $104 | 19 |
| 1198 Robinson Hwy | 1.80mi | 3/2.5 | 1,638 (+24%) | 58mo | $172,500 | $105 | 18 |
| 738 Beagle Club Rd | 1.45mi | 3/3.0 | 1,680 (+27%) | 25mo | $365,000 | $217 | 16 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $20,393
- Equity at exit
- $38,612
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $58,045
- Equity at exit
- $61,683
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 18 active
- Months of supply
- 108.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $88,900 ($66/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 145 d
- This list price
- 44% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +8.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 15019
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $863 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$181
- Net cashflow
- $129
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $184 | -5% $157 | +0% $129 | +5% $102 | +10% $74 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $61 | -5% $95 | +0% $129 | +5% $163 | +10% $197 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $169 | -0.5pp $150 | base $129 | +0.5pp $109 | +1.0pp $87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $79,900 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $79,900 Active 264 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $79,900 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $79,900 Active 262 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $79,900 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $79,900 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $79,900 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $79,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $79,900 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $79,900 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $79,900 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $79,900 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $79,900 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $79,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $79,900 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $79,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $79,900 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-07-18pricedays on market $79,900 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $88,900 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $88,900 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $88,900 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $88,900 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $88,900 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $88,900 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $88,900 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $88,900 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $88,900 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $88,900 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $88,900 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $88,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $88,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $88,900 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $88,900 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $88,900 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $88,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $88,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $88,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $88,900 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $88,900 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $88,900 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-19price $88,900 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $92,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $92,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $92,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $92,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $92,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $92,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $92,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $92,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $92,900 Active 200 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,350
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$828
- − Management
- −$828
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $296
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$71
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,480/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with a clean and well-maintained exterior and interior. It has a good foundation and structure, and the HVAC and mechanical systems appear to be in good condition. The home has a good layout and is ready for a fresh paint job, hardwood flooring, and kitchen and bathroom upgrades to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replacing the carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring can increase the home's value and appeal to a wider range of buyers. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can improve the home's functionality and appeal to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can improve the home's functionality and appeal to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, making it more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — A well-maintained and attractive exterior can enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Cherry SD
- NCES district ID
- 4209960
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,129
- Composite
- 41.12/100
- National rank
- #3564
- State rank
- #213 of 539 in PA
Livability — Robinson
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1651
- US rank
- #22918
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Washington · 208,060 people
- City population
- 727
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,236
- Household income
- $38,092
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Danish 6% Romanian 5% Serbian 3%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.59%
- Current HPI
- 175.8946
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-5.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $92,900 Zillow
- 2025-11-16 Listed $97,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…