913 Nashville Rd · Rocky Mount, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 73.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming Home in the Heart of Rocky Mount Discover this quaint and inviting home perfectly situated on a spacious lot in the heart of Rocky Mount. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, this property offers comfort, convenience, and plenty of room to grow. Step inside to find an eat-in kitchen with a large pantry area, fresh paint throughout, new flooring, updated lavatories, window units, and modern breaker boxes—all ready for you to move right in. Outside, enjoy a large covered front porch, rear patio, and two storage sheds for all your needs. The fenced backyard provides ample space for gardening, future additions, or outdoor entertaining, complete with a concrete slab ready for
Key facts
- Large pantry area
- Eat-in kitchen
- Two storage sheds
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking; No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; DSL/cable available
- Home design: Residential property (Residential/Vacation subtype); One level
- Construction: Wood siding; Composition and metal roof
- Exterior features: Garden; Front porch; Patio; Chain link fencing; Storage structure on property; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Window coverings and treatments; Updated/remodeled condition; 6 total rooms; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.5% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Nash-Rocky Mount Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #155 of 178 in NC (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 500 units permitted in Nash County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nash County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $95k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.96%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $88,320
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 902 Nashville Rd | 0.04mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,293 (-6%) | 0mo | $57,900 | $45 | 82 |
| 1220 Neal St | 0.30mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,342 (-3%) | 1mo | $149,000 | $111 | 74 |
| 1201 York St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,243 (-10%) | 2mo | $91,000 | $73 | 69 |
| 813 Burton St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,379 (-0%) | 11mo | $188,500 | $137 | 61 |
| 517 Henry St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,420 (+3%) | 8mo | $62,500 | $44 | 58 |
| 733 Cedarbrook Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,322 (-4%) | 2mo | $84,000 | $64 | 55 |
| 625 W Raleigh Blvd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,332 (-4%) | 7mo | $30,000 | $23 | 52 |
| 605 Dexter St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-12%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $53 | 51 |
| 2175 W Raleigh Blvd | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,518 (+10%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $30 | 48 |
| 623 Henry St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (-14%) | 4mo | $21,000 | $18 | 46 |
| 625 Powell Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,212 (-12%) | 1mo | $148,500 | $123 | 45 |
| 736 Cedarbrook Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (-9%) | 8mo | $168,500 | $134 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $3,680
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $42,816
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27803
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,378 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $115,000
-
2026-02-05price $120,000
-
2025-12-30price $125,000
-
2025-12-10$130,000 Active
-
2025-11-28historical
-
2025-06-30price $135,000
-
2025-05-22$140,000 Active
-
2024-09-01historical
-
2024-04-29price $130,000
-
2024-04-12price $135,000
-
2024-02-16$140,000 Active
-
2022-05-09soldstatus $95,000 Closed
-
2022-05-09soldstatus $95,000
-
2022-04-01historical
-
2022-03-07$110,000
-
2021-05-18historical
-
2021-05-04historical
-
2021-04-28$105,000
-
2021-04-27$105,000
-
2021-02-24historical
-
2021-02-24historical
-
2020-10-06$103,000
-
2020-10-02$103,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,538
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,323
- − Management
- −$1,323
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,805
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$433
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,095/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nash-Rocky Mount Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703270
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,553
- Composite
- 22.04/100
- National rank
- #8198
- State rank
- #155 of 178 in NC
Livability — Rocky Mount
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #7692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rocky Mount, NC
- County
- Nash County · 50,768 people
- City population
- 70,300
- Metro
- Rocky Mount, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,055
- Household income
- $60,124
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 641.0
Population outlook (Nash County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 91,107 people
- By 2030
- 89,193 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 84,959 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 80,517 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 72,941 · -19.9%
- By 2100
- 63,602 · -30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 44% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nash
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+0.2 2012: D+0.9 2008: R+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -162.95%
- Current HPI
- 190.0204
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.51%
- Metro
- Rocky Mount, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+11.7% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $115,000 RVLG
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $120,000 RVLG
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $125,000 RVLG
- 2025-12-10 Listed $130,000 RVLG
- 2025-11-28 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-06-30 Price Changed $135,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-05-22 Listed $140,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-09-01 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2024-04-29 Price Changed $130,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-04-12 Price Changed $135,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-02-16 Listed $140,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-09 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-04-01 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2022-03-07 Listed $110,000 Hive MLS
- 2021-05-18 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2021-05-04 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2021-04-28 Listed $105,000 Hive MLS
- 2021-04-27 Listed $105,000 TMLS
- 2021-02-24 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2021-02-24 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2020-10-06 Listed $103,000 TMLS
- 2020-10-02 Listed $103,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
-5.1%/yrLatest (2021): $130 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…